Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
94.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
70.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 3-0 |
-
|
- |
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Waterford
30 matches
St Patrick's Athl.
25 matches
| Waterford | Statistic | St Patrick's Athl. |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 13 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 13 | Losses | 6 |
| 45 | Goals For | 42 |
| 56 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.68 |
| 1.87 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.8 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.57 | Shots On Goal | 5.17 |
| 12.09 | Total Shots | 15.91 |
| 4.74 | Corners | 5.52 |
| 37.8% | Ball Possession | 52% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by St Patrick's Athl.'s more proactive style and Waterford's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward St Patrick's Athl.. St Patrick's Athl. carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 38 points while Waterford sit 10 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Waterford expected to line up in 5-3-2 and St Patrick's Athl. in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward St Patrick's Athl. having the stronger overall control.
Waterford sit 10 with 17 points after 22 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 28:44 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Tom Lonergan (5 goals), Pádraig Amond (4 goals), John Mahon (3 goals), with creative support from Dean McMenamy (2 assists), Conan Noonan (2 assists), Evan McLaughlin (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
St Patrick's Athl. arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 3 place with 38 points after 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 35:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ryan Edmondson (4 goals), Zac Elbouzedi (3 goals), Kian Leavy (3 goals), with creative support from Zac Elbouzedi (3 assists), Joe Redmond (2 assists), Luke Turner (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Waterford won 3 times, St Patrick's Athl. won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:25 from Waterford's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Waterford
4
1
1
5
3
3
Waterford
Shelbourne
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Shelbourne
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Doncaster
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Waterford
Shelbourne
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Shelbourne
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Kerry
Waterford
Riverstown FC
St Patrick's Athl.
Doncaster
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Bray Wanderers
St Patrick's Athl.
Beşiktaş
St Patrick's Athl.
Kalju Nomme
St Patrick's Athl.
Hegelmann Litauen
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 51 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 |
St Patrick's Athl.
Away
|
26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 44 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 44 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 40:38 | 2 | 37 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35:36 | -1 | 34 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 30 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 29 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 27 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 |
Waterford
Home
|
26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 34:47 | -13 | 25 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 10 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 22 |
D
D
L
L
D
|