CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
24.05.2026 22:00
Claro Arena
Referee: Jose Cabero Rebolledo, Chile
U. Catolica
Match Timeline
Colo Colo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
A. Vidal
U. Catolica
🟨
14'
Arturo Vidal
Colo Colo
🟨
42'
Vicente Bernedo
U. Catolica
🟨
42'
Leandro Hernández
Colo Colo
42'
J. Correa · Assist: T. Alarcon
Colo Colo
45'
J. Correa · Assist: L. Hernandez
Colo Colo
🔄
46'
J. Rossel ↔ F. Zampedri
U. Catolica
🔄
46'
E. Mena ↔ F. Zuqui
U. Catolica
🔄
46'
J. Correa ↔ M. Romero
Colo Colo
🟨
54'
Tomás Alarcón
Colo Colo
🔄
66'
A. Madrid ↔ C. Aquino
Colo Colo
🔄
72'
C. Montes ↔ D. Corral
U. Catolica
🔄
72'
M. Palavecino ↔ J. A. Martinez
U. Catolica
🟨
77'
Diego Corral
U. Catolica
🔄
82'
D. Ulloa ↔ E. Wiemberg
Colo Colo
🟨
89'
Fernando Zampedri
U. Catolica
🔄
89'
L. Hernandez ↔ L. Pastran
Colo Colo
🟨
90+2'
Tomás Alarcón
Colo Colo
🟥
90+2'
Tomás Alarcón
Colo Colo

U. Catolica vs Colo Colo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
U. Catolica Win 33%
Draw 0%
Colo Colo Win 67%
Expected Goals (xG)
U. Catolica1.44
Colo Colo1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
U. Catolica U. Catolica
WWDLW
33 GF / 21 GA
Colo Colo Colo Colo
WLDWL
20 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.94
Average Goals Scored
1.54
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
0.69
11
BTTS Yes
4
11
Over 2.5
4
5.18
Shots on Goal
5.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

U. Catolica U. Catolica 17 matches
Colo Colo Colo Colo 13 matches
U. Catolica Statistic Colo Colo
9 Wins 9
3 Draws 1
5 Losses 3
33 Goals For 20
21 Goals Against 9
1.94 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 0.69
11 BTTS Yes 4
14 Over 1.5 6
11 Over 2.5 4
6 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 3
5.18 Shots On Goal 5.25
13.35 Total Shots 14.83
4.88 Corners 6.17
55.1% Ball Possession 62.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with U. Catolica expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Colo Colo in 3-1-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Colo Colo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Colo Colo look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Colo Colo. Colo Colo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 27 points while U. Catolica sit 4 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

U. Catolica Analysis

U. Catolica approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 4 on 20 points after 12 outings. The return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with goals at 26:17, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through F. Zampedri (12 goals), J. Giani (6 goals), C. Montes (2 goals), with creative support from C. Montes (4 assists), Matías Palavecino (4 assists), C. Cuevas (4 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Colo Colo Analysis

Colo Colo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 27 points after 12 matches. The return of 9 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 20:9, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through J. Correa (6 goals), M. Romero (5 goals), A. Madrid (2 goals), with creative support from C. Aquino (3 assists), M. Romero (1 assists), L. Hernandez (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, U. Catolica won 3 times, Colo Colo won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:15 from U. Catolica's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: U. Catolica 4-1-4-1 / Colo Colo 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: U. Catolica wins 3, draws 5, Colo Colo wins 7

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 17 1 3 47:21 26 52
W W D W W
2 21 11 3 7 46:31 15 36
W W L W L
3 21 10 6 5 28:17 11 36
L L W W W
4 21 9 6 6 34:23 11 33
W W D W L
5 21 10 3 8 32:29 3 33
L W W L W
6 20 8 8 4 26:24 2 32
L W W D W
7 21 9 3 9 24:24 0 30
W D W W W
8 20 8 3 9 38:34 4 27
L W L W L
9 21 6 9 6 32:34 -2 27
W D W D L
10 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L D D L D
11 21 7 3 11 26:34 -8 24
L L D L W
12 20 7 3 10 29:39 -10 24
L L L L D
13 21 5 7 9 24:31 -7 22
L D D D W
14 20 6 4 10 16:34 -18 22
W L L L L
15 21 6 3 12 31:39 -8 21
W D L L W
16 21 3 5 13 17:38 -21 14
L D L L L