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17.10.2026 01:00
Estadio El Gigante del Norte
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Match Timeline
Atlanta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
F. Rojas · Assist: N. Contin
Gimnasia Y Tiro
⚽
29'
B. Rivero · Assist: R. Sosa
Atlanta
🟨
36'
R. Sosa
Atlanta
🟨
39'
M. Guanini
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🟨
61'
F. Sivetti
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
62'
J. C. Oviedo ↔ A. Tallura
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
62'
R. Villarreal ↔ J. Aguirre
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
62'
N. Contin ↔ L. Gordillo
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🟨
66'
T. Rojas
Atlanta
🔄
68'
R. Sosa ↔ D. Arguello
Atlanta
🔄
68'
F. Romero ↔ J. Puch
Atlanta
🔄
74'
T. Banega ↔ I. F. Chaves
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
74'
J. Rocca ↔ J. Capano
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🟨
76'
T. Rojas
Atlanta
🟥
76'
T. Rojas
Atlanta
🔄
77'
B. Rivero ↔ F. Caceres
Atlanta
⚽
77'
J. Capano · Assist: F. Sivetti
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🔄
87'
M. Garcia ↔ G. Miranda
Atlanta
🟨
90+4'
G. Diaz
Gimnasia Y Tiro
🟨
90+4'
D. Arguello
Atlanta
⚽
90'
J. Capano
Gimnasia Y Tiro

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93.2%
- ▥
BTTS No
65.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Gimnasia Y Tiro Win 49.4%
Draw 6.8%
Atlanta Win 43.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Gimnasia Y Tiro0.96
Atlanta1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro
D L W L D
3 GF / 4 GA
Atlanta Atlanta
W W W D W
7 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
0.97
Average Goals Scored
1.15
0.91
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
15
BTTS Yes
12
10
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 35 matches
Atlanta Atlanta 34 matches
Gimnasia Y Tiro Statistic Atlanta
13 Wins 18
11 Draws 4
11 Losses 12
34 Goals For 39
32 Goals Against 32
0.97 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
0.91 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
15 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 19
10 Over 2.5 12
5 Over 3.5 6
13 Clean Sheets 16
12 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atlanta having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Atlanta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Atlanta look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Gimnasia Y Tiro Analysis

So far, Gimnasia Y Tiro have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 48 points from 32 matches. The record of 13 wins, 9 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 32:28 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Atlanta Analysis

Atlanta come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 55 points after 32 matches. With 17 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats plus a goal balance of 38:30, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Gimnasia Y Tiro won 1 times, Atlanta won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:5 from Gimnasia Y Tiro's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.2%)
H2H summary: Gimnasia Y Tiro wins 1, draws 3, Atlanta wins 1

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 16 16 4 34:16 18 64
D D W D D
2 36 19 5 12 42:34 8 62
D W L W W
3 36 16 13 7 43:31 12 61
D L D W W
4 36 16 10 10 53:49 4 58
L L W D L
5 36 15 10 11 43:29 14 55
D W L W D
6 36 14 10 12 43:34 9 52
D W L D W
7 36 14 10 12 36:32 4 52
D D W D W
8 36 14 10 12 37:35 2 52
L L W D L
9 36 13 12 11 42:36 6 51
W D D D L
10 36 11 14 11 39:37 2 47
D L W L W
11 36 12 11 13 29:35 -6 47
D D W L L
12 36 12 10 14 31:39 -8 46
W W L W D
13 36 12 9 15 33:30 3 45
W W L L D
14 36 12 6 18 29:35 -6 42
W W W L W
15 36 11 9 16 33:44 -11 42
L D L W W
16 36 7 17 12 29:35 -6 38
D L L W L
17 36 9 10 17 25:36 -11 37
L D L L L
18 36 6 9 21 28:62 -34 27
D L W L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation