SPAIN SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Referee: S. Ais
Valladolid
Match Timeline
Deportivo La Coruna
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
B. Nsongo · Assist: Cruz Luismi
Deportivo La Coruna
🟨
25'
Stanko Jurić
Valladolid
34'
B. Nsongo · Assist: Cruz Luismi
Deportivo La Coruna
🟨
39'
Iván Alejo
Valladolid
🔄
46'
S. Juric ↔ A. Carvajal
Valladolid
🟨
47'
Adrià Altimira
Deportivo La Coruna
🟨
49'
David Torres
Valladolid
🟨
59'
Mathis Lachuer
Valladolid
🟨
61'
Ramón Martínez
Valladolid
🔄
69'
Peter Federico ↔ L. Sanseviero
Valladolid
🔄
69'
I. Alejo ↔ H. Modesto
Valladolid
🔄
69'
Cruz Luismi ↔ R. Rodriguez
Deportivo La Coruna
🔄
79'
Y. Hernandez ↔ Stoichkov
Deportivo La Coruna
🔄
79'
B. Nsongo ↔ Z. Eddahchouri
Deportivo La Coruna
🔄
82'
A. Ndiaye ↔ S. Biuk
Valladolid
🔄
82'
M. Lachuer ↔ I. Alani
Valladolid
🟥
86'
Lucas Sanseviero
Valladolid
🔄
90+1'
A. Altimira ↔ S. Escudero
Deportivo La Coruna
🔄
90+1'
M. Soriano ↔ A. Comas
Deportivo La Coruna

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.4%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Valladolid Win 34.8%
Draw 11.4%
Deportivo La Coruna Win 53.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Valladolid1.04
Deportivo La Coruna1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Valladolid Valladolid
WWDLW
44 GF / 55 GA
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna
WLDWL
70 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.59
1.34
Average Goals Conceded
1
17
BTTS Yes
25
18
Over 2.5
21
3.93
Shots on Goal
4.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Valladolid Valladolid 41 matches
Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 44 matches
Valladolid Statistic Deportivo La Coruna
12 Wins 24
10 Draws 11
19 Losses 9
44 Goals For 70
55 Goals Against 44
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.34 Avg Goals Conceded 1
17 BTTS Yes 25
25 Over 1.5 35
18 Over 2.5 21
10 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 12
16 Failed To Score 8
3.93 Shots On Goal 4.2
12.45 Total Shots 12.39
5.4 Corners 4.82
49.2% Ball Possession 49%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Deportivo La Coruna's more proactive style and Valladolid's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Valladolid expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Deportivo La Coruna in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo La Coruna having the stronger overall control. Deportivo La Coruna look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Deportivo La Coruna carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 74 points while Valladolid sit 16 on 46, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Deportivo La Coruna. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Valladolid Analysis

Valladolid sit 16 with 46 points after 40 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 12 wins, 10 draws, and 18 losses, together with goals at 44:54, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Chuki (7 goals), J. Latasa (7 goals), Peter González (6 goals), with creative support from Chuki (7 assists), S. Biuk (5 assists), Julien Ponceau (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo La Coruna Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 74 points from 40 games, Deportivo La Coruna bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 21 wins, 11 draws, and 8 losses, with a 62:42 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Yeremay Hernández (11 goals), Zakaria Eddahchouri (11 goals), M. Soriano (6 goals), with creative support from Yeremay Hernández (10 assists), M. Soriano (8 assists), Cruz Luismi (8 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Valladolid won 1 times, Deportivo La Coruna won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Valladolid's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.6%)
Predicted formations: Valladolid 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo La Coruna 5-3-2
H2H summary: Valladolid wins 1, draws 2, Deportivo La Coruna wins 1

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
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