BOLIVIA PRIMERA DIVISIóN
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68.4%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Universitario de Vinto Win 31.6%
Draw 29.3%
Nacional Potosí Win 39.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Universitario de Vinto1.44
Nacional Potosí1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto
WWDLW
27 GF / 40 GA
Nacional Potosí Nacional Potosí
WLDWL
26 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.37
2.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
13
BTTS Yes
11
12
Over 2.5
9
4.75
Shots on Goal
2.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 19 matches
Nacional Potosí Nacional Potosí 19 matches
Universitario de Vinto Statistic Nacional Potosí
4 Wins 7
3 Draws 3
12 Losses 9
27 Goals For 26
40 Goals Against 28
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.37
2.11 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
13 BTTS Yes 11
17 Over 1.5 16
12 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 2
4.75 Shots On Goal 2.86
12.25 Total Shots 8.36
4 Corners 1.93
39.7% Ball Possession 34.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Nacional Potosí's more proactive style and Universitario de Vinto's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nacional Potosí having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nacional Potosí. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Universitario de Vinto Analysis

With 11 points from 15 games and a place of 16, Universitario de Vinto still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 17:31, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Nacional Potosí Analysis

With 18 points from 15 games and a place of 10, Nacional Potosí still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 22:21, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Universitario de Vinto won 6 times, Nacional Potosí won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:20 from Universitario de Vinto's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (70.7%)
H2H summary: Universitario de Vinto wins 6, draws 3, Nacional Potosí wins 6
Last matches: Universitario de Vinto
14.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Tomayapo
0
1
L
09.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Oriente Petrolero
0
5
L
06.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Potosí
0
2
L
31.07.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
1
D
27.07.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Always Ready
0
4
L
08.07.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro
1
4
L
02.06.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Aurora
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Bolívar
3
2
W
12.05.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
2
0
W
05.05.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Blooming
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Independiente Petrolero
1
2
L
21.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
ABB
5
2
W
11.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
0
1
L
05.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
The Strongest
1
2
L
10.03.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro
1
1
D
07.03.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro
3
4
L
25.02.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
5
2
W
20.02.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
2
L
13.12.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
0
5
L
Last matches: Nacional Potosí
16.08.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
ABB
2
0
W
08.08.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
2
L
05.08.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
2
3
L
02.08.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Oriente Petrolero
0
1
L
26.07.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Real Tomayapo
4
1
W
20.07.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Real Oruro
1
4
L
12.07.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Real Potosí
1
1
D
10.07.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Aurora
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Guabirá
1
2
L
14.05.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Bolívar
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Always Ready
1
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
1
1
D
23.04.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Blooming
1
2
L
11.04.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Universitario de Vinto
1
0
W
03.04.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Independiente Petrolero
3
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
1
5
L
01.03.26
Fri
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
2
0
W
26.02.26
CON
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
0
2
L
19.02.26
CON
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
1
0
W
14.12.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Real Tomayapo
1
0
W
H2H: Universitario de Vinto vs Nacional Potosí
11.04.26
H2H
Nacional Potosí
Universitario de Vinto
1
0
L
23.11.25
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
2
2
D
22.10.25
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
4
3
W
07.10.25
H2H
Nacional Potosí
Universitario de Vinto
0
0
D
12.08.25
H2H
Nacional Potosí
Universitario de Vinto
5
1
L
05.03.25
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
0
1
L
28.02.25
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
3
0
W
25.02.25
H2H
Nacional Potosí
Universitario de Vinto
2
0
L
20.12.24
H2H
Nacional Potosí
Universitario de Vinto
1
2
W
20.09.24
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
0
1
L
17.04.24
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
3
1
W
14.04.24
H2H
Nacional Potosí
Universitario de Vinto
0
1
W
06.03.24
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
0
2
L
03.10.23
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
0
0
D
08.08.23
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
3
1
W
Last matches: Universitario de Vinto
14.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Tomayapo
0
1
L
06.08.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Potosí
0
2
L
31.07.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
1
1
D
02.06.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Aurora
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Bolívar
3
2
W
05.05.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Blooming
1
1
D
21.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
ABB
5
2
W
05.04.26
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
The Strongest
1
2
L
10.03.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro
1
1
D
25.02.26
Fri
Universitario de Vinto
Guabirá
5
2
W
10.12.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Independiente Petrolero
2
3
L
04.12.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
The Strongest
0
1
L
23.11.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
2
2
D
28.09.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Jorge Wilstermann
1
1
D
22.09.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Oruro
2
2
D
12.09.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Real Tomayapo
1
0
W
08.08.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Oriente Petrolero
2
1
W
20.07.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Gualberto Villarroel SJ
4
0
W
06.07.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
Aurora
1
2
L
21.06.25
Pri
Universitario de Vinto
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
1
D
H2H at home: Universitario de Vinto
23.11.25
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
2
2
D
22.10.25
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
4
3
W
05.03.25
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
0
1
L
28.02.25
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
3
0
W
20.09.24
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
0
1
L
17.04.24
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
3
1
W
06.03.24
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
0
2
L
03.10.23
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
0
0
D
08.08.23
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
3
1
W
Last matches: Nacional Potosí
08.08.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
1
2
L
02.08.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Oriente Petrolero
0
1
L
12.07.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Real Potosí
1
1
D
17.05.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Guabirá
1
2
L
14.05.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Bolívar
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Always Ready
1
3
L
23.04.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Blooming
1
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Independiente Petrolero
3
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Nacional Potosí
The Strongest
1
5
L
26.02.26
CON
Nacional Potosí
Botafogo
0
2
L
11.12.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Real Oruro
2
1
W
05.12.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Bolívar
2
5
L
23.11.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Universitario de Vinto
2
2
D
27.09.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Aurora
2
1
W
20.09.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Oriente Petrolero
2
2
D
17.09.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Jorge Wilstermann
5
2
W
24.08.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Guabirá
0
1
L
04.08.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Always Ready
0
1
L
22.07.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
Real Tomayapo
1
0
W
07.07.25
Pri
Nacional Potosí
ABB
2
2
D
H2H away: Nacional Potosí
23.11.25
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
2
2
D
22.10.25
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
4
3
L
05.03.25
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
0
1
W
28.02.25
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
3
0
L
20.09.24
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
0
1
W
17.04.24
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
3
1
L
06.03.24
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
0
2
W
03.10.23
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
0
0
D
08.08.23
H2H
Universitario de Vinto
Nacional Potosí
3
1
L

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 10 4 1 32:9 23 34
D W D W W
2 15 9 3 3 36:16 20 30
W W W L W
3 15 7 6 2 22:17 5 27
L L W D D
4 15 6 6 3 22:11 11 24
D W W D L
5 15 7 3 5 26:27 -1 24
W W W D W
6 15 7 2 6 25:20 5 23
W W L W W
7 15 5 7 3 23:22 1 22
L L D D W
8 15 6 4 5 22:21 1 22
W W D W L
9 15 5 6 4 20:16 4 21
W L D L D
10 15 5 3 7 22:21 1 18
W L L L W
11 15 5 2 8 18:28 -10 17
L W D W L
12 15 5 2 8 27:38 -11 17
L W L L L
13 15 5 1 9 24:31 -7 16
L L W D L
14 15 2 6 7 14:22 -8 12
L L D D W
15 15 3 3 9 11:31 -20 12
W L L D L
16 15 3 2 10 17:31 -14 11
L L L D L