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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
18.10.2026 02:30
Providence Park
Referee: Elijio Arreguin
Portland Timbers
Match Timeline
Colorado Rapids
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Rob Holding
Colorado Rapids
VAR
40'
Omir Fernandez
Portland Timbers
🟨
43'
Kristoffer Velde
Portland Timbers
🟨
43'
Morgan Whittaker
Colorado Rapids
🟨
45+2'
Kosi Thompson
Colorado Rapids
🟨
45+5'
Matthew Elliott Wells
Colorado Rapids
🔄
45'
Rob Holding ↔ Noah Cobb
Colorado Rapids
🔄
62'
Morgan Whittaker ↔ Hamzat Ojediran
Colorado Rapids
🔄
62'
Donavan Phillip ↔ Paxten Aaronson
Colorado Rapids
🔄
67'
Diego Chará ↔ Jose Caicedo
Portland Timbers
🔄
67'
Omir Fernandez ↔ Ariel Lassiter
Portland Timbers
🔄
72'
Eric Izoita ↔ Julio Joao Ortiz Landazuri
Portland Timbers
🔄
72'
Vincent Janssen ↔ Cole Bassett
Portland Timbers
🔄
81'
Georgi Minoungou ↔ Ibrahim Sadiq
Colorado Rapids
🔄
81'
David Da Costa ↔ Alexander Aravena
Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers vs Colorado Rapids Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 74%
Odds 1.93
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.63
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
74%
1.93 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.63 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Portland Timbers Win 74%
Draw 8.7%
Colorado Rapids Win 17.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Portland Timbers1.65
Colorado Rapids1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
WWDLW
59 GF / 65 GA
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
WLDWL
48 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.74
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.91
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
25
BTTS Yes
18
24
Over 2.5
17
4.48
Shots on Goal
4.34

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 34 matches
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 33 matches
Portland Timbers Statistic Colorado Rapids
10 Wins 12
8 Draws 6
16 Losses 15
59 Goals For 48
65 Goals Against 50
1.74 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.91 Avg Goals Conceded 1.52
25 BTTS Yes 18
31 Over 1.5 23
24 Over 2.5 17
17 Over 3.5 13
2 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 7
4.48 Shots On Goal 4.34
13.34 Total Shots 12.31
4.79 Corners 5.07
51.3% Ball Possession 55.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Portland Timbers have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Colorado Rapids. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Portland Timbers Analysis

Portland Timbers sit 10 with 32 points after 27 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats with a 48:51 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Kevin Kelsy (9 goals), K. Velde (6 goals), David Pereira da Costa (4 goals), with creative support from David Pereira da Costa (7 assists), K. Velde (5 assists), A. Lassiter (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Colorado Rapids Analysis

From their first 27 matches, Colorado Rapids have collected 36 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. The record of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 38:38 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Rafael Navarro (11 goals), P. Aaronson (4 goals), D. Phillip (3 goals), with creative support from P. Aaronson (6 assists), G. Minoungou (2 assists), Rafael Navarro (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Portland Timbers won 7 times, Colorado Rapids won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:17 from Portland Timbers's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.3%)
Predicted formations: Portland Timbers 4-3-3 / Colorado Rapids 4-3-3
Missing players: Portland Timbers 6, Colorado Rapids 7
H2H summary: Portland Timbers wins 7, draws 3, Colorado Rapids wins 5

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 7 7 61:30 31 52
D D L D W
2 30 14 9 7 56:41 15 51
L D W W W
3 29 14 8 7 53:45 8 50
W L W D W
4 29 13 8 8 51:41 10 47
D D W D W
5 29 13 7 9 39:37 2 46
D D L D L
6 30 12 9 9 47:32 15 45
W D L D L
7 29 11 8 10 38:36 2 41
L W W W W
8 30 10 9 11 41:50 -9 39
W L W W D
9 29 11 5 13 41:41 0 38
D D L D W
10 30 8 10 12 47:55 -8 34
W D D L L
11 29 9 6 14 51:56 -5 33
L D L L L
12 29 9 6 14 42:47 -5 33
D L W L L
13 29 8 9 12 51:54 -3 33
D L D D L
14 29 7 10 12 37:54 -17 31
L L D D W
15 29 6 4 19 35:72 -37 22
L D L W L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)