Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
65.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
38.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Utrecht
Heerenveen
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Utrecht
48 matches
Heerenveen
34 matches
| Utrecht | Statistic | Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 14 |
| 10 | Draws | 9 |
| 18 | Losses | 11 |
| 74 | Goals For | 57 |
| 61 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.68 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.56 |
| 28 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 39 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 24 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.58 | Shots On Goal | 5.35 |
| 12.75 | Total Shots | 14.94 |
| 4.42 | Corners | 5.56 |
| 42.6% | Ball Possession | 51% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Utrecht appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Heerenveen. The first leg ended level at 1-1, so the tie remains finely balanced going into this match. In the previous meeting, Heerenveen controlled more possession in the first leg (60% against 40%). Utrecht were also more accurate in attack, recording 4 shots on target to 3. Heerenveen circulated the ball more often, making 603 passes to 397 and completing 530. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Heerenveen. Utrecht come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Utrecht enter this tie with a season profile built on 53 points from 34 matches, placing them 6 in their league. The return of 15 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 55:42 goal balance, points toward very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking influence is driven by G. Zechiel (8 goals), D. de Wit (7 goals), V. Jensen (5 goals), with creative support from Souffian El Karouani (11 assists), G. Zechiel (7 assists), Y. Cathline (4 assists), and at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. Although they are without V. Jensen, M. Rodriguez, O. Agougil, that absence is especially important because it affects one of their main scoring outlets.
Ahead of this knockout test, Heerenveen arrive from a league campaign that has them 8 with 51 points after 34 matches. With 14 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses plus a goal ratio of 57:53, they bring mixed form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on J. Trenskow (12 goals), D. Vente (7 goals), L. Nordas (6 goals), with creative support from Joris van Overeem (9 assists), J. Trenskow (5 assists), L. Brouwers (4 assists), while defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with L. Smans, A. van Axel Dongen, M. Rivera unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Utrecht won 9 times, Heerenveen won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:15 from Utrecht's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Utrecht
8
5
8
6
7
2
Lineups
Utrecht
Ajax
Utrecht
Fortuna Sittard
Utrecht
Ajax
Utrecht
NAC Breda
Utrecht
Excelsior
Utrecht
Telstar
Utrecht
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht
GO Ahead Eagles
Utrecht
Twente
Utrecht
Heracles
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
PEC Zwolle
Utrecht
Groningen
Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
Feyenoord
Utrecht
Heerenveen
Utrecht
Celtic
Utrecht
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht
Genk
Utrecht
FC Volendam
Heerenveen
Ajax
Heerenveen
NAC Breda
Heerenveen
FC Volendam
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
Heracles
Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
Telstar
Heerenveen
Excelsior
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
Heerenveen
GO Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Twente
Heerenveen
Utrecht
Heerenveen
Groningen
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
Heerenveen
Heracles
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht
Fortuna Sittard
Utrecht
NAC Breda
Utrecht
Telstar
Utrecht
GO Ahead Eagles
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Utrecht
PEC Zwolle
Utrecht
Feyenoord
Utrecht
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht
Genk
Utrecht
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht
Nottingham Forest
Utrecht
Twente
Utrecht
Ajax
Utrecht
FC Porto
Utrecht
NEC Nijmegen
Utrecht
FC Volendam
Utrecht
Heerenveen
Utrecht
Lyon
Utrecht
Groningen
Utrecht
Zrinjski
Heerenveen
NAC Breda
Heerenveen
FC Volendam
Heerenveen
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
Excelsior
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen
GO Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Twente
Heerenveen
Heracles
Heerenveen
Sparta Rotterdam
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard
Heerenveen
Ajax
Heerenveen
Telstar
Heerenveen
Utrecht
Heerenveen
Feyenoord
Heerenveen
Groningen
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 56 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 26 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 24 | 59 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 19 | 58 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 21 | 56 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Utrecht
Home
|
34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 13 | 53 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 7 | 52 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Heerenveen
Away
|
34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 4 | 51 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
| 9 | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | -22 | 43 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | -14 | 39 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 38 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | -13 | 38 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | -6 | 37 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | -27 | 37 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | -20 | 32 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | -23 | 29 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | -50 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
L
|