Vasco DA Gama
Match Timeline
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico-MG Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
BTTS No
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
87.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
37.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Vasco DA Gama Win 44.6%
Draw 12.7%
Atletico-MG Win 42.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vasco DA Gama1.31
Atletico-MG1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vasco DA Gama
WWDLW
22 GF / 28 GA
Atletico-MG
WLDWL
21 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
13
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
8
5.35
Shots on Goal
4.53
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vasco DA Gama
17 matches
Atletico-MG
17 matches
| Vasco DA Gama | Statistic | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 3 |
| 7 | Losses | 8 |
| 22 | Goals For | 21 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 5.35 | Shots On Goal | 4.53 |
| 17.29 | Total Shots | 13.76 |
| 5.47 | Corners | 4.94 |
| 54.1% | Ball Possession | 48.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 6 times, Atletico-MG won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:23 from Vasco DA Gama's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.3%)
Predicted formations: Vasco DA Gama 4-1-4-1 / Atletico-MG 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Vasco DA Gama 3, Atletico-MG 8
H2H summary: Vasco DA Gama wins 6, draws 3, Atletico-MG wins 6
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 |
Atletico-MG
Away
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 |
Vasco DA Gama
Home
|
27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 17 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B