SPAIN LA LIGA
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.9%
Odds 1.32
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.44
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.9%
1.32
BTTS Yes
78.9%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.44
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.17
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.83
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.00
Probability Distribution
Real Madrid Win 66.9%
Draw 4.1%
Real Sociedad Win 29%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Madrid2.05
Real Sociedad1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Madrid Real Madrid
WWDLW
14 GF / 5 GA
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
WLDWL
10 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
1.25
0.83
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
4
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
5
8
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Madrid Real Madrid 6 matches
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 8 matches
Real Madrid Statistic Real Sociedad
5 Wins 2
1 Draws 1
0 Losses 5
14 Goals For 10
5 Goals Against 13
2.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
0.83 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
4 BTTS Yes 6
5 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 2
8 Shots On Goal 3
21 Total Shots 9
8 Corners 5
63% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Madrid won 10 times, Real Sociedad won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:12 from Real Madrid's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Real Madrid 4-2-3-1 / Real Sociedad 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Real Madrid 7, Real Sociedad 3
H2H summary: Real Madrid wins 10, draws 4, Real Sociedad wins 1
Last matches: Real Madrid
22.08.26
La
Real Madrid
Espanyol
2
1
W
16.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
FC Schalke 04
3
0
W
12.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Deportivo La Coruna
1
0
W
08.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Ferencvarosi TC
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
2
2
D
28.07.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Leganes
4
1
W
23.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
4
2
W
17.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
1
0
W
14.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
10.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Barcelona
0
2
L
03.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Espanyol
2
0
W
24.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
1
1
D
21.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
15.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
3
4
L
10.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
07.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
L
04.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Mallorca
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
17.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
2
1
W
14.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
Last matches: Real Sociedad
21.08.26
La
Real Sociedad
Real Betis
0
1
L
15.08.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
Chelsea
1
3
L
08.08.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
1. FC Köln
1
2
L
31.07.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
Toulouse
1
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
Aston Villa
4
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
Wolves
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
Racing Santander
1
1
D
11.07.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
PAU
0
1
L
23.05.26
La
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
1
1
D
17.05.26
La
Real Sociedad
Valencia
3
4
L
14.05.26
La
Real Sociedad
Girona
1
1
D
09.05.26
La
Real Sociedad
Real Betis
2
2
D
04.05.26
La
Real Sociedad
Sevilla
0
1
L
26.04.26
La
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
3
3
D
22.04.26
La
Real Sociedad
Getafe
0
1
L
18.04.26
Cop
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
2
2
D
11.04.26
La
Real Sociedad
Alaves
3
3
D
04.04.26
La
Real Sociedad
Levante
2
0
W
20.03.26
La
Real Sociedad
Villarreal
1
3
L
15.03.26
La
Real Sociedad
Osasuna
3
1
W
H2H: Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad
14.02.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
1
W
13.09.25
H2H
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
1
2
W
24.05.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
2
0
W
01.04.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
4
D
26.02.25
H2H
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
0
1
W
14.09.24
H2H
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
0
2
W
26.04.24
H2H
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
0
1
W
17.09.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
2
1
W
02.05.23
H2H
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
2
0
L
29.01.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
0
0
D
05.03.22
H2H
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
1
W
04.12.21
H2H
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
0
2
W
01.03.21
H2H
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
1
1
D
20.09.20
H2H
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
0
0
D
21.06.20
H2H
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
1
2
W
Last matches: Real Madrid
01.08.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Fiorentina
2
2
D
28.07.26
Fri
Real Madrid
Leganes
4
1
W
23.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Athletic Club
4
2
W
14.05.26
La
Real Madrid
Oviedo
2
0
W
21.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Alaves
2
1
W
10.04.26
La
Real Madrid
Girona
1
1
D
07.04.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Bayern München
1
2
L
22.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
3
2
W
14.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Elche
4
1
W
11.03.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
3
0
W
02.03.26
La
Real Madrid
Getafe
0
1
L
25.02.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Benfica
2
1
W
14.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
1
W
01.02.26
La
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
W
20.01.26
UEF
Real Madrid
Monaco
6
1
W
17.01.26
La
Real Madrid
Levante
2
0
W
04.01.26
La
Real Madrid
Real Betis
5
1
W
20.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Sevilla
2
0
W
10.12.25
UEF
Real Madrid
Manchester City
1
2
L
07.12.25
La
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
0
2
L
H2H at home: Real Madrid
14.02.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
1
W
24.05.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
2
0
W
01.04.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
4
D
17.09.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
2
1
W
29.01.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
0
0
D
05.03.22
H2H
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
1
W
01.03.21
H2H
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
1
1
D
Last matches: Real Sociedad
21.08.26
La
Real Sociedad
Real Betis
0
1
L
15.08.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
Chelsea
1
3
L
08.08.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
1. FC Köln
1
2
L
31.07.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
Toulouse
1
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
Aston Villa
4
2
W
25.07.26
Fri
Real Sociedad
Wolves
2
1
W
23.05.26
La
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
1
1
D
14.05.26
La
Real Sociedad
Girona
1
1
D
04.05.26
La
Real Sociedad
Sevilla
0
1
L
26.04.26
La
Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
3
3
D
18.04.26
Cop
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
2
2
D
20.03.26
La
Real Sociedad
Villarreal
1
3
L
07.03.26
La
Real Sociedad
Atletico Madrid
2
3
L
28.02.26
La
Real Sociedad
Mallorca
1
0
W
14.02.26
La
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
1
4
L
11.02.26
Cop
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
1
0
W
04.02.26
Cop
Real Sociedad
Alaves
3
2
W
01.02.26
La
Real Sociedad
Athletic Club
1
1
D
09.01.26
La
Real Sociedad
Getafe
2
1
W
20.12.25
La
Real Sociedad
Levante
1
1
D
H2H away: Real Sociedad
14.02.26
H2H
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
1
L
24.05.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
2
0
L
01.04.25
H2H
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
4
D
17.09.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
2
1
L
29.01.23
H2H
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
0
0
D
05.03.22
H2H
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
1
L
01.03.21
H2H
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.32
Draw 5.97
Away 8.89
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 1.75
Draw 2.95
Away 7.63
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.0 1.23
Under 2.0 4.14
Over 2.25 1.31
Under 2.25 3.61
Over 2.5 1.44
Under 2.5 2.88
Over 2.75 1.54
Under 2.75 2.59
Over 3.5 2.14
Under 3.5 1.76
Over 3.0 1.68
Under 3.0 2.28
Over 3.25 1.92
Under 3.25 1.97
Over 3.75 2.44
Under 3.75 1.60
Over 4.0 2.94
Under 4.0 1.43
Over 4.25 3.27
Under 4.25 1.36
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.30
Draw 6.25
Away 8.00
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 1.73
Draw 2.88
Away 7.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 1.57
Draw 3.10
Away 6.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.12
Under 1.5 6.00
Over 2.5 1.44
Under 2.5 2.75
Over 3.5 2.10
Under 3.5 1.73
Over 0.5 1.02
Under 0.5 19.00
Over 8.5 41.00
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 4.5 3.50
Under 4.5 1.30
Over 7.5 23.00
Under 7.5 1.01
Over 5.5 6.00
Under 5.5 1.12
Over 6.5 13.00
Under 6.5 1.04
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.36
Draw 5.84
Away 9.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 1.73
Draw 2.72
Away 7.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 1.55
Draw 3.38
Away 6.80
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.08
Under 1.5 5.50
Over 1.75 1.11
Under 1.75 5.13
Over 2.0 1.13
Under 2.0 4.70
Over 2.25 1.28
Under 2.25 3.32
Over 2.5 1.40
Under 2.5 2.70
Over 2.75 1.51
Under 2.75 2.44
Over 3.5 2.17
Under 3.5 1.80
Over 0.5 1.01
Under 0.5 22.00
Over 1.0 1.01
Under 1.0 17.00
Over 8.5 41.00
Under 8.5 1.00
Over 3.0 1.64
Under 3.0 2.16
Over 4.5 3.30
Under 4.5 1.28
Over 3.25 1.95
Under 3.25 1.99
Over 3.75 2.47
Under 3.75 1.64
Over 4.0 2.78
Under 4.0 1.40
Over 4.25 3.04
Under 4.25 1.32
Over 4.75 4.01
Under 4.75 1.18
Over 5.0 5.25
Under 5.0 1.10
Over 7.5 23.00
Under 7.5 1.01
Over 5.5 5.80
Under 5.5 1.07
Over 5.25 5.49
Under 5.25 1.08
Over 6.5 13.00
Under 6.5 1.04
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Home 1.29
Draw 5.80
Away 9.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Home 1.68
Draw 2.85
Away 7.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Home 1.54
Draw 3.50
Away 6.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.11
Under 1.5 6.25
Over 2.5 1.41
Under 2.5 2.80
Over 2.75 1.50
Under 2.75 2.50
Over 3.5 2.08
Under 3.5 1.73
Over 3.0 1.64
Under 3.0 2.23
Over 4.5 3.50
Under 4.5 1.29
Over 3.25 1.87
Under 3.25 1.92
Over 3.75 2.38
Under 3.75 1.57
Over 4.0 2.88
Under 4.0 1.41
Over 4.25 3.20
Under 4.25 1.35
Over 5.5 6.50
Under 5.5 1.10
Over 6.5 12.00
Under 6.5 1.02

Standings

La Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 5:2 3 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 2:0 2 6
W W
3 2 1 1 0 4:1 3 4
D W
4 2 1 1 0 4:2 2 4
D W
5 1 1 0 0 5:0 5 3
W
6 2 1 0 1 4:2 2 3
L W
7 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
8 2 1 0 1 1:3 -2 3
W L
9 2 0 2 0 4:4 0 2
D D
10 2 0 2 0 2:2 0 2
D D
11 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
12 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
13 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
L D
14 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
D L
15 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
L D
16 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
D L
17 2 0 1 1 0:3 -3 1
D L
18 2 0 1 1 1:6 -5 1
L D
19 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
20 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
L
Champions League league stage
Europa League league stage
ECL Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Real Madrid 7 missing
-
R. Asencio
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
Eder Militao
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
F. Mendy
Missing Fixture Hip Injury
OUT
-
T. Pitarch
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Tchouameni
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
Rodrygo
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Endrick
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
Real Sociedad 3 missing
-
A. Odriozola
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Gorrotxategi
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
P. Marin
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT