KENYA SUPER LEAGUE
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 83.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 68.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 59.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
83.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
68.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
59.7%
-
Probability Distribution
Vihiga United FC Win 16.8%
Draw 0%
Equity Bank Win 83.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vihiga United FC0.85
Equity Bank1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vihiga United FC Vihiga United FC
WWDLW
23 GF / 40 GA
Equity Bank Equity Bank
WLDWL
39 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1.34
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
14
BTTS Yes
15
13
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vihiga United FC Vihiga United FC 28 matches
Equity Bank Equity Bank 29 matches
Vihiga United FC Statistic Equity Bank
6 Wins 15
8 Draws 9
14 Losses 5
23 Goals For 39
40 Goals Against 26
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.34
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
14 BTTS Yes 15
17 Over 1.5 20
13 Over 2.5 11
8 Over 3.5 6
9 Clean Sheets 11
11 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Equity Bank's more proactive style and Vihiga United FC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Equity Bank. Vihiga United FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Equity Bank having the stronger overall control. Equity Bank carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 54 points while Vihiga United FC sit 20 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Vihiga United FC Analysis

Vihiga United FC sit 20 with 20 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 8 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 22:40 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Equity Bank Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 54 points from 29 games, Equity Bank bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 15 wins, 9 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 39:26, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Vihiga United FC won 0 times, Equity Bank won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:6 from Vihiga United FC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Vihiga United FC wins 0, draws 0, Equity Bank wins 2
Last matches: Vihiga United FC
13.06.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kisumu All Stars
0
1
L
07.06.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
01.06.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Naivas
0
2
L
27.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
23.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Darajani Gogo
0
1
L
17.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Soy United
1
0
W
09.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
01.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
3K
2
3
L
18.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mwatate United
1
3
L
12.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
MCF
0
0
D
03.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
29.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
21.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
MOFA
2
3
L
14.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
08.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Migori Youth
0
2
L
01.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Fortune Sacco
0
0
D
20.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Nzoia Sugar
0
4
L
14.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Talanta
1
3
L
01.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
24.01.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
Last matches: Equity Bank
13.06.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Mwatate United
2
0
W
07.06.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Migori Youth
1
2
L
01.06.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Soy United
1
0
W
27.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Fortune Sacco
4
0
W
23.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
3K
0
0
D
17.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
09.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Darajani Gogo
4
0
W
03.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nairobi City Stars
1
0
W
18.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MOFA
0
0
D
12.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Gucha Stars
1
1
D
03.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Talanta
2
0
W
29.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Luanda Villa
1
0
W
25.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MCF
3
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
07.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
22.02.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
14.02.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Naivas
1
1
D
31.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
24.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Talanta
0
0
D
H2H: Vihiga United FC vs Equity Bank
26.04.26
H2H
Vihiga United FC
Equity Bank
0
4
L
21.12.25
H2H
Equity Bank
Vihiga United FC
2
1
L
Last matches: Vihiga United FC
07.06.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
27.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Gucha Stars
1
0
W
17.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Soy United
1
0
W
01.05.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
3K
2
3
L
12.04.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
MCF
0
0
D
29.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kabati Youth FC
2
1
W
08.03.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Migori Youth
0
2
L
20.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Nzoia Sugar
0
4
L
01.02.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kibera Black Stars
2
1
W
24.01.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mombasa Elite
1
3
L
11.01.26
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Mwatate United
1
2
L
07.12.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Darajani Gogo
1
0
W
30.11.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Fortune Sacco
0
1
L
16.11.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Talanta
0
2
L
29.10.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Kisumu All Stars
0
0
D
11.10.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
Naivas
0
0
D
05.10.25
Sup
Vihiga United FC
MOFA
0
1
L
H2H at home: Vihiga United FC
26.04.26
H2H
Vihiga United FC
Equity Bank
0
4
L
Last matches: Equity Bank
07.06.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Migori Youth
1
2
L
27.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Fortune Sacco
4
0
W
23.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
3K
0
0
D
09.05.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Darajani Gogo
4
0
W
12.04.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Gucha Stars
1
1
D
25.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MCF
3
0
W
22.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Kabati Youth FC
1
0
W
14.03.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Nzoia Sugar
1
0
W
14.02.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Naivas
1
1
D
24.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Talanta
0
0
D
11.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
MOFA
1
1
D
07.01.26
Sup
Equity Bank
Soy United
1
2
L
12.12.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Nairobi City Stars
0
2
L
03.12.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Kisumu All Stars
1
1
D
22.11.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Mombasa Elite
0
2
L
09.11.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Kibera Black Stars
1
0
W
28.10.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Mwatate United
2
2
D
28.09.25
Sup
Equity Bank
Luanda Villa
1
1
D
H2H away: Equity Bank
26.04.26
H2H
Vihiga United FC
Equity Bank
0
4
W

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 25 6 7 57:29 28 81
D W W W W
2 38 23 8 7 62:26 36 77
D W W D D
3 38 24 4 10 51:32 19 76
D W L D W
4 38 21 11 6 56:28 28 74
W L W W D
5 38 16 16 6 51:30 21 64
D D D D L
6 38 18 9 11 61:41 20 63
W W L L L
7 38 17 10 11 47:30 17 61
D L W W W
8 38 16 9 13 53:41 12 57
L W L W W
9 38 15 8 15 32:33 -1 53
L L D D L
10 38 14 10 14 31:27 4 52
W D L D W
11 38 12 14 12 37:36 1 50
W L W L L
12 38 12 8 18 35:41 -6 44
W L W L W
13 38 12 7 19 30:51 -21 43
L D W L L
14 38 10 9 19 32:52 -20 39
D W W W L
15 38 10 9 19 23:47 -24 39
W L L D W
16 38 9 12 17 32:44 -12 39
L L L D D
17 38 10 8 20 27:48 -21 38
W W L D W
18 38 9 10 19 24:42 -18 34
L W W L D
19 38 9 9 20 29:55 -26 30
L D L W L
20 38 6 7 25 27:64 -37 25
L L L L L
Promotion - Premier League
Relegation