SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
--.--.---- --:--
Skytteholms IP
Vasalund
Match Timeline
Karlberg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
A. Rupia-Ellis
Karlberg
🟨
24'
M. Dejene
Vasalund
🟨
39'
J. Lundstrom
Vasalund
41'
M. Mitku
Karlberg
🟨
43'
L. Kallman
Vasalund
44'
M. Mitku
Karlberg
🔄
46'
P. Amos ↔ A. Khan
Vasalund
🔄
46'
B. Bilgec ↔ C. Sliwo
Vasalund
🔄
46'
L. Kallman ↔ M. Bajrovic
Vasalund
🔄
56'
L. Lundvall ↔ C. Burman
Vasalund
71'
H. Fernandez
Karlberg
🔄
71'
M. Mitku ↔ L. Sietsema
Karlberg
🔄
71'
N. Geiger ↔ A. Jamshidi
Karlberg
🟨
73'
P. Soelberg
Vasalund
🔄
78'
F. Nieminen Eriksson ↔ A. Fati
Karlberg
🔄
78'
H. Fernandez ↔ V. Hall
Karlberg
🔄
79'
E. Torppa ↔ O. Schaaf
Vasalund
🔄
86'
N. Vainio ↔ F. Hogberg
Karlberg
🟨
90+5'
H. Aslund
Karlberg

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.6%
Odds 1.67
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.44
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.6%
1.67
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.44
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Vasalund Win 60.6%
Draw 10%
Karlberg Win 29.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vasalund1.71
Karlberg1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vasalund Vasalund
WWDLW
35 GF / 36 GA
Karlberg Karlberg
WLDWL
40 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.9
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.76
17
BTTS Yes
16
16
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vasalund Vasalund 21 matches
Karlberg Karlberg 21 matches
Vasalund Statistic Karlberg
8 Wins 8
6 Draws 4
7 Losses 9
35 Goals For 40
36 Goals Against 37
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.9
1.71 Avg Goals Conceded 1.76
17 BTTS Yes 16
20 Over 1.5 18
16 Over 2.5 15
10 Over 3.5 12
3 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Karlberg having the stronger overall control. Karlberg arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Karlberg. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Vasalund Analysis

From their first 11 matches, Vasalund have collected 14 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 18:22 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Mac Callum (4 goals), P. Amos (4 goals), M. Nikolic (3 goals), with creative support from B. Bilgec (1 assists), J. Lundstrom (1 assists), T. Westin (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Karlberg Analysis

Karlberg sit 10 with 12 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 16:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on O. Jemal (6 goals), N. Negash (2 goals), R. Othman (2 goals), with creative support from O. Jemal (1 assists), H. Fernandez (1 assists), F. Nilsson (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Vasalund won 5 times, Karlberg won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:12 from Vasalund's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.63 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90%)
H2H summary: Vasalund wins 5, draws 1, Karlberg wins 2
Last matches: Vasalund
14.06.26
Ett
Vasalund
Enköping
1
1
D
08.06.26
Ett
Vasalund
Stockholm Internazionale
1
4
L
03.06.26
Ett
Vasalund
Järfälla
3
1
W
24.05.26
Ett
Vasalund
AFC Eskilstuna
3
0
W
17.05.26
Ett
Vasalund
IF Karlstad
0
5
L
14.05.26
Ett
Vasalund
Gefle IF
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ett
Vasalund
Piteå
1
2
L
01.05.26
Ett
Vasalund
Stocksund
2
2
D
27.04.26
Ett
Vasalund
Hammarby Talang
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ett
Vasalund
Umeå FC
3
1
W
12.04.26
Ett
Vasalund
FBK Karlstad
1
3
L
03.04.26
Ett
Vasalund
Arlanda
1
2
L
28.03.26
Fri
Vasalund
Stocksund
1
2
L
22.03.26
Fri
Vasalund
Assyriska FF
1
1
D
15.03.26
Fri
Vasalund
Enköping
2
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Vasalund
Stockholm Internazionale
2
2
D
01.03.26
Fri
Vasalund
Hammarby Talang
1
1
D
22.02.26
Fri
Vasalund
Karlberg
3
2
W
15.02.26
Fri
Vasalund
Stocksund
2
1
W
01.02.26
Fri
Vasalund
Sollentuna
1
2
L
Last matches: Karlberg
14.06.26
Ett
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
0
2
L
04.06.26
Ett
Karlberg
AFC Eskilstuna
2
3
L
31.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
FBK Karlstad
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Stockholm Internazionale
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Järfälla
1
3
L
13.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Arlanda
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
IF Karlstad
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Umeå FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Gefle IF
3
2
W
19.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Assyriska FF
4
3
W
10.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Enköping
1
3
L
04.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Sollentuna
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Karlberg
Stockholm Internazionale
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fri
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
3
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Karlberg
Sollentuna
1
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Karlberg
Nyköping
7
1
W
22.02.26
Fri
Karlberg
Vasalund
2
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Karlberg
Gefle IF
3
2
W
08.02.26
Fri
Karlberg
Arlanda
3
2
W
31.01.26
Fri
Karlberg
Assyriska FF
3
1
W
H2H: Vasalund vs Karlberg
22.02.26
H2H
Vasalund
Karlberg
3
2
W
11.10.25
H2H
Karlberg
Vasalund
0
0
D
30.03.25
H2H
Vasalund
Karlberg
2
0
W
14.10.24
H2H
Karlberg
Vasalund
3
1
L
29.03.24
H2H
Vasalund
Karlberg
3
1
W
02.07.22
H2H
Karlberg
Vasalund
2
4
W
18.08.18
H2H
Karlberg
Vasalund
4
2
L
29.04.18
H2H
Vasalund
Karlberg
2
0
W
Last matches: Vasalund
03.06.26
Ett
Vasalund
Järfälla
3
1
W
14.05.26
Ett
Vasalund
Gefle IF
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ett
Vasalund
Piteå
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ett
Vasalund
Umeå FC
3
1
W
12.04.26
Ett
Vasalund
FBK Karlstad
1
3
L
22.03.26
Fri
Vasalund
Assyriska FF
1
1
D
15.03.26
Fri
Vasalund
Enköping
2
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Vasalund
Stockholm Internazionale
2
2
D
01.03.26
Fri
Vasalund
Hammarby Talang
1
1
D
22.02.26
Fri
Vasalund
Karlberg
3
2
W
15.02.26
Fri
Vasalund
Stocksund
2
1
W
01.02.26
Fri
Vasalund
Sollentuna
1
2
L
25.01.26
Fri
Vasalund
Arlanda
3
2
W
H2H at home: Vasalund
22.02.26
H2H
Vasalund
Karlberg
3
2
W
30.03.25
H2H
Vasalund
Karlberg
2
0
W
29.03.24
H2H
Vasalund
Karlberg
3
1
W
29.04.18
H2H
Vasalund
Karlberg
2
0
W
Last matches: Karlberg
04.06.26
Ett
Karlberg
AFC Eskilstuna
2
3
L
23.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Stockholm Internazionale
1
2
L
13.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Arlanda
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ett
Karlberg
Umeå FC
1
2
L
19.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Assyriska FF
4
3
W
04.04.26
Ett
Karlberg
Sollentuna
1
0
W
28.03.26
Fri
Karlberg
Stockholm Internazionale
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fri
Karlberg
Hammarby Talang
3
0
W
07.03.26
Fri
Karlberg
Sollentuna
1
3
L
22.02.26
Fri
Karlberg
Vasalund
2
3
L
H2H away: Karlberg
22.02.26
H2H
Vasalund
Karlberg
3
2
L
30.03.25
H2H
Vasalund
Karlberg
2
0
L
29.03.24
H2H
Vasalund
Karlberg
3
1
L
29.04.18
H2H
Vasalund
Karlberg
2
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 3.90
Home 1.67
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.00
Draw 2.50
Home 2.20
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.75
Draw 2.88
Home 2.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 3.5 2.10
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 5.5 6.00
Over 6.5 9.00
Over 7.5 13.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 21.00
Under 1.5 5.50
Under 2.5 2.62
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 4.5 1.28
Under 5.5 1.11
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.92
Draw 3.80
Home 1.72
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 4.30
Draw 2.33
Home 2.26
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.88
Draw 2.88
Home 2.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.08
Over 1.75 1.10
Over 2.0 1.13
Over 2.25 1.27
Over 2.5 1.40
Over 2.75 1.49
Over 3.0 1.62
Over 3.25 1.86
Over 3.5 2.08
Over 3.75 2.30
Over 4.0 2.78
Over 4.25 3.08
Over 4.5 3.34
Over 4.75 4.14
Over 5.0 5.50
Over 5.25 5.80
Over 5.5 6.15
Over 6.5 9.00
Over 7.5 13.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 17.00
Under 1.5 5.50
Under 1.75 5.05
Under 2.0 4.55
Under 2.25 3.14
Under 2.5 2.56
Under 2.75 2.30
Under 3.0 2.05
Under 3.25 1.84
Under 3.5 1.67
Under 3.75 1.49
Under 4.0 1.34
Under 4.25 1.28
Under 4.5 1.24
Under 4.75 1.16
Under 5.0 1.08
Under 5.25 1.07
Under 5.5 1.06
Under 6.5 1.04
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 3.50
Draw 3.65
Home 1.82
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.70
Draw 2.50
Home 2.28
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 3.45
Draw 2.85
Home 2.12
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.45
Over 3.5 2.12
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 5.5 6.00
Under 1.5 4.80
Under 2.5 2.45
Under 3.5 1.58
Under 4.5 1.23
Under 5.5 1.08

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 9 2 2 31:11 20 29
D W W L W
2 12 9 2 1 20:6 14 29
W W D W W
3 13 7 5 1 22:10 12 26
W W W L D
4 13 7 3 3 26:14 12 24
W W W D W
5 13 7 3 3 23:13 10 24
W L L D D
6 12 7 1 4 21:20 1 22
D W L L W
7 12 4 4 4 18:18 0 16
W D D L D
8 13 4 3 6 20:22 -2 15
W L L D L
9 12 4 3 5 17:21 -4 15
W W W L D
10 13 4 3 6 19:27 -8 15
L D L W W
11 13 2 7 4 11:15 -4 13
L D D D D
12 13 3 3 7 18:26 -8 12
D L L L W
13 13 3 2 8 15:28 -13 11
L L L W L
14 12 2 4 6 17:26 -9 10
L L W D D
15 13 1 5 7 27:34 -7 8
L D W D D
16 12 2 2 8 13:27 -14 8
L L D D W