Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
59.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Valerenga
Aalesund
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Valerenga
22 matches
Aalesund
20 matches
| Valerenga | Statistic | Aalesund |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 37 | Goals For | 34 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.7 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.75 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.75 | Shots On Goal | 4.58 |
| 15.33 | Total Shots | 14 |
| 7.17 | Corners | 4.33 |
| 51.2% | Ball Possession | 42.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Valerenga expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Aalesund in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aalesund having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Aalesund. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Valerenga sit 9 with 14 points after 11 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, while the 13:17 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Lange (3 goals), Lucas Haren (3 goals), M. Grundetjern (2 goals), with creative support from M. Grundetjern (2 assists), H. Bjordal (2 assists), K. Finnsson (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Aalesund are currently 13 in the standings with 11 points from 11 matches. The record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 15:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through K. Lonebu (5 goals), H. Melland (3 goals), M. Christensen (2 goals), with creative support from Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (2 assists), J. Orsahl (2 assists), H. Melland (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Valerenga won 7 times, Aalesund won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:11 from Valerenga's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.17 goals per game.
Valerenga
Tromso
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
Gais
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
Valerenga
Start
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
Valerenga
Molde
Valerenga
Lillestrom
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
Viking
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
Valerenga
Rosenborg
Valerenga
Sandefjord
Valerenga
Stromsgodset
Valerenga
Rosenborg
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
Valerenga
Djurgardens IF
Aalesund
Molde
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
Tromso
Aalesund
Brann
Aalesund
Rosenborg
Aalesund
Sandefjord
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
Bodo/Glimt
Aalesund
KFUM Oslo
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
Start
Aalesund
Lillestrom
Aalesund
Brattvåg
Aalesund
Molde
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
Sirius
Aalesund
hodd
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
Brattvåg
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
Gais
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
Valerenga
Lillestrom
Valerenga
Viking
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
Valerenga
Sandefjord
Valerenga
Stromsgodset
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
Valerenga
Sandefjord
Valerenga
Orgryte IS
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
Tromso
Aalesund
Rosenborg
Aalesund
Sandefjord
Aalesund
Bodo/Glimt
Aalesund
Start
Aalesund
Molde
Aalesund
Sirius
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22:14 | 8 | 28 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 29:10 | 19 | 27 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 28:11 | 17 | 23 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 19:11 | 8 | 22 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20:15 | 5 | 20 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 17 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 14 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:22 | -7 | 14 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Valerenga
Home
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 14 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 11 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 24:20 | 4 | 13 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 |
Aalesund
Away
|
12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17:22 | -5 | 12 |
D
D
D
W
W
|
| 13 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 12 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 11 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:18 | -9 | 9 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13:28 | -15 | 7 |
L
W
L
L
D
|