BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Barradao
Referee: P. Zanovelli
Vitoria
Match Timeline
Botafogo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
Huguinho
Botafogo
27'
Matheuzinho
Vitoria
🔄
28'
Huguinho ↔ Junior Santos
Botafogo
🟨
29'
Álvaro Montoro
Botafogo
VAR
32'
Matheuzinho
Vitoria
🟨
45+3'
Ramon
Vitoria
🟨
51'
Emmanuel Martínez
Vitoria
🔄
53'
Matheus Martins ↔ Danilo Pereira
Botafogo
🔄
59'
Emmanuel Martinez ↔ Walace
Vitoria
🔄
59'
Ramon ↔ Jamerson
Vitoria
🟨
61'
Lucas Monzón
Botafogo
🔄
65'
Rene ↔ Renato Kayzer
Vitoria
🔄
65'
D. Tarzia ↔ T. Pochettino
Vitoria
🔄
72'
C. Medina ↔ S. Rodriguez
Botafogo
🔄
72'
Danilo Santos ↔ D. Andrade
Botafogo
🔄
78'
Matheuzinho ↔ Marinho
Vitoria

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 43.4%
Odds 3.32
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.06
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
43.4%
3.32
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.06
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.20
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Vitoria Win 40.3%
Draw 16.2%
Botafogo Win 43.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vitoria1.18
Botafogo1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vitoria Vitoria
WWDLW
22 GF / 33 GA
Botafogo Botafogo
WLDWL
38 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
8
BTTS Yes
17
8
Over 2.5
15
4
Shots on Goal
5.04

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vitoria Vitoria 22 matches
Botafogo Botafogo 25 matches
Vitoria Statistic Botafogo
7 Wins 9
5 Draws 7
10 Losses 9
22 Goals For 38
33 Goals Against 36
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
8 BTTS Yes 17
18 Over 1.5 20
8 Over 2.5 15
6 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 4
8 Failed To Score 5
4 Shots On Goal 5.04
10.77 Total Shots 13.16
4.05 Corners 4.04
44.9% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Botafogo's more proactive style and Vitoria's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Vitoria have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vitoria expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Botafogo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Botafogo having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Botafogo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Vitoria Analysis

Vitoria approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 26 points from 21 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 22:31, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Renê Sousa (5 goals), Renato Kayzer (4 goals), Erick (2 goals), with creative support from Erick (4 assists), Gabriel Baralhas (3 assists), Diego Tarzia (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Botafogo Analysis

From their first 20 matches, Botafogo have collected 29 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 34:32 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Danilo Santos (7 goals), Arthur Cabral (7 goals), Edenilson (4 goals), with creative support from Alex Telles (3 assists), Álvaro Montoro (3 assists), Danilo Santos (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vitoria won 2 times, Botafogo won 6 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:16 from Vitoria's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.8%)
Predicted formations: Vitoria 4-1-4-1 / Botafogo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Vitoria wins 2, draws 7, Botafogo wins 6
Stats
Vitoria Vitoria
Botafogo Botafogo
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
12
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
10
8 Corner Kicks 4
19 Fouls 18
5 Offsides 0
46% Ball Possession 54%
22 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Goal 3
12 Shots off Goal 4
6 Blocked Shots 10
16 Shots insidebox 7
6 Shots outsidebox 10
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
344 Total passes 402
280 Passes accurate 328
2.27 expected_goals 1.13
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Vitoria
Formation
Botafogo
Lucas Arcanjo
Lucas Arcanjo
E. Britez
E. Britez
Caca
Caca
Luan Candido
Luan Candido
Ramon
Ramon
Emmanuel Martinez
Emmanuel Martinez
Ze Vitor
Ze Vitor
Erick
Erick
Matheuzinho
Matheuzinho
D. Tarzia
D. Tarzia
Rene
Rene
Warleson
Warleson
Vitinho
Vitinho
N. Ferraresi
N. Ferraresi
L. Monzon
L. Monzon
Alex Telles
Alex Telles
Huguinho
Huguinho
C. Medina
C. Medina
Danilo Santos
Danilo Santos
A. Montoro
A. Montoro
Matheus Martins
Matheus Martins
Arthur Cabral
Arthur Cabral
Vitoria 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Lucas Arcanjo
G
2
E. Britez
D
25
Caca
D
36
Luan Candido
D
13
Ramon
↓ 59' 🟨 45+3'
D
6
Emmanuel Martinez
↓ 59' 🟨 51'
M
88
Ze Vitor
M
33
Erick
M
10
Matheuzinho
⚽ 27' ↓ 78'
M
12
D. Tarzia
↓ 65'
M
91
Rene
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
71
Yuri
G
83
Jamerson
↑ 59'
D
70
Fabiano
D
98
Matheusinho
D
18
Kauan
D
15
Walace
↑ 59'
D
8
T. Pochettino
↑ 65'
M
26
Edenilson
M
11
Osvaldo
F
7
Marinho
↑ 78'
F
79
Renato Kayzer
↑ 65'
F
23
Fabricio
F
Botafogo 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
17
Warleson
G
2
Vitinho
D
5
N. Ferraresi
D
33
L. Monzon
🟨 61'
D
13
Alex Telles
D
75
Huguinho
↓ 28' 🟨 2'
M
6
C. Medina
↓ 72'
M
8
Danilo Santos
↓ 72'
M
10
A. Montoro
🟨 29'
M
11
Matheus Martins
↓ 53'
M
19
Arthur Cabral
F
Substitutes
12
Gabriel Batista
G
4
M. Ponte
D
26
Anthony
D
25
Allan
M
23
S. Rodriguez
↑ 72'
M
88
Edenilson
M
91
D. Andrade
↑ 72'
M
59
Kauan Toledo
M
7
Junior Santos
↑ 28'
F
9
Danilo Pereira
↑ 53'
F
77
L. M. Villalba Jaume
F
37
K. Barria
F
Last matches: Vitoria
09.08.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
0
2
L
30.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Palmeiras
0
4
L
26.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
0
2
L
23.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Botafogo
0
0
D
16.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Santos
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
RB Bragantino
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Fluminense
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
0
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Mirassol
1
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Gremio
0
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
11.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Bahia
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
1
2
L
Last matches: Botafogo
09.08.26
Ser
Botafogo
Fluminense
1
1
D
26.07.26
Ser
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
1
0
W
23.07.26
Ser
Botafogo
Vitoria
0
0
D
16.07.26
Ser
Botafogo
Santos
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Bahia
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Corinthians
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Remo
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Internacional
2
2
D
18.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
4
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Coritiba
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Mirassol
3
2
W
29.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
1
4
L
21.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Palmeiras
1
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Flamengo
0
3
L
11.03.26
CON
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
04.03.26
CON
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
H2H: Vitoria vs Botafogo
16.08.26
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
1
0
W
23.07.26
H2H
Botafogo
Vitoria
0
0
D
09.11.25
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
0
0
D
17.07.25
H2H
Botafogo
Vitoria
0
0
D
23.11.24
H2H
Botafogo
Vitoria
1
1
D
12.07.24
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
0
1
L
22.05.24
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
1
2
L
02.05.24
H2H
Botafogo
Vitoria
1
0
L
30.09.21
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
0
0
D
01.07.21
H2H
Botafogo
Vitoria
1
0
L
23.09.18
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
3
4
L
27.05.18
H2H
Botafogo
Vitoria
1
1
D
01.10.17
H2H
Botafogo
Vitoria
2
3
W
14.06.17
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
2
2
D
18.09.16
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
0
1
L
Last matches: Vitoria
30.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Palmeiras
0
4
L
16.07.26
Ser
Vitoria
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Internacional
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Vitoria
Coritiba
4
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Corinthians
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vitoria
Sao Paulo
2
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Mirassol
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Vitoria
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
11.02.26
Ser
Vitoria
Flamengo
1
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
Vitoria
Remo
2
0
W
H2H at home: Vitoria
16.08.26
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
1
0
W
09.11.25
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
0
0
D
12.07.24
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
0
1
L
22.05.24
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
1
2
L
30.09.21
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
0
0
D
23.09.18
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
3
4
L
14.06.17
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
2
2
D
18.09.16
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
0
1
L
Last matches: Botafogo
26.07.26
Ser
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Bahia
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Botafogo
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Chapecoense-sc
4
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Botafogo
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
29.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
1
4
L
21.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
18.03.26
Ser
Botafogo
Palmeiras
1
2
L
04.03.26
CON
Botafogo
Barcelona SC
1
1
D
19.02.26
CON
Botafogo
Nacional Potosí
0
1
L
12.02.26
Ser
Botafogo
Fluminense
0
1
L
05.02.26
Ser
Botafogo
Gremio
3
5
L
H2H away: Botafogo
16.08.26
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
1
0
L
09.11.25
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
0
0
D
12.07.24
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
0
1
W
22.05.24
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
1
2
W
30.09.21
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
0
0
D
23.09.18
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
3
4
W
14.06.17
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
2
2
D
18.09.16
H2H
Vitoria
Botafogo
0
1
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.32
Draw 3.09
Home 2.37
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.85
Draw 2.20
Home 2.94
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.33
Over 1.75 1.41
Over 2.0 1.53
Over 2.25 1.79
Over 2.5 2.06
Over 2.75 2.35
Over 3.0 2.86
Over 3.5 3.52
Over 4.5 7.01
Under 1.5 3.38
Under 1.75 2.96
Under 2.0 2.56
Under 2.25 2.06
Under 2.5 1.81
Under 2.75 1.62
Under 3.0 1.44
Under 3.5 1.31
Under 4.5 1.11
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 3.40
Home 2.30
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.60
Draw 2.20
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.20
Draw 2.40
Home 2.62
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.5 2.00
Over 3.5 3.50
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 5.5 15.00
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 9.50
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 2.5 1.80
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.24
Draw 3.19
Home 2.38
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.90
Draw 1.97
Home 2.93
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 2.38
Home 2.56
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 0.75 1.04
Over 1.0 1.05
Over 1.25 1.17
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 1.75 1.37
Over 2.0 1.48
Over 2.25 1.79
Over 2.5 2.03
Over 2.75 2.20
Over 3.0 2.65
Over 3.25 2.94
Over 3.5 3.18
Over 3.75 3.92
Over 4.0 5.35
Over 4.25 5.69
Over 4.5 6.00
Over 5.0 9.50
Over 5.5 13.50
Over 6.5 29.00
Under 0.5 7.40
Under 0.75 6.89
Under 1.0 6.40
Under 1.25 4.01
Under 1.5 3.08
Under 1.75 2.78
Under 2.0 2.41
Under 2.25 2.07
Under 2.5 1.82
Under 2.75 1.57
Under 3.0 1.40
Under 3.25 1.31
Under 3.5 1.27
Under 3.75 1.18
Under 4.0 1.09
Under 4.25 1.08
Under 4.5 1.06
Under 5.0 1.01
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 3.25
Home 2.28
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 2.20
Home 2.80
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.15
Draw 2.55
Home 2.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.0 1.43
Over 2.25 1.66
Over 2.5 1.89
Over 2.75 2.12
Over 3.0 2.55
Over 3.25 2.88
Over 3.5 3.20
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 5.5 12.50
Under 0.5 10.50
Under 1.5 3.65
Under 2.0 2.80
Under 2.25 2.20
Under 2.5 1.90
Under 2.75 1.70
Under 3.0 1.50
Under 3.25 1.41
Under 3.5 1.34
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 5.5 1.01

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 14 6 3 40:19 21 48
L D W L W
2 22 13 6 3 44:19 25 45
W W D D W
3 23 12 5 6 31:20 11 41
D W D W W
4 23 10 8 5 34:28 6 38
W D D D D
5 23 10 6 7 32:32 0 36
W W W L W
6 23 8 10 5 32:28 4 34
D D D D D
7 22 9 5 8 27:23 4 32
D L D D W
8 22 9 5 8 30:27 3 32
W D W D W
9 23 8 8 7 25:22 3 32
L W D D W
10 23 8 7 8 28:30 -2 31
D W L D L
11 22 8 6 8 35:34 1 30
L D W D W
12 23 8 5 10 23:33 -10 29
W L L L D
13 22 7 6 9 27:26 1 27
D L D L L
14 22 6 7 9 32:35 -3 25
W L D L W
15 22 6 7 9 24:30 -6 25
L W D L L
16 23 5 9 9 24:28 -4 24
D D D L L
17 22 6 5 11 25:35 -10 23
L L W D W
18 23 5 8 10 27:37 -10 23
D D L W L
19 22 5 7 10 23:34 -11 22
L D D L L
20 22 1 8 13 23:46 -23 11
D L D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B