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GERMANY › 3. LIGA
14.10.2026 17:00
Stadion an der Poststraße
Referee: Jonah Samuel Njie Besong
Verl
Match Timeline
SSV Jahn Regensburg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
38'
Lucas Hermes · Assist: David Lennart Philipp
SSV Jahn Regensburg
⚽
43'
Oscar Schoenfelder · Assist: Nassim Boujellab
SSV Jahn Regensburg
🟨
53'
Andre Leipold
Verl
🔄
56'
Mika Clausen ↔ Kasim Rabihic
Verl
🔄
56'
Joshua Eze ↔ Fabian Wessig
Verl
🔄
61'
David Lennart Philipp ↔ Marco Womer
SSV Jahn Regensburg
⚽
65'
Dennis Waidner · Assist: Tim Heike
Verl
🟨
68'
Sascha Hingerl
SSV Jahn Regensburg
🔄
71'
Sascha Hingerl ↔ Zeteny Jano
SSV Jahn Regensburg
🔄
71'
Janne Berner ↔ Emmanuel Bamba
Verl
🔄
71'
Lucas Hermes ↔ Jakob Seibold
SSV Jahn Regensburg
⚽
73'
Dennis Waidner · Assist: Andre Leipold
Verl
🔄
87'
Dennis Waidner ↔ Yari Otto
Verl
🔄
87'
Nassim Boujellab ↔ John Xaver Posselt
SSV Jahn Regensburg
🔄
88'
Andre Leipold ↔ Alem Japaur
Verl

Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 49.3%
Odds 2.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.36
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.37
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
49.3%
2.25 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.36 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.37 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.14 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Verl Win 49.3%
Draw 15.6%
SSV Jahn Regensburg Win 35.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Verl1.89
SSV Jahn Regensburg1.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Verl Verl
WWDLW
29 GF / 27 GA
SSV Jahn Regensburg SSV Jahn Regensburg
WLDWL
35 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
2.06
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.82
9
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
12
5.63
Shots on Goal
4.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Verl Verl 15 matches
SSV Jahn Regensburg SSV Jahn Regensburg 17 matches
Verl Statistic SSV Jahn Regensburg
7 Wins 8
2 Draws 3
6 Losses 6
29 Goals For 35
27 Goals Against 31
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 2.06
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.82
9 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 2
5.63 Shots On Goal 4.63
13 Total Shots 10.25
4.25 Corners 3.5
44.8% Ball Possession 38.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Verl expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and SSV Jahn Regensburg in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward SSV Jahn Regensburg having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward SSV Jahn Regensburg. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. SSV Jahn Regensburg arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Verl arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 11 with 10 points compared to SSV Jahn Regensburg in 18 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Verl Analysis

Verl sit 11 with 10 points after 7 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 10:13 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

SSV Jahn Regensburg Analysis

SSV Jahn Regensburg sit 18 with 5 points after 7 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 13:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Verl won 0 times, SSV Jahn Regensburg won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:7 from Verl's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.4%)
Predicted formations: Verl 4-2-3-1 / SSV Jahn Regensburg 3-5-2
H2H summary: Verl wins 0, draws 1, SSV Jahn Regensburg wins 3

Standings

3 Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 0 1 26:11 15 24
W W W W L
2 9 6 1 2 26:13 13 19
D W W W W
3 9 5 3 1 18:12 6 18
W D D W W
4 9 4 3 2 17:17 0 15
L W D W L
5 9 4 2 3 21:16 5 14
L D W D L
6 9 4 2 3 10:10 0 14
W D L W W
7 9 4 1 4 18:14 4 13
L L W W D
8 9 4 1 4 16:14 2 13
L W W L W
9 9 3 3 3 16:18 -2 12
L D L D W
10
Verl Home
9 3 3 3 14:17 -3 12
D D W D W
11 9 3 2 4 16:18 -2 11
W D D L L
12 9 3 2 4 13:16 -3 11
L L W L D
13 9 3 2 4 12:15 -3 11
W L L L W
14 9 3 2 4 12:15 -3 11
W W L W L
15 9 2 4 3 8:10 -2 10
L D W L D
16 9 3 1 5 11:16 -5 10
W D L L L
17 9 2 3 4 20:19 1 9
D W D L D
18 9 2 3 4 9:16 -7 9
D L L D D
19 9 2 2 5 13:19 -6 8
D L L W L
20 9 1 2 6 12:22 -10 5
D L L L D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation