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17.10.2026 15:00
Stadion Rodjeni

Velež vs Borac Banja Luka Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Velež Win 30.9%
Draw 13.1%
Borac Banja Luka Win 56%
Expected Goals (xG)
Velež1
Borac Banja Luka1.74
Recent Form (Last 5)
Velež Velež
WWDLW
17 GF / 23 GA
Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka
WLDWL
49 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.94
Average Goals Scored
2.04
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
7
BTTS Yes
12
7
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
3.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Velež Velež 18 matches
Borac Banja Luka Borac Banja Luka 24 matches
Velež Statistic Borac Banja Luka
7 Wins 15
3 Draws 5
8 Losses 4
17 Goals For 49
23 Goals Against 26
0.94 Avg Goals Scored 2.04
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
7 BTTS Yes 12
14 Over 1.5 19
7 Over 2.5 12
2 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 3.63
0 Total Shots 1
0 Corners 2.63
0% Ball Possession 36.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Borac Banja Luka's more proactive style and Velež's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Borac Banja Luka having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Borac Banja Luka. Borac Banja Luka look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Borac Banja Luka carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 19 points while Velež sit 9 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Velež Analysis

Velež are currently 9 in the standings with 8 points from 9 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 6:14 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Borac Banja Luka Analysis

Borac Banja Luka approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 19 points after 8 outings. They have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 15:7 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Velež won 2 times, Borac Banja Luka won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:13 from Velež's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.57 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.9%)
H2H summary: Velež wins 2, draws 7, Borac Banja Luka wins 5

Standings

Premier Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 0 1 23:7 16 24
W W L W W
2 9 7 1 1 17:7 10 22
W W W W L
3 9 4 2 3 6:5 1 14
D W L L W
4 9 3 3 3 11:12 -1 12
L D D W W
5 9 2 4 3 10:11 -1 10
D L D L L
6 9 2 3 4 11:12 -1 9
D D W L D
7 9 2 3 4 7:14 -7 9
L L L D W
8 9 2 2 5 12:16 -4 8
L D D W L
9 9 2 2 5 6:14 -8 8
D L W L D
10 9 1 4 4 15:20 -5 7
W D L L D
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation