ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli
Referee: G. Manganiello
Udinese
Match Timeline
Cremonese
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
9'
J. Vardy
Cremonese
VAR
27'
Christian Kabasele
Udinese
🔄
46'
C. Kabasele ↔ N. Bertola
Udinese
🟨
51'
Federico Bonazzoli
Cremonese
🟨
55'
Tommaso Barbieri
Cremonese
🔄
60'
J. Arizala ↔ J. Zemura
Udinese
🔄
60'
F. Bonazzoli ↔ D. Okereke
Cremonese
🔄
60'
T. Barbieri ↔ R. Floriani
Cremonese
VAR
66'
Hassane Kamara
Udinese
🟨
67'
Hassane Kamara
Udinese
🔄
71'
L. Miller ↔ V. Bayo
Udinese
🔄
71'
K. Davis ↔ I. Gueye
Udinese
🔄
79'
H. Kamara ↔ A. Camara
Udinese
🔄
82'
M. Thorsby ↔ J. Vandeputte
Cremonese
🔄
82'
Y. Maleh ↔ M. Collocolo
Cremonese
🔄
88'
J. Vardy ↔ M. Djuric
Cremonese
🟨
90+1'
Alberto Grassi
Cremonese

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.8%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Udinese Win 86.8%
Draw 0%
Cremonese Win 13.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Udinese1.33
Cremonese0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Udinese Udinese
WWDLW
49 GF / 49 GA
Cremonese Cremonese
WLDWL
30 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.26
Average Goals Scored
0.81
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
18
BTTS Yes
15
18
Over 2.5
16
4.13
Shots on Goal
3.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Udinese Udinese 39 matches
Cremonese Cremonese 37 matches
Udinese Statistic Cremonese
16 Wins 7
8 Draws 11
15 Losses 19
49 Goals For 30
49 Goals Against 53
1.26 Avg Goals Scored 0.81
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
18 BTTS Yes 15
29 Over 1.5 25
18 Over 2.5 16
8 Over 3.5 8
12 Clean Sheets 11
10 Failed To Score 18
4.13 Shots On Goal 3.24
11.72 Total Shots 9.16
4.33 Corners 3.51
45.8% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Cremonese arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Udinese arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 10 with 50 points compared to Cremonese in 18 on 31, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cremonese. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Udinese expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Cremonese in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cremonese having the stronger overall control.

Udinese Analysis

Udinese sit 10 with 50 points after 36 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses, while the 45:46 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Keinan Davis (10 goals), A. Atta (5 goals), J. Ekkelenkamp (5 goals), with creative support from Nicolò Zaniolo (6 assists), Keinan Davis (4 assists), A. Atta (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cremonese Analysis

Cremonese sit 18 with 31 points after 36 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 30:53, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Bonazzoli (9 goals), Jamie Vardy (6 goals), Filippo Terracciano (4 goals), with creative support from J. Vandeputte (5 assists), A. Zerbin (3 assists), F. Bonazzoli (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 11 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Udinese won 2 times, Cremonese won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:3 from Udinese's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Udinese 3-4-2-1 / Cremonese 4-4-2
Missing players: Udinese 5, Cremonese 4
H2H summary: Udinese wins 2, draws 2, Cremonese wins 1
Stats
Udinese Udinese
Cremonese Cremonese
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
5 Corner Kicks 5
10 Fouls 9
4 Offsides 5
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 2
2 Blocked Shots 1
5 Shots insidebox 2
5 Shots outsidebox 5
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
525 Total passes 305
452 Passes accurate 216
0.35 expected_goals 0.45
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Udinese
Formation
Cremonese
M. Okoye
M. Okoye
T. Kristensen
T. Kristensen
C. Kabasele
C. Kabasele
O. Solet
O. Solet
J. Arizala
J. Arizala
L. Miller
L. Miller
J. Karlstrom
J. Karlstrom
A. Atta
A. Atta
H. Kamara
H. Kamara
A. Buksa
A. Buksa
K. Davis
K. Davis
E. Audero
E. Audero
F. Terracciano
F. Terracciano
M. Bianchetti
M. Bianchetti
S. Luperto
S. Luperto
T. Barbieri
T. Barbieri
M. Thorsby
M. Thorsby
A. Grassi
A. Grassi
Y. Maleh
Y. Maleh
G. Pezzella
G. Pezzella
F. Bonazzoli
F. Bonazzoli
J. Vardy
J. Vardy
Udinese 3-5-2
Starting XI
40
M. Okoye
G
31
T. Kristensen
D
27
C. Kabasele
↓ 46'
D
28
O. Solet
D
20
J. Arizala
↓ 60'
M
38
L. Miller
↓ 71'
M
8
J. Karlstrom
M
14
A. Atta
M
11
H. Kamara
↓ 79' 🟨 67'
M
18
A. Buksa
F
9
K. Davis
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
93
D. Padelli
G
90
R. Sava
G
1
A. Nunziante
G
15
V. Bayo
↑ 71'
F
24
J. Piotrowski
M
22
B. Mlacic
D
33
J. Zemura
↑ 60'
D
6
O. Zarraga
M
13
N. Bertola
↑ 46'
D
7
I. Gueye
↑ 71'
F
29
A. Camara
↑ 79'
M
Cremonese 3-5-2
Starting XI
1
E. Audero
G
24
F. Terracciano
D
15
M. Bianchetti
D
5
S. Luperto
D
4
T. Barbieri
↓ 60' 🟨 55'
M
2
M. Thorsby
↓ 82'
M
33
A. Grassi
🟨 90+1'
M
29
Y. Maleh
↓ 82'
M
3
G. Pezzella
M
90
F. Bonazzoli
↓ 60' 🟨 51'
F
10
J. Vardy
⚽ 9' ↓ 88'
F
Substitutes
16
M. Silvestri
G
96
M. Cassin
G
69
L. Nava
G
9
M. Djuric
↑ 88'
F
99
A. Sanabria
F
27
J. Vandeputte
↑ 82'
M
77
D. Okereke
↑ 60'
F
18
M. Collocolo
↑ 82'
M
32
M. Payero
M
55
F. Folino
D
7
A. Zerbin
F
30
M. Faye
D
22
R. Floriani
↑ 60'
D
Last matches: Udinese
24.05.26
Ser
Udinese
Napoli
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Udinese
Cagliari
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Udinese
Torino
2
0
W
27.04.26
Ser
Udinese
Lazio
3
3
D
18.04.26
Ser
Udinese
Parma
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
Udinese
AC Milan
3
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
Udinese
Como
0
0
D
20.03.26
Ser
Udinese
Genoa
2
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Udinese
Juventus
0
1
L
07.03.26
Ser
Udinese
Atalanta
2
2
D
02.03.26
Ser
Udinese
Fiorentina
3
0
W
23.02.26
Ser
Udinese
Bologna
0
1
L
15.02.26
Ser
Udinese
Sassuolo
1
2
L
08.02.26
Ser
Udinese
Lecce
1
2
L
02.02.26
Ser
Udinese
AS Roma
1
0
W
26.01.26
Ser
Udinese
Hellas Verona
3
1
W
17.01.26
Ser
Udinese
Inter
0
1
L
10.01.26
Ser
Udinese
Pisa
2
2
D
07.01.26
Ser
Udinese
Torino
2
1
W
03.01.26
Ser
Udinese
Como
0
1
L
Last matches: Cremonese
24.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Como
1
4
L
10.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Pisa
3
0
W
04.05.26
Ser
Cremonese
Lazio
1
2
L
24.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Napoli
0
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Torino
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Cagliari
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Bologna
1
2
L
21.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Parma
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Fiorentina
1
4
L
08.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Lecce
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
AC Milan
0
2
L
22.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
AS Roma
0
3
L
15.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Genoa
0
0
D
09.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Atalanta
1
2
L
01.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Inter
0
2
L
25.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Sassuolo
0
1
L
19.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
12.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Juventus
0
5
L
08.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Cagliari
2
2
D
04.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Fiorentina
0
1
L
H2H: Udinese vs Cremonese
17.05.26
H2H
Udinese
Cremonese
0
1
L
20.10.25
H2H
Cremonese
Udinese
1
1
D
23.04.23
H2H
Udinese
Cremonese
3
0
W
29.12.22
H2H
Cremonese
Udinese
1
3
W
30.10.22
H2H
Cremonese
Udinese
0
0
D
Last matches: Udinese
02.05.26
Ser
Udinese
Torino
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Udinese
Parma
0
1
L
06.04.26
Ser
Udinese
Como
0
0
D
14.03.26
Ser
Udinese
Juventus
0
1
L
02.03.26
Ser
Udinese
Fiorentina
3
0
W
15.02.26
Ser
Udinese
Sassuolo
1
2
L
02.02.26
Ser
Udinese
AS Roma
1
0
W
17.01.26
Ser
Udinese
Inter
0
1
L
10.01.26
Ser
Udinese
Pisa
2
2
D
27.12.25
Ser
Udinese
Lazio
1
1
D
14.12.25
Ser
Udinese
Napoli
1
0
W
08.12.25
Ser
Udinese
Genoa
1
2
L
22.11.25
Ser
Udinese
Bologna
0
3
L
01.11.25
Ser
Udinese
Atalanta
1
0
W
25.10.25
Ser
Udinese
Lecce
3
2
W
05.10.25
Ser
Udinese
Cagliari
1
1
D
23.09.25
Cop
Udinese
Palermo
2
1
W
20.09.25
Ser
Udinese
AC Milan
0
3
L
25.08.25
Ser
Udinese
Hellas Verona
1
1
D
18.08.25
Cop
Udinese
Carrarese
2
0
W
H2H at home: Udinese
17.05.26
H2H
Udinese
Cremonese
0
1
L
23.04.23
H2H
Udinese
Cremonese
3
0
W
Last matches: Cremonese
24.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Napoli
0
4
L
11.04.26
Ser
Cremonese
Cagliari
0
1
L
21.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Parma
2
0
W
08.03.26
Ser
Cremonese
Lecce
1
2
L
22.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
AS Roma
0
3
L
09.02.26
Ser
Cremonese
Atalanta
1
2
L
25.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Sassuolo
0
1
L
12.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Juventus
0
5
L
04.01.26
Ser
Cremonese
Fiorentina
0
1
L
20.12.25
Ser
Cremonese
Lazio
0
0
D
13.12.25
Ser
Cremonese
Torino
0
1
L
01.12.25
Ser
Cremonese
Bologna
3
1
W
07.11.25
Ser
Cremonese
Pisa
0
1
L
29.10.25
Ser
Cremonese
Genoa
2
0
W
04.10.25
Ser
Cremonese
Inter
1
4
L
27.09.25
Ser
Cremonese
Como
1
1
D
15.09.25
Ser
Cremonese
Hellas Verona
0
0
D
23.08.25
Ser
Cremonese
AC Milan
2
1
W
H2H away: Cremonese
17.05.26
H2H
Udinese
Cremonese
0
1
W
23.04.23
H2H
Udinese
Cremonese
3
0
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L

Missing Players

Udinese 5 missing
-
A. Zanoli
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
N. Zaniolo
Missing Fixture Back Injury
OUT
-
J. Ekkelenkamp
Missing Fixture Leg Injury
OUT
-
K. Ehizibue
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
B. Mlacic
Questionable Injury
OUT
Cremonese 4 missing
-
F. Baschirotto
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
F. Ceccherini
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
W. Bondo
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
F. Moumbagna
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT