Vasco DA Gama
Match Timeline
Atletico-MG
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
BTTS No
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
87.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
37.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Vasco DA Gama Win 44.6%
Draw 12.7%
Atletico-MG Win 42.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vasco DA Gama1.31
Atletico-MG1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vasco DA Gama
WWDLW
22 GF / 28 GA
Atletico-MG
WLDWL
21 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.29
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
13
BTTS Yes
7
11
Over 2.5
8
5.35
Shots on Goal
4.53
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Vasco DA Gama
17 matches
Atletico-MG
17 matches
| Vasco DA Gama | Statistic | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 6 |
| 5 | Draws | 3 |
| 7 | Losses | 8 |
| 22 | Goals For | 21 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.29 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.35 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 5.35 | Shots On Goal | 4.53 |
| 17.29 | Total Shots | 13.76 |
| 5.47 | Corners | 4.94 |
| 54.1% | Ball Possession | 48.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Vasco DA Gama won 6 times, Atletico-MG won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:23 from Vasco DA Gama's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.3%)
Predicted formations: Vasco DA Gama 4-1-4-1 / Atletico-MG 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Vasco DA Gama 3, Atletico-MG 8
H2H summary: Vasco DA Gama wins 6, draws 3, Atletico-MG wins 6
Stats
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
Shots on Goal
8
8
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots off Goal
8
8
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
9
9
Blocked Shots
3
3
Lineups
Vasco DA Gama
Formation
Atletico-MG
Leo Jardim
J. Rodriguez
C. Cuesta
Robert Renan
Cuiabano
Cauan Barros
Adson
Thiago Mendes
J. Rojas
N. Moreira
C. Spinelli
Everson
I. Roman
Lyanco
Vitor Hugo
Natanael
T. Perez
Victor Hugo
R. Lodi
Cuello
Bernard
Reinier
Vasco DA Gama
4-1-4-1
Starting XI
1
Leo Jardim
G
2
J. Rodriguez
D
↓ 80'
46
C. Cuesta
D
30
Robert Renan
D
66
Cuiabano
D
88
Cauan Barros
M
🟨 34'
28
Adson
M
↓ 80'
23
Thiago Mendes
M
10
J. Rojas
M
↓ 69'
17
N. Moreira
M
↓ 58'
77
C. Spinelli
F
Substitutes
13
Daniel Fuzato
G
25
Hugo Moura
M
83
Ramon Rique
M
86
Lukas Zuccarello
M
↑ 80'
72
Bruno Lopes
F
↑ 69'
43
Lucas Freitas
D
96
Paulo Henrique
D
↑ 80'
3
Tche Tche
M
7
David
F
↑ 58'
82
Riquelme Avellar
D
60
Joao Vitor
64
Walace Fernandes
D
Atletico-MG
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
22
Everson
G
3
I. Roman
D
🟨 88'
13
Lyanco
D
14
Vitor Hugo
D
⚽ 32'
2
Natanael
M
25
T. Perez
M
30
Victor Hugo
M
↓ 63'
16
R. Lodi
M
↓ 80'
28
Cuello
F
11
Bernard
F
🎯 32'
↓ 63'
19
Reinier
F
↓ 80'
Substitutes
31
Robert
G
1
Gabriel Delfim
G
5
Alexsander
M
↑ 63'
48
Mateus Iseppe
M
40
Vitao
D
92
Dudu
F
17
Igor Gomes
M
29
Caua
F
↑ 80'
36
K. Pascini
D
↑ 80'
39
M. Cisse
M
↑ 63'
Last matches: Vasco DA Gama
25.07.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
1
1
D
16.07.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Vitoria
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Internacional
1
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Flamengo
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Corinthians
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
11.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Remo
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
1
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
2
1
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
3
2
W
15.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
3
3
D
12.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
2
1
W
26.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
1
2
L
12.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
0
1
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
1
2
L
Last matches: Atletico-MG
26.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
1
W
21.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Santos
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
02.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
0
2
L
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
04.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
2
D
H2H: Vasco DA Gama vs Atletico-MG
31.05.26
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
07.12.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
5
0
L
10.08.25
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
04.12.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
02.10.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
L
21.07.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
2
0
L
20.08.23
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
16.04.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
W
24.01.21
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
3
2
W
04.10.20
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
4
1
L
02.10.19
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
W
02.05.19
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
2
L
23.08.18
H2H
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
0
0
D
15.04.18
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
Last matches: Vasco DA Gama
25.07.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
1
1
D
24.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
RB Bragantino
0
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Botafogo
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Gremio
2
1
W
19.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
3
2
W
12.03.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Palmeiras
2
1
W
12.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
0
1
L
05.02.26
Ser
Vasco DA Gama
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
H2H at home: Vasco DA Gama
31.05.26
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
10.08.25
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
04.12.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
19.10.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
20.08.23
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
24.01.21
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
3
2
W
02.05.19
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
2
L
15.04.18
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
Last matches: Atletico-MG
26.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Santos
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
1
L
14.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
0
2
L
26.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
2
L
04.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
H2H away: Atletico-MG
31.05.26
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
0
1
W
10.08.25
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
04.12.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
2
0
L
19.10.24
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
1
D
20.08.23
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
0
L
24.01.21
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
3
2
L
02.05.19
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
1
2
W
15.04.18
H2H
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico-MG
2
1
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 47 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 37:18 | 19 | 39 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 28:19 | 9 | 37 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30:25 | 5 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 32 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 31 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27:30 | -3 | 30 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 34:32 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 22:20 | 2 | 29 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
Atletico-MG
Away
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 11 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 27 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:31 | -9 | 26 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 23 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 29:33 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23:27 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 22:26 | -4 | 22 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 |
Vasco DA Gama
Home
|
20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
| 19 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:34 | -10 | 21 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 10 |
?
|
LIBC CL group stage
LIBC Play-offs
Copa Sudamericana Group Stage
Relegation
Missing Players
Vasco DA Gama
3 missing
-
Mateus Carvalho
OUT
Missing Fixture
Knee Injury
-
Andres Gomez
OUT
Missing Fixture
Yellow Cards
-
Jair
OUT
Missing Fixture
Knee Injury
Atletico-MG
8 missing
-
J. Alonso
OUT
Missing Fixture
International duty
-
A. Preciado
OUT
Missing Fixture
International duty
-
Ruan Tressoldi
OUT
Missing Fixture
Yellow Cards
-
A. Franco
OUT
Missing Fixture
International duty
-
Gustavo Scarpa
OUT
Missing Fixture
Knee Injury
-
Maycon
OUT
Missing Fixture
Inactive
-
Patrick Silva
OUT
Missing Fixture
Knee Injury
-
A. Minda
OUT
Missing Fixture
International duty