BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Vitória ES
Match Timeline
Democrata GV
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
71'
Diego Guerra
Vitória ES
76'
Rafael Klein
Democrata GV
79'
Araujo
Vitória ES

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 72.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
72.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vitória ES Win 44.1%
Draw 28.4%
Democrata GV Win 27.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vitória ES1
Democrata GV1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vitória ES Vitória ES
WWDLW
7 GF / 6 GA
Democrata GV Democrata GV
WLDWL
5 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
0.4
2
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vitória ES Vitória ES 5 matches
Democrata GV Democrata GV 5 matches
Vitória ES Statistic Democrata GV
2 Wins 3
0 Draws 1
3 Losses 1
7 Goals For 5
6 Goals Against 2
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 0.4
2 BTTS Yes 1
4 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 0
1 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Democrata GV. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Democrata GV having the stronger overall control. Vitória ES have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Democrata GV carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 10 points while Vitória ES sit 5 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Vitória ES Analysis

With 6 points from 5 games and a place of 5, Vitória ES still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 7:6, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Tony (2 goals), Abuda (1 goals), Araujo (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Democrata GV Analysis

Democrata GV come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 10 points after 5 matches. They have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 5:2 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Chico Bala (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Vitória ES won 2 times, Democrata GV won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:8 from Vitória ES's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.75 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (72.5%)
H2H summary: Vitória ES wins 2, draws 0, Democrata GV wins 2
Last matches: Vitória ES
14.06.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Tombense
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Real Noroeste
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Rio Branco ES
2
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Porto BA
0
0
D
04.05.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Democrata GV
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Porto BA
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Rio Branco ES
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Real Noroeste
3
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Tombense
0
1
L
Last matches: Democrata GV
14.06.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Real Noroeste
0
0
D
31.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Rio Branco ES
3
1
W
25.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Porto BA
3
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Tombense
1
3
L
04.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Vitória ES
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Tombense
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Porto BA
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Rio Branco ES
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Real Noroeste
1
0
W
H2H: Vitória ES vs Democrata GV
10.05.26
H2H
Vitória ES
Democrata GV
2
1
W
04.05.26
H2H
Democrata GV
Vitória ES
2
0
L
03.07.23
H2H
Democrata GV
Vitória ES
4
2
L
27.05.23
H2H
Vitória ES
Democrata GV
3
1
W
Last matches: Vitória ES
30.05.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Real Noroeste
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Porto BA
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Rio Branco ES
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Vitória ES
Tombense
0
1
L
H2H at home: Vitória ES
10.05.26
H2H
Vitória ES
Democrata GV
2
1
W
27.05.23
H2H
Vitória ES
Democrata GV
3
1
W
Last matches: Democrata GV
14.06.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Real Noroeste
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Tombense
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Porto BA
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Democrata GV
Rio Branco ES
1
1
D
H2H away: Democrata GV
10.05.26
H2H
Vitória ES
Democrata GV
2
1
L
27.05.23
H2H
Vitória ES
Democrata GV
3
1
L

Standings

Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)