SWEDEN ETTAN - NORRA
--.--.---- --:--
Umea Energi Arena
Umeå FC
Match Timeline
Järfälla
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
5'
E. Drugge
Järfälla
🟨
21'
A. Rajamohan
Järfälla
35'
R. Hadad
Umeå FC
49'
A. Khalil
Järfälla
🔄
64'
N. Linden ↔ T. Lindgren
Umeå FC
🟨
68'
N. Akdemir
Järfälla
🔄
68'
A. Wurtz ↔ K. Dahir
Järfälla
🔄
75'
O. Ogestad ↔ F. Mazanti Nyberg
Järfälla
🔄
75'
A. Rajamohan ↔ P. Saweris
Järfälla
🔄
85'
N. Medhin T ↔ C. Fox
Järfälla
🔄
85'
A. Khalil ↔ A. Sabery
Järfälla
🟨
86'
E. von Feilitzen
Järfälla
🟨
90+6'
J. Essombe Mambingo
Umeå FC
🔄
90+3'
F. Rhodin ↔ S. Forsman
Umeå FC
90'
A. Sabery
Järfälla

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.4%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Umeå FC Win 58.4%
Draw 9.7%
Järfälla Win 32%
Expected Goals (xG)
Umeå FC1.87
Järfälla1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Umeå FC Umeå FC
WWDLW
38 GF / 34 GA
Järfälla Järfälla
WLDWL
23 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
2.19
14
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Umeå FC Umeå FC 23 matches
Järfälla Järfälla 16 matches
Umeå FC Statistic Järfälla
8 Wins 3
5 Draws 4
10 Losses 9
38 Goals For 23
34 Goals Against 35
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 2.19
14 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 14
14 Over 2.5 11
10 Over 3.5 9
4 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Järfälla. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Järfälla having the stronger overall control. Järfälla arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Umeå FC Analysis

So far, Umeå FC have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 16 points from 12 matches. The record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 18:18 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Hadad (7 goals), E. Olawore (3 goals), E. Cederblad (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Järfälla Analysis

Järfälla approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 12 points from 13 matches. The overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats with a 18:26 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Khalil (6 goals), A. Wurtz (3 goals), N. Medhin T (3 goals), with creative support from A. Wurtz (2 assists), F. Mazanti Nyberg (2 assists), A. Khalil (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Umeå FC won 0 times, Järfälla won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Umeå FC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.3%)
H2H summary: Umeå FC wins 0, draws 0, Järfälla wins 1