UGANDA PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
FT
0 - 0
Hamz Stadium
URA
Match Timeline
KCCA
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
90+3'
J. Opiro
URA
🟨
90+3'
J. Opiro
URA

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 55.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 43.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
55.1%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
43.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
URA Win 32.9%
Draw 12%
KCCA Win 55.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
URA0.82
KCCA1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
URA URA
WWDLW
24 GF / 30 GA
KCCA KCCA
WLDWL
42 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
0.86
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
12
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

URA URA 28 matches
KCCA KCCA 28 matches
URA Statistic KCCA
4 Wins 18
15 Draws 4
9 Losses 6
24 Goals For 42
30 Goals Against 21
0.86 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
12 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 18
8 Over 2.5 14
4 Over 3.5 3
10 Clean Sheets 11
14 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by KCCA's more proactive style and URA's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward KCCA. KCCA carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 58 points while URA sit 11 on 27, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KCCA having the stronger overall control.

URA Analysis

From their first 28 matches, URA have collected 27 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 15 draws, and 9 losses, while the 24:30 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Living (5 goals), F. Amaku (4 goals), R. Otti (4 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

KCCA Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 58 points from 28 games, KCCA bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 18 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 42:21, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Ahimbisibwe Ivan (13 goals), S. Ssebaduka (6 goals), H. Achayi (5 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, URA won 8 times, KCCA won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:12 from URA's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88%)
H2H summary: URA wins 8, draws 3, KCCA wins 4
Last matches: URA
22.05.26
Pre
URA
Buhimba Saints
3
0
W
12.05.26
Pre
URA
Calvary
1
1
D
08.05.26
Pre
URA
Vipers
1
1
D
28.04.26
Pre
URA
Maroons
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pre
URA
UPDF
0
0
D
21.04.26
Pre
URA
Police
1
2
L
16.04.26
Pre
URA
BUL
1
1
D
09.04.26
Pre
URA
NEC
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
URA
Express
1
3
L
11.03.26
Pre
URA
Lugazi
1
0
W
07.03.26
Pre
URA
Entebbe UPPC
0
0
D
04.03.26
Pre
URA
Mbarara City
2
0
W
19.02.26
Pre
URA
Kitara
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pre
URA
SC Villa
0
0
D
31.01.26
Pre
URA
Police
0
0
D
27.01.26
Pre
URA
Calvary
0
0
D
24.01.26
Pre
URA
Vipers
0
3
L
13.01.26
Pre
URA
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
L
17.12.25
Pre
URA
Mbarara City
0
1
L
11.12.25
Pre
URA
SC Villa
0
3
L
Last matches: KCCA
23.05.26
Pre
KCCA
Mbarara City
4
1
W
13.05.26
Pre
KCCA
UPDF
2
1
W
07.05.26
Pre
KCCA
Maroons
3
0
W
29.04.26
Pre
KCCA
Vipers
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pre
KCCA
Calvary
0
1
L
21.04.26
Pre
KCCA
Entebbe UPPC
1
0
W
17.04.26
Pre
KCCA
Kitara
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
KCCA
SC Villa
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
KCCA
Lugazi
3
0
W
11.03.26
Pre
KCCA
Express
3
0
W
06.03.26
Pre
KCCA
Police
2
1
W
02.03.26
Pre
KCCA
Buhimba Saints
2
0
W
18.02.26
Pre
KCCA
BUL
2
1
W
13.02.26
Pre
KCCA
NEC
1
3
L
30.01.26
Pre
KCCA
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
L
27.01.26
Pre
KCCA
UPDF
4
0
W
21.01.26
Pre
KCCA
Maroons
0
0
D
06.01.26
Pre
KCCA
Police
0
2
L
16.12.25
Pre
KCCA
Buhimba Saints
1
0
W
12.12.25
Pre
KCCA
NEC
2
1
W
H2H: URA vs KCCA
19.05.26
H2H
URA
KCCA
0
0
D
21.11.25
H2H
KCCA
URA
2
1
L
16.04.25
H2H
URA
KCCA
1
0
W
13.09.24
H2H
KCCA
URA
1
0
L
11.05.24
H2H
URA
KCCA
1
0
W
02.01.24
H2H
KCCA
URA
3
2
L
19.04.23
H2H
URA
KCCA
2
0
W
19.11.22
H2H
KCCA
URA
1
1
D
09.02.22
H2H
KCCA
URA
1
0
L
08.01.22
H2H
URA
KCCA
1
0
W
13.04.21
H2H
URA
KCCA
2
0
W
18.12.20
H2H
KCCA
URA
1
2
W
31.01.20
H2H
URA
KCCA
2
1
W
20.11.19
H2H
KCCA
URA
1
1
D
26.02.19
H2H
KCCA
URA
1
2
W
Last matches: URA
12.05.26
Pre
URA
Calvary
1
1
D
28.04.26
Pre
URA
Maroons
2
2
D
16.04.26
Pre
URA
BUL
1
1
D
11.03.26
Pre
URA
Lugazi
1
0
W
04.03.26
Pre
URA
Mbarara City
2
0
W
14.02.26
Pre
URA
SC Villa
0
0
D
31.01.26
Pre
URA
Police
0
0
D
24.01.26
Pre
URA
Vipers
0
3
L
13.01.26
Pre
URA
Entebbe UPPC
0
1
L
04.12.25
Pre
URA
Kitara
0
1
L
26.11.25
Pre
URA
Buhimba Saints
7
3
W
29.10.25
Pre
URA
UPDF
3
2
W
17.10.25
Pre
URA
Express
1
1
D
02.10.25
Pre
URA
NEC
1
1
D
H2H at home: URA
19.05.26
H2H
URA
KCCA
0
0
D
16.04.25
H2H
URA
KCCA
1
0
W
11.05.24
H2H
URA
KCCA
1
0
W
19.04.23
H2H
URA
KCCA
2
0
W
08.01.22
H2H
URA
KCCA
1
0
W
13.04.21
H2H
URA
KCCA
2
0
W
31.01.20
H2H
URA
KCCA
2
1
W
Last matches: KCCA
13.05.26
Pre
KCCA
UPDF
2
1
W
25.04.26
Pre
KCCA
Calvary
0
1
L
21.04.26
Pre
KCCA
Entebbe UPPC
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
KCCA
SC Villa
0
1
L
14.03.26
Pre
KCCA
Lugazi
3
0
W
02.03.26
Pre
KCCA
Buhimba Saints
2
0
W
13.02.26
Pre
KCCA
NEC
1
3
L
21.01.26
Pre
KCCA
Maroons
0
0
D
06.01.26
Pre
KCCA
Police
0
2
L
07.12.25
Pre
KCCA
BUL
2
1
W
28.11.25
Pre
KCCA
Mbarara City
2
1
W
07.11.25
Pre
KCCA
Vipers
0
1
L
23.10.25
Pre
KCCA
Express
1
0
W
26.09.25
Pre
KCCA
Kitara
1
1
D
H2H away: KCCA
19.05.26
H2H
URA
KCCA
0
0
D
16.04.25
H2H
URA
KCCA
1
0
L
11.05.24
H2H
URA
KCCA
1
0
L
19.04.23
H2H
URA
KCCA
2
0
L
08.01.22
H2H
URA
KCCA
1
0
L
13.04.21
H2H
URA
KCCA
2
0
L
31.01.20
H2H
URA
KCCA
2
1
L

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 19 10 1 55:17 38 67
W W D D D
2
KCCA Away
30 19 5 6 46:22 24 62
W D W W D
3 30 18 7 5 47:17 30 61
W W W D L
4 30 16 8 6 43:22 21 56
D D L L W
5 30 14 9 7 30:20 10 51
W D D W W
6 30 13 12 5 31:22 9 51
L L W W W
7 30 13 8 9 42:35 7 47
D D D L W
8 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
W L D L D
9 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
L D D D L
10 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
L D W W L
11
URA Home
30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
W D D D D
12 30 6 9 15 26:46 -20 27
L W L W W
13 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
L D D L W
14 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
L D L L L
15 30 4 9 17 14:39 -25 21
W D D W L
16 30 4 3 23 16:66 -50 15
L L L L L
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Big League