BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio São Januário
Referee: A. Daronco
Vasco DA Gama
Match Timeline
Atletico-MG
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
32'
Vitor Hugo · Assist: Bernard
Atletico-MG
🟨
34'
Cauan Barros
Vasco DA Gama
🔄
58'
N. Moreira ↔ David
Vasco DA Gama
🔄
63'
Victor Hugo ↔ Alexsander
Atletico-MG
🔄
63'
Bernard ↔ M. Cisse
Atletico-MG
🔄
69'
J. Rojas ↔ Bruno Lopes
Vasco DA Gama
🔄
80'
Adson ↔ Lukas Zuccarello
Vasco DA Gama
🔄
80'
J. Rodriguez ↔ Paulo Henrique
Vasco DA Gama
🔄
80'
Reinier ↔ Caua
Atletico-MG
🔄
80'
R. Lodi ↔ K. Pascini
Atletico-MG
🟨
88'
Iván Román
Atletico-MG

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 37.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 37.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
37.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
37.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Vasco DA Gama Win 44.6%
Draw 12.7%
Atletico-MG Win 42.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vasco DA Gama1.31
Atletico-MG1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
WWDLW
22 GF / 28 GA
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
WLDWL
21 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
13
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
8
5.35
Shots on Goal
4.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 17 matches
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 17 matches
Vasco DA Gama Statistic Atletico-MG
5 Wins 6
5 Draws 3
7 Losses 8
22 Goals For 21
28 Goals Against 23
1.29 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
13 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 11
11 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 7
5.35 Shots On Goal 4.53
17.29 Total Shots 13.76
5.47 Corners 4.94
54.1% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 6 times, Atletico-MG won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:23 from Vasco DA Gama's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.3%)
Predicted formations: Vasco DA Gama 4-1-4-1 / Atletico-MG 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Vasco DA Gama 3, Atletico-MG 8
H2H summary: Vasco DA Gama wins 6, draws 3, Atletico-MG wins 6
Stats
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
9
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 4
20 Fouls 17
1 Offsides 2
60% Ball Possession 40%
25 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots off Goal 3
9 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 6
17 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 8
487 Total passes 334
424 Passes accurate 255
1.22 expected_goals 0.49
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Vasco DA Gama
Formation
Atletico-MG
Leo Jardim
Leo Jardim
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
C. Cuesta
C. Cuesta
Robert Renan
Robert Renan
Cuiabano
Cuiabano
Cauan Barros
Cauan Barros
Adson
Adson
Thiago Mendes
Thiago Mendes
J. Rojas
J. Rojas
N. Moreira
N. Moreira
C. Spinelli
C. Spinelli
Everson
Everson
I. Roman
I. Roman
Lyanco
Lyanco
Vitor Hugo
Vitor Hugo
Natanael
Natanael
T. Perez
T. Perez
Victor Hugo
Victor Hugo
R. Lodi
R. Lodi
Cuello
Cuello
Bernard
🎯
Bernard
Reinier
Reinier
Vasco DA Gama 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
Leo Jardim
G
2
J. Rodriguez
↓ 80'
D
46
C. Cuesta
D
30
Robert Renan
D
66
Cuiabano
D
88
Cauan Barros
🟨 34'
M
28
Adson
↓ 80'
M
23
Thiago Mendes
M
10
J. Rojas
↓ 69'
M
17
N. Moreira
↓ 58'
M
77
C. Spinelli
F
Substitutes
13
Daniel Fuzato
G
25
Hugo Moura
M
83
Ramon Rique
M
86
Lukas Zuccarello
↑ 80'
M
72
Bruno Lopes
↑ 69'
F
43
Lucas Freitas
D
96
Paulo Henrique
↑ 80'
D
3
Tche Tche
M
7
David
↑ 58'
F
82
Riquelme Avellar
D
60
Joao Vitor
64
Walace Fernandes
D
Atletico-MG 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
22
Everson
G
3
I. Roman
🟨 88'
D
13
Lyanco
D
14
Vitor Hugo
⚽ 32'
D
2
Natanael
M
25
T. Perez
M
30
Victor Hugo
↓ 63'
M
16
R. Lodi
↓ 80'
M
28
Cuello
F
11
Bernard
🎯 32' ↓ 63'
F
19
Reinier
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
31
Robert
G
1
Gabriel Delfim
G
5
Alexsander
↑ 63'
M
48
Mateus Iseppe
M
40
Vitao
D
92
Dudu
F
17
Igor Gomes
M
29
Caua
↑ 80'
F
36
K. Pascini
↑ 80'
D
39
M. Cisse
↑ 63'
M
Last matches: Vasco DA Gama
25.07.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
1
1
D
16.07.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
1
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
2
1
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
3
2
W
15.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
3
3
D
12.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
2
1
W
26.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
1
2
L
12.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
0
1
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
1
2
L
Last matches: Atletico-MG
26.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
1
W
21.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Santos
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
02.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
0
2
L
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
04.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
2
D
H2H: Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico-MG
31.05.26
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
07.12.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
5
0
L
10.08.25
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
04.12.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
02.10.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
L
21.07.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
2
0
L
20.08.23
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
16.04.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
W
24.01.21
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
3
2
W
04.10.20
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
4
1
L
02.10.19
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
W
02.05.19
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
2
L
23.08.18
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
0
0
D
15.04.18
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
Last matches: Vasco DA Gama
25.07.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
2
1
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
3
2
W
12.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
2
1
W
12.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
0
1
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
H2H at home: Vasco DA Gama
31.05.26
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
10.08.25
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
04.12.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
20.08.23
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
24.01.21
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
3
2
W
02.05.19
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
2
L
15.04.18
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
Last matches: Atletico-MG
26.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Santos
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
1
L
14.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
0
2
L
26.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
2
L
04.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
H2H away: Atletico-MG
31.05.26
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
0
1
W
10.08.25
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
04.12.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
2
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
20.08.23
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
0
L
24.01.21
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
3
2
L
02.05.19
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
2
W
15.04.18
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
2
1
L

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 14 5 2 38:16 22 47
W L W W W
2 20 11 6 3 37:18 19 39
D D W W L
3 21 11 4 6 28:19 9 37
D W W W W
4 21 9 7 5 30:25 5 34
D D D D L
5 21 8 8 5 29:25 4 32
D D D W W
6 20 9 4 7 26:20 6 31
D D W W W
7 21 8 6 7 27:30 -3 30
W L W D W
8 20 8 5 7 34:32 2 29
W D W L D
9 21 7 8 6 22:20 2 29
D D W W W
10 20 8 4 8 25:25 0 28
W D W L W
11 21 7 6 8 25:28 -3 27
L D L L W
12 20 7 5 8 25:23 2 26
D L L D L
13 21 7 5 9 22:31 -9 26
L L D W L
14 20 6 5 9 23:27 -4 23
W D W L W
15 20 5 7 8 29:33 -4 22
D L W L L
16 21 5 7 9 23:27 -4 22
D L L L L
17 20 5 7 8 22:26 -4 22
D L L W D
18 20 5 6 9 23:31 -8 21
D L L L L
19 21 5 6 10 24:34 -10 21
L W L W L
20 20 1 7 12 19:41 -22 10
?
LIBC CL group stage
LIBC Play-offs
Copa Sudamericana Group Stage
Relegation

Missing Players

Vasco DA Gama 3 missing
-
Mateus Carvalho
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Andres Gomez
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
Jair
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
Atletico-MG 8 missing
-
J. Alonso
Missing Fixture International duty
OUT
-
A. Preciado
Missing Fixture International duty
OUT
-
Ruan Tressoldi
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
A. Franco
Missing Fixture International duty
OUT
-
Gustavo Scarpa
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Maycon
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Patrick Silva
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
A. Minda
Missing Fixture International duty
OUT