Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
55.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
URA
KCCA
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
URA
28 matches
KCCA
28 matches
| URA | Statistic | KCCA |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 18 |
| 15 | Draws | 4 |
| 9 | Losses | 6 |
| 24 | Goals For | 42 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.75 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by KCCA's more proactive style and URA's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward KCCA. KCCA carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 58 points while URA sit 11 on 27, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KCCA having the stronger overall control.
From their first 28 matches, URA have collected 27 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 15 draws, and 9 losses, while the 24:30 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Living (5 goals), F. Amaku (4 goals), R. Otti (4 goals), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 2 place with 58 points from 28 games, KCCA bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 18 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats, together with goals at 42:21, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Ahimbisibwe Ivan (13 goals), S. Ssebaduka (6 goals), H. Achayi (5 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, URA won 8 times, KCCA won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:12 from URA's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
URA
Buhimba Saints
URA
Calvary
URA
Vipers
URA
Maroons
URA
UPDF
URA
Police
URA
BUL
URA
NEC
URA
Express
URA
Lugazi
URA
Entebbe UPPC
URA
Mbarara City
URA
Kitara
URA
SC Villa
URA
Police
URA
Calvary
URA
Vipers
URA
Entebbe UPPC
URA
Mbarara City
URA
SC Villa
KCCA
Mbarara City
KCCA
UPDF
KCCA
Maroons
KCCA
Vipers
KCCA
Calvary
KCCA
Entebbe UPPC
KCCA
Kitara
KCCA
SC Villa
KCCA
Lugazi
KCCA
Express
KCCA
Police
KCCA
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
BUL
KCCA
NEC
KCCA
Entebbe UPPC
KCCA
UPDF
KCCA
Maroons
KCCA
Police
KCCA
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
NEC
URA
Calvary
URA
Maroons
URA
BUL
URA
Lugazi
URA
Mbarara City
URA
SC Villa
URA
Police
URA
Vipers
URA
Entebbe UPPC
URA
Kitara
URA
Buhimba Saints
URA
UPDF
URA
Express
URA
NEC
KCCA
UPDF
KCCA
Calvary
KCCA
Entebbe UPPC
KCCA
SC Villa
KCCA
Lugazi
KCCA
Buhimba Saints
KCCA
NEC
KCCA
Maroons
KCCA
Police
KCCA
BUL
KCCA
Mbarara City
KCCA
Vipers
KCCA
Express
KCCA
Kitara
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 55:17 | 38 | 67 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 |
KCCA
Away
|
30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 46:22 | 24 | 62 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 47:17 | 30 | 61 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 56 |
D
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 31:22 | 9 | 51 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 42:35 | 7 | 47 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 26:27 | -1 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 30:33 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 28:31 | -3 | 37 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 |
URA
Home
|
30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 27:30 | -3 | 31 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
| 12 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 26:46 | -20 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 24:41 | -17 | 22 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 14:39 | -25 | 21 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 16:66 | -50 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|