Vitoria vs Cruzeiro Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
94.6%
|
1.36 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
1.75 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
2.03 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.20 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
11.00 |
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vitoria
27 matches
Cruzeiro
37 matches
| Vitoria | Statistic | Cruzeiro |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 16 |
| 6 | Draws | 9 |
| 12 | Losses | 12 |
| 27 | Goals For | 52 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 48 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 1.44 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.3 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 30 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.04 | Shots On Goal | 4.54 |
| 11.67 | Total Shots | 14 |
| 4.44 | Corners | 4.77 |
| 44.1% | Ball Possession | 54.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Cruzeiro's more proactive style and Vitoria's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cruzeiro. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Cruzeiro look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.
With 32 points from 26 games and a place of 11, Vitoria still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 12 defeats with a 25:37 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Rene (6 goals), Renato Kayzer (4 goals), Erick (3 goals), with creative support from Erick (4 assists), Gabriel Baralhas (3 assists), D. Tarzia (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 9 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Cruzeiro sit 6 with 42 points after 26 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, while the 38:37 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on Matheus Pereira (7 goals), Kaio Jorge (7 goals), Christian (4 goals), with creative support from Matheus Pereira (4 assists), Fágner (4 assists), Christian (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vitoria won 1 times, Cruzeiro won 8 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:23 from Vitoria's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Cruzeiro
Away
|
28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
| 7 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 |
Vitoria
Home
|
28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
| 14 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
W
|