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13.10.2026 19:00
Estadio de la Cerámica
Referee: Daniel Siebert
Villarreal
Match Timeline
Napoli
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
A. Rrahmani
Napoli
⚽
23'
G. Mikautadze
Villarreal
⚽
26'
S. Mourino · Assist: G. Moreno
Villarreal
🟨
33'
Georges Mikautadze
Villarreal
🟨
55'
Giovane
Napoli
🔄
60'
Giovane ↔ N. Lang
Napoli
🔄
60'
M. Politano ↔ David Neres
Napoli
🔄
61'
S. McTominay ↔ L. Spinazzola
Napoli
🟨
62'
Kevin De Bruyne
Napoli
🔄
63'
G. Moreno ↔ T. Oluwaseyi
Villarreal
🔄
64'
G. Mikautadze ↔ A. Freeman
Villarreal
🟨
67'
Nathan-Dylan Saliba
Villarreal
🔄
68'
A. Moleiro ↔ J. Foyth
Villarreal
🔄
72'
B. Gilmour ↔ S. Lobotka
Napoli
🔄
73'
R. Marin ↔ L. Lucca
Napoli
🔄
83'
S. Comesana ↔ A. Perez
Villarreal
🔄
84'
P. Gueye ↔ S. Cardona
Villarreal
🟨
85'
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
Napoli
⚽
86'
T. Oluwaseyi · Assist: A. Perez
Villarreal

Villarreal vs Napoli Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.8%
Odds 2.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.8%
2.17 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.62 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.23 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Villarreal Win 49.8%
Draw 13.4%
Napoli Win 36.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Villarreal1.44
Napoli1.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
Villarreal Villarreal
WWDLW
21 GF / 20 GA
Napoli Napoli
WLDWL
22 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.83
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
9
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
6
6.22
Shots on Goal
4.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Villarreal Villarreal 13 matches
Napoli Napoli 12 matches
Villarreal Statistic Napoli
5 Wins 6
2 Draws 2
6 Losses 4
21 Goals For 22
20 Goals Against 14
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
9 BTTS Yes 7
10 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 6
7 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 1
6.22 Shots On Goal 4.57
15.56 Total Shots 13.29
6.78 Corners 4.71
59.3% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Villarreal won 2 times, Napoli won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:7 from Villarreal's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.6%)
Predicted formations: Villarreal 4-4-2 / Napoli 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Villarreal 2, Napoli 7
H2H summary: Villarreal wins 2, draws 1, Napoli wins 2

Standings

UEFA Champions League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 2 0 0 10:3 7 6
W W
2 2 2 0 0 9:2 7 6
W W
3 2 2 0 0 9:2 7 6
W W
4 2 2 0 0 6:1 5 6
W W
5 2 2 0 0 8:4 4 6
W W
6 2 2 0 0 5:1 4 6
W W
7 2 2 0 0 4:0 4 6
W W
8 2 2 0 0 6:4 2 6
W W
9 2 2 0 0 6:4 2 6
W W
10 2 1 1 0 8:3 5 4
D W
11 2 1 1 0 4:2 2 4
W D
12 2 1 0 1 6:4 2 3
L W
13 2 1 0 1 4:2 2 3
L W
14 2 1 0 1 5:4 1 3
W L
15 2 1 0 1 3:2 1 3
W L
16 2 1 0 1 6:6 0 3
W L
17 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
L W
18 2 1 0 1 3:3 0 3
L W
19 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
L W
20 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
L W
21 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
W L
22 2 1 0 1 2:4 -2 3
W L
23 2 1 0 1 4:7 -3 3
W L
24 2 1 0 1 1:5 -4 3
W L
25 2 0 1 1 4:5 -1 1
L D
26 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
L D
27 2 0 1 1 4:6 -2 1
D L
28 2 0 1 1 1:7 -6 1
L D
29 2 0 0 2 4:6 -2 0
L L
30 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
31 2 0 0 2 2:5 -3 0
L L
32 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
L L
33 2 0 0 2 3:7 -4 0
L L
34 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
L L
35 2 0 0 2 2:7 -5 0
L L
36 2 0 0 2 1:9 -8 0
L L
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)