BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga
Referee: Jodis Nascimento de Souza, Brazil
Vila Nova
Match Timeline
Operario-PR
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
Rafa Silva
Vila Nova
43'
Vinicius Diniz · Assist: Boschilia
Operario-PR
🟨
45+3'
Vinícius Diniz
Operario-PR
🟨
45'
Aylon
Operario-PR
🔄
46'
Higor ↔ Willian Formiga
Vila Nova
🔄
46'
Willian Maranhao ↔ Joao Vieira
Vila Nova
🟨
48'
Janderson
Vila Nova
50'
Ryan · Assist: Marquinhos Gabriel
Vila Nova
🟨
51'
Caio Marcelo
Vila Nova
🟨
59'
Pedro Romano
Vila Nova
🔄
62'
Caio Marcelo ↔ Anderson Jesus
Vila Nova
🔄
63'
Caio Dantas ↔ Pedro Vilhena
Operario-PR
🟨
64'
Willian Formiga
Vila Nova
🔄
64'
Matheus Trindade ↔ Neto Paraiba
Operario-PR
🔄
74'
H. Pereira ↔ E. Torres
Operario-PR
🟨
75'
João Vieira
Vila Nova
🔄
81'
Vinicius Diniz ↔ Felipe Augusto
Operario-PR
🔄
81'
Moraes ↔ Gabriel Feliciano
Operario-PR
🟨
82'
Dudu
Vila Nova
🔄
82'
Ryan ↔ Hayner
Vila Nova
🔄
82'
Pedro Romano ↔ Tiago Pagnussat
Vila Nova
VAR
84'
Mikael Doka
Operario-PR
🟨
87'
Rafael Silva
Vila Nova

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 60.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
58.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
60.8%
-
Probability Distribution
Vila Nova Win 40.5%
Draw 34.3%
Operario-PR Win 25.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vila Nova1
Operario-PR0.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vila Nova Vila Nova
WWDLW
6 GF / 4 GA
Operario-PR Operario-PR
WLDWL
3 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.75
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.25
3
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
1
3
Shots on Goal
5.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vila Nova Vila Nova 4 matches
Operario-PR Operario-PR 4 matches
Vila Nova Statistic Operario-PR
2 Wins 2
2 Draws 2
0 Losses 0
6 Goals For 3
4 Goals Against 1
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.25
3 BTTS Yes 1
3 Over 1.5 1
2 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 3
0 Failed To Score 2
3 Shots On Goal 5.75
11.75 Total Shots 12.75
4 Corners 5.25
52% Ball Possession 51%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Operario-PR. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vila Nova expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Operario-PR in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Operario-PR having the stronger overall control.

Vila Nova Analysis

Vila Nova arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 8 points after 4 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, while the 6:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Dellatorre (1 goals), Dudu (1 goals), Gustavo Puskas (1 goals), with creative support from Ryan (2 assists), Janderson (1 assists), João Vieira (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Operario-PR Analysis

Operario-PR arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 8 points after 4 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, while the 3:1 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Pablo (2 goals), Gabriel Boschilia (1 goals), with creative support from Aylon (1 assists), Mikael Doka (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Vila Nova won 5 times, Operario-PR won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:9 from Vila Nova's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (74.8%)
Predicted formations: Vila Nova 4-2-3-1 / Operario-PR 4-3-3
H2H summary: Vila Nova wins 5, draws 5, Operario-PR wins 1
Stats
Vila Nova Vila Nova
Operario-PR Operario-PR
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 6
22 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 11
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 4
4 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
304 Total passes 366
245 Passes accurate 299
1.27 expected_goals 1.01
🟨 7 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Vila Nova
Formation
Operario-PR
Helton Leite
Helton Leite
Elias
Elias
Pedro Romano
Pedro Romano
Caio Marcelo
Caio Marcelo
Higor
Higor
Dudu
Dudu
Willian Maranhao
Willian Maranhao
Ryan
Ryan
Marquinhos Gabriel
🎯
Marquinhos Gabriel
Janderson
Janderson
Rafa Silva
Rafa Silva
Elias Curzel
Elias Curzel
Mikael Doka
Mikael Doka
J. Cuenu
J. Cuenu
Miranda
Miranda
Moraes
Moraes
Vinicius Diniz
Vinicius Diniz
Matheus Trindade
Matheus Trindade
Boschilia
🎯
Boschilia
H. Pereira
H. Pereira
Caio Dantas
Caio Dantas
Aylon
Aylon
Vila Nova 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Helton Leite
G
2
Elias
D
4
Pedro Romano
↓ 82' 🟨 59'
D
38
Caio Marcelo
↓ 62' 🟨 51'
D
6
Higor
↓ 46'
D
15
Dudu
🟨 82'
M
8
Willian Maranhao
↓ 46'
M
11
Ryan
⚽ 50' ↓ 82'
10
Marquinhos Gabriel
🎯 50'
M
99
Janderson
🟨 48'
M
9
Rafa Silva
⚽ 19' 🟨 87'
F
Substitutes
29
Dalberson
G
33
Bruno Xavier
M
22
Hayner
↑ 82'
D
7
Ruan Ribeiro
F
20
Nathan Camargo
M
18
Enzo Bizzotto
M
3
Tiago Pagnussat
↑ 82'
D
21
Dodo
M
13
Willian Formiga
↑ 46' 🟨 64'
D
5
Joao Vieira
↑ 46' 🟨 75'
M
14
Anderson Jesus
↑ 62'
19
Gustavo Puskas
F
Operario-PR 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Elias Curzel
G
2
Mikael Doka
D
22
J. Cuenu
D
16
Miranda
D
6
Moraes
↓ 81'
D
20
Vinicius Diniz
⚽ 43' ↓ 81' 🟨 45+3'
M
39
Matheus Trindade
↓ 64'
M
10
Boschilia
🎯 43'
M
14
H. Pereira
↓ 74'
F
25
Caio Dantas
↓ 63'
F
11
Aylon
🟨 45'
F
Substitutes
41
Diego Monteiro
G
7
Felipe Augusto
↑ 81'
F
3
Charles Raphael
88
Neto Paraiba
↑ 64'
M
27
Gabriel Feliciano
↑ 81'
D
30
Pedro Vilhena
↑ 63'
4
Andre
D
28
Maguinho
D
5
Klaus
D
29
E. Torres
↑ 74'
F
18
J. Pool
Last matches: Vila Nova
22.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
2
1
W
18.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Criciuma
0
2
L
10.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Juventude
0
1
L
06.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
2
1
W
26.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
1
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
4
3
W
14.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
0
1
L
08.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Londrina
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Avai
2
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Goias
0
1
L
04.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Ceara
3
3
D
11.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Vila Nova
CRB
2
2
D
Last matches: Operario-PR
22.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Ponte Preta
3
2
W
18.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Sport Recife
2
2
D
12.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Novorizontino
2
1
W
07.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Athletic Club
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Goias
3
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
05.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Juventude
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Ceara
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Criciuma
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Nautico Recife
2
6
L
09.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
CRB
0
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Londrina
3
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Fortaleza EC
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Cuiaba
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Avai
0
0
D
02.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Atletico Goianiense
1
0
W
H2H: Vila Nova vs Operario-PR
18.04.26
H2H
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
2
1
W
02.11.25
H2H
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
2
2
D
11.07.25
H2H
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
0
0
D
21.08.24
H2H
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
2
3
W
04.05.24
H2H
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
1
0
W
30.09.22
H2H
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
1
1
D
16.06.22
H2H
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
0
0
D
29.09.21
H2H
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
2
1
W
28.06.21
H2H
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
1
2
W
08.11.19
H2H
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
0
0
D
09.08.19
H2H
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
1
0
L
Last matches: Vila Nova
22.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
2
1
W
06.07.26
Ser
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
2
1
W
20.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
4
3
W
08.06.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Avai
2
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
1
1
D
04.04.26
Ser
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
21.03.26
Ser
Vila Nova
CRB
2
2
D
H2H at home: Vila Nova
18.04.26
H2H
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
2
1
W
11.07.25
H2H
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
0
0
D
04.05.24
H2H
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
1
0
W
16.06.22
H2H
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
0
0
D
29.09.21
H2H
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
2
1
W
08.11.19
H2H
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
0
0
D
Last matches: Operario-PR
18.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Sport Recife
2
2
D
07.07.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Athletic Club
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Goias
3
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Ceara
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Operario-PR
CRB
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
Avai
0
0
D
02.04.26
Ser
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
2
1
W
H2H away: Operario-PR
18.04.26
H2H
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
2
1
L
11.07.25
H2H
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
0
0
D
04.05.24
H2H
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
1
0
L
16.06.22
H2H
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
0
0
D
29.09.21
H2H
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
2
1
L
08.11.19
H2H
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
0
0
D

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 11 6 2 23:12 11 39
W W W W W
2 19 10 5 4 27:22 5 35
W D W W W
3 19 10 4 5 27:22 5 34
W L L W L
4 19 9 5 5 21:12 9 32
L W W D W
5 19 9 4 6 22:19 3 31
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 28:18 10 30
L L L W W
7 19 8 5 6 21:25 -4 29
D W D W W
8 19 7 7 5 20:19 1 28
W D W L W
9 19 6 10 3 24:18 6 28
D D D L L
10 19 7 6 6 25:19 6 27
L D D L L
11 19 6 9 4 18:17 1 27
W D D L W
12 19 7 5 7 29:32 -3 26
W W D L W
13 19 7 3 9 24:24 0 24
W L L D L
14 19 6 6 7 24:20 4 24
W D D W L
15 19 5 9 5 14:14 0 24
L L D W D
16 19 5 5 9 26:27 -1 20
L D D W D
17 19 5 5 9 21:26 -5 20
W D W L L
18 19 4 7 8 16:22 -6 19
L D D L L
19 19 2 2 15 14:38 -24 8
L L L L L
20 19 1 5 13 13:31 -18 8
L D D L L
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