Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
71%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
90.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Vila Nova
Avai
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vila Nova
8 matches
Avai
8 matches
| Vila Nova | Statistic | Avai |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 4 | Draws | 4 |
| 1 | Losses | 2 |
| 12 | Goals For | 10 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 9 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.5 | Shots On Goal | 3.5 |
| 12.63 | Total Shots | 12.63 |
| 4.63 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 54.9% | Ball Possession | 50.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Avai.
Vila Nova come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 13 points from 8 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 12:10 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Rafael Silva (3 goals), Dellatorre (2 goals), Ryan (2 goals), with creative support from Ryan (2 assists), Janderson (2 assists), Marquinhos Gabriel (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
From their first 8 matches, Avai have collected 10 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:9 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Walace Franca (3 goals), Luiz Henrique (2 goals), F. Avenatti (1 goals), with creative support from Thayllon (2 assists), Jean Lucas (1 assists), Allyson (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vila Nova won 5 times, Avai won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:18 from Vila Nova's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Vila Nova
6
3
3
1
5
3
Lineups
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
CRB
Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
Criciuma
Vila Nova
Juventude
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Cuiaba
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
Londrina
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
Goias
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Ceara
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Ponte Preta
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
CRB
Avai
CRB
Avai
Juventude
Avai
America Mineiro
Avai
São Bernardo
Avai
Nautico Recife
Avai
Botafogo SP
Avai
Athletic Club
Avai
Cuiaba
Avai
Londrina
Avai
Ceara
Avai
Criciuma
Avai
Goias
Avai
Fortaleza EC
Avai
Novorizontino
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
Ponte Preta
Avai
Sport Recife
Avai
Operario-PR
Avai
CRB
Avai
Juventude
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
Vila Nova
Operario-PR
Vila Nova
Atletico Goianiense
Vila Nova
CRB
Avai
Juventude
Avai
São Bernardo
Avai
Botafogo SP
Avai
Athletic Club
Avai
Londrina
Avai
Ceara
Avai
Atletico Goianiense
Avai
Sport Recife
Avai
CRB
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 40 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 23:12 | 11 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 35 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 29:28 | 1 | 35 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Vila Nova
Home
|
21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 27:25 | 2 | 34 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
| 6 | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 22:26 | -4 | 32 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 32 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31:24 | 7 | 30 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 31:32 | -1 | 29 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 26:22 | 4 | 27 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 26 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 26 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 17 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 27:32 | -5 | 20 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 |
Avai
Away
|
20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
| 19 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 15:33 | -18 | 11 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15:41 | -26 | 9 |
L
D
L
L
L
|