VfL Wolfsburg vs Bayern München Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
96.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
94.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
VfL Wolfsburg
Bayern München
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
VfL Wolfsburg
32 matches
Bayern München
47 matches
| VfL Wolfsburg | Statistic | Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 38 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 18 | Losses | 3 |
| 42 | Goals For | 161 |
| 67 | Goals Against | 56 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.43 |
| 2.09 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 24 | BTTS Yes | 34 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 47 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 44 |
| 14 | Over 3.5 | 34 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 8.28 |
| 11.53 | Total Shots | 18.98 |
| 4.25 | Corners | 6.11 |
| 45.4% | Ball Possession | 65.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Bayern München's more proactive style and VfL Wolfsburg's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with VfL Wolfsburg expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Bayern München in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bayern München having the stronger overall control. Bayern München carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 83 points while VfL Wolfsburg sit 16 on 26, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Bayern München look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Bayern München.
VfL Wolfsburg sit 16 with 26 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 8 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 42:67, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through M. Amoura (8 goals), Dženan Pejčinović (7 goals), Konstantinos Koulierakis (4 goals), with creative support from C. Eriksen (8 assists), S. Kumbedi (5 assists), Maximilian Arnold (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 1 place with 83 points from 32 games, Bayern München bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 26 wins, 5 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 116:35, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through H. Kane (33 goals), L. Diaz (15 goals), M. Olise (14 goals), with creative support from M. Olise (19 assists), L. Diaz (13 assists), Konrad Laimer (8 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 13 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, VfL Wolfsburg won 0 times, Bayern München won 14 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:48 from VfL Wolfsburg's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 4.07 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
Away
|
34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 122:36 | 86 | 89 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70:34 | 36 | 73 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 66:47 | 19 | 65 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 71:49 | 22 | 62 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 65:52 | 13 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 68:47 | 21 | 59 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 51:57 | -6 | 47 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 61:65 | -4 | 44 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45:61 | -16 | 43 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 44:53 | -9 | 40 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:58 | -14 | 39 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 38 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:54 | -14 | 38 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 49:63 | -14 | 32 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 |
VfL Wolfsburg
Home
|
34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 45:69 | -24 | 29 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 41:72 | -31 | 26 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:60 | -31 | 26 |
L
L
L
L
D
|