06.09.2026 18:00
Monumental de Villa Lynch
UAI Urquiza
Match Timeline
Argentino de Merlo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
V. Rodriguez
UAI Urquiza
17'
V. Pesse
UAI Urquiza
🔄
46'
N. Rios ↔ L. Arcuri
UAI Urquiza
🔄
46'
M. Gomez ↔ E. Cohen
Argentino de Merlo
🔄
46'
F. Maldonado ↔ J. Ortiz
Argentino de Merlo
🔄
53'
E. Tamborelli ↔ C. Medina
Argentino de Merlo
🟨
56'
E. Ibanez
UAI Urquiza
🔄
66'
A. Salvador ↔ F. Sellecchia
Argentino de Merlo
🔄
76'
A. Marin ↔ S. Scacchi
UAI Urquiza
🔄
76'
T. Asprea ↔ E. Diaz
UAI Urquiza
🟨
77'
E. Cohen
Argentino de Merlo
🔄
89'
V. Pesse ↔ F. Postel
UAI Urquiza

UAI Urquiza vs Argentino de Merlo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61%
Odds 2.74
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 2.38
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds 2.94
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61%
2.74
BTTS Yes
58.8%
2.38
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
27.2%
2.94
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
UAI Urquiza Win 13.5%
Draw 25.5%
Argentino de Merlo Win 61%
Expected Goals (xG)
UAI Urquiza0.67
Argentino de Merlo0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
UAI Urquiza UAI Urquiza
WWDLW
15 GF / 29 GA
Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo
WLDWL
30 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
0.45
Average Goals Scored
0.88
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1
9
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UAI Urquiza UAI Urquiza 33 matches
Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo 34 matches
UAI Urquiza Statistic Argentino de Merlo
3 Wins 10
19 Draws 11
11 Losses 13
15 Goals For 30
29 Goals Against 34
0.45 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1
9 BTTS Yes 11
16 Over 1.5 19
6 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 6
15 Clean Sheets 11
22 Failed To Score 17
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Argentino de Merlo. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Argentino de Merlo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 12 with 40 points while UAI Urquiza sit 21 on 28, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Argentino de Merlo having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

UAI Urquiza Analysis

UAI Urquiza approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 21 with 28 points from 32 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 19 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 15:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Argentino de Merlo Analysis

Argentino de Merlo sit 12 with 40 points after 32 league matches. The record of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 30:32 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, UAI Urquiza won 5 times, Argentino de Merlo won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:11 from UAI Urquiza's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.18 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (86.5%)
H2H summary: UAI Urquiza wins 5, draws 3, Argentino de Merlo wins 3

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 21 8 7 56:29 27 71
W W W L W
2 36 18 12 6 48:24 24 66
L W W W W
3 36 18 10 8 37:19 18 64
D L W W D
4 36 17 12 7 42:24 18 63
L L W D W
5 36 17 12 7 38:21 17 63
W L L D D
6 36 16 11 9 41:27 14 59
D L W W L
7 36 16 10 10 40:35 5 58
W W L D W
8 36 15 9 12 38:38 0 54
W W D W L
9 36 14 11 11 38:33 5 53
W D W W L
10 36 12 12 12 43:47 -4 48
L D D D W
11 36 11 14 11 35:37 -2 47
W W D L W
12 36 10 14 12 38:38 0 44
D L L W W
13 36 11 11 14 32:36 -4 44
W L L D L
14 36 10 13 13 36:50 -14 43
W L D L L
15 36 9 14 13 35:39 -4 41
D D D L W
16 36 9 14 13 29:36 -7 41
D W L L L
17 36 9 13 14 30:37 -7 40
L W D D W
18 36 10 8 18 32:45 -13 38
L W L W L
19 36 8 13 15 31:38 -7 37
L W D D W
20 36 7 14 15 21:37 -16 35
D L D D L
21 36 4 19 13 18:33 -15 31
L L W L L
22 36 1 12 23 23:58 -35 15
L D L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)