SPAIN LA LIGA
26.08.2026 19:00
Bernabéu
Referee: Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain
Real Madrid
Match Timeline
Real Sociedad
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
Álvaro Carreras
Real Madrid
🟨
31'
Yangel Herrera
Real Sociedad
40'
K. Mbappe · Assist: F. Valverde
Real Madrid
44'
L. Sucic
Real Sociedad
🟨
45+2'
Jon Aramburu
Real Sociedad
🔄
46'
A. Carreras ↔ M. Cucurella
Real Madrid
🔄
57'
J. Aramburu ↔ I. Zubeldia
Real Sociedad
🔄
57'
M. Oyarzabal ↔ O. Oskarsson
Real Sociedad
60'
K. Mbappe · Assist: J. Bellingham
Real Madrid
🔄
66'
Y. Herrera ↔ C. Soler
Real Sociedad
🔄
66'
J. Ochieng ↔ A. Barrenetxea
Real Sociedad
68'
Vinicius Junior · Assist: J. Bellingham
Real Madrid
🟨
71'
Luken Beitia
Real Sociedad
🟨
73'
Ibrahima Konaté
Real Madrid
🔄
74'
T. Kubo ↔ G. Guedes
Real Sociedad
🔄
78'
J. Bellingham ↔ E. Camavinga
Real Madrid
🔄
78'
A. Guler ↔ B. Diaz
Real Madrid
80'
K. Mbappe · Assist: Vinicius Junior
Real Madrid
🔄
84'
Vinicius Junior ↔ Y. Diomande
Real Madrid
🔄
86'
B. Silva ↔ C. Espi
Real Madrid
🟨
90+4'
Eduardo Camavinga
Real Madrid
VAR
90+1'
Brahim Díaz
Real Madrid

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.9%
-
BTTS Yes
78.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Real Madrid Win 66.9%
Draw 4.1%
Real Sociedad Win 29%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Madrid2.05
Real Sociedad1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Madrid Real Madrid
WWDLW
14 GF / 5 GA
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
WLDWL
10 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
4
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
5
8
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Madrid Real Madrid 6 matches
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 8 matches
Real Madrid Statistic Real Sociedad
5 Wins 2
1 Draws 1
0 Losses 5
14 Goals For 10
5 Goals Against 13
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
4 BTTS Yes 6
5 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 2
8 Shots On Goal 3
21 Total Shots 9
8 Corners 5
63% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid won 10 times, Real Sociedad won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 29:12 from Real Madrid's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Real Madrid 4-2-3-1 / Real Sociedad 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Real Madrid 7, Real Sociedad 3
H2H summary: Real Madrid wins 10, draws 4, Real Sociedad wins 1

Standings

La Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 7 0 0 31:7 24 21
W W W W W
2 7 5 1 1 16:7 9 16
W W W L W
3 7 5 1 1 9:7 2 16
D W W W L
4 7 5 0 2 18:8 10 15
L W W L W
5 7 4 1 2 10:9 1 13
L W W D L
6 7 3 2 2 11:6 5 11
D L L W W
7 7 2 4 1 10:8 2 10
D L D W W
8 7 3 1 3 9:13 -4 10
W L W D W
9 7 2 2 3 13:12 1 8
W W L L L
10 6 2 2 2 7:6 1 8
D D W W L
11 7 2 2 3 4:7 -3 8
W L D D L
12 7 2 2 3 11:16 -5 8
D W L W L
13 7 2 2 3 6:13 -7 8
D L L L W
14 7 1 4 2 8:6 2 7
W D D D L
15 7 2 1 4 10:10 0 7
L L W D L
16 7 2 1 4 11:21 -10 7
L L W L W
17 6 1 2 3 8:12 -4 5
L L D W D
18 7 1 2 4 11:17 -6 5
W L D L L
19 7 1 1 5 4:13 -9 4
L W L L L
20 7 0 3 4 3:12 -9 3
L L D D L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
ECL Playoffs
Relegation