Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
62.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
83.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Valerenga
Aalesund
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Valerenga
22 matches
Aalesund
20 matches
| Valerenga | Statistic | Aalesund |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 6 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 37 | Goals For | 34 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.7 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.75 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.75 | Shots On Goal | 4.58 |
| 15.33 | Total Shots | 14 |
| 7.17 | Corners | 4.33 |
| 51.2% | Ball Possession | 42.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Aalesund seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Aalesund. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Valerenga expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Aalesund in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aalesund having the stronger overall control. Valerenga have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Valerenga approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 14 points from 12 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 13:21, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Lucas Haren (3 goals), Mathias Grundetjern (2 goals), Carl Lange (1 goals), with creative support from Mathias Grundetjern (2 assists), Henrik Bjørdal (2 assists), Carl Lange (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with M. Sjoeng, O. T. Holm, F. Thorvaldsen unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Aalesund are currently 12 in the standings with 12 points from 12 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 17:22 reflects mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by Mathias Christensen (3 goals), Henrik Melland (3 goals), Kristian Lonebu (3 goals), with creative support from Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (2 assists), Mathias Christensen (1 assists), Henrik Melland (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with D. Johannsson, M. Kristensen, P. Ngongo unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Valerenga won 8 times, Aalesund won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:12 from Valerenga's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.46 goals per game.
Valerenga
10
6
9
8
3
4
Lineups
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
Brann
Valerenga
Tromso
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
Gais
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
Valerenga
Start
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
Valerenga
Molde
Valerenga
Lillestrom
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
Viking
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
Valerenga
Rosenborg
Valerenga
Sandefjord
Valerenga
Stromsgodset
Valerenga
Rosenborg
Aalesund
Viking
Aalesund
Molde
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
Aalesund
Tromso
Aalesund
Brann
Aalesund
Rosenborg
Aalesund
Sandefjord
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
Bodo/Glimt
Aalesund
KFUM Oslo
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
Start
Aalesund
Lillestrom
Aalesund
Brattvåg
Aalesund
Molde
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
Aalesund
Sirius
Aalesund
hodd
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
Valerenga
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
Valerenga
Gais
Valerenga
Kristiansund BK
Valerenga
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
Valerenga
Lillestrom
Valerenga
Viking
Valerenga
IFK Goteborg
Valerenga
Sandefjord
Valerenga
Stromsgodset
Valerenga
KFUM Oslo
Valerenga
Sandefjord
Valerenga
Orgryte IS
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
Tromso
Aalesund
Rosenborg
Aalesund
Sandefjord
Aalesund
Bodo/Glimt
Aalesund
Start
Aalesund
Molde
Aalesund
Sirius
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 41:11 | 30 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 34:14 | 20 | 34 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26:15 | 11 | 31 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 22:18 | 4 | 25 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 25:19 | 6 | 23 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 21 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23:26 | -3 | 21 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 |
Valerenga
Home
|
15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
| 9 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 30:25 | 5 | 19 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 19:18 | 1 | 18 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13:20 | -7 | 15 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 14 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 |
Aalesund
Away
|
14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 19:29 | -10 | 13 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
| 14 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 12 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 16:34 | -18 | 10 |
W
L
L
L
W
|