Vitoria vs Botafogo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
43.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Vitoria
Botafogo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vitoria
22 matches
Botafogo
25 matches
| Vitoria | Statistic | Botafogo |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 9 |
| 5 | Draws | 7 |
| 10 | Losses | 9 |
| 22 | Goals For | 38 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.52 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 5.04 |
| 10.77 | Total Shots | 13.16 |
| 4.05 | Corners | 4.04 |
| 44.9% | Ball Possession | 48.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Botafogo's more proactive style and Vitoria's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Vitoria have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vitoria expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Botafogo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Botafogo having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Botafogo. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Vitoria approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 26 points from 21 matches. Their record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 22:31, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Renê Sousa (5 goals), Renato Kayzer (4 goals), Erick (2 goals), with creative support from Erick (4 assists), Gabriel Baralhas (3 assists), Diego Tarzia (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 20 matches, Botafogo have collected 29 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 34:32 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Danilo Santos (7 goals), Arthur Cabral (7 goals), Edenilson (4 goals), with creative support from Alex Telles (3 assists), Álvaro Montoro (3 assists), Danilo Santos (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vitoria won 2 times, Botafogo won 6 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:16 from Vitoria's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53:22 | 31 | 57 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:31 | 10 | 46 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41:35 | 6 | 45 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40:32 | 8 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 39 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:38 | -1 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:29 | 3 | 36 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 35 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 |
Vitoria
Home
|
27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 33 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
| 13 | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 28:29 | -1 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Botafogo
Away
|
26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38:41 | -3 | 32 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 15 | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 29 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:35 | -7 | 28 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 30:43 | -13 | 23 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28:52 | -24 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
D
|