NORWAY ELITESERIEN
--.--.---- --:--
Romssa Arena
Referee: E. Eskas
Tromso
Match Timeline
Aalesund
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
S. Innvaer · Assist: J. Hjerto-Dahl
Tromso
🟨
28'
Marcus Haagensen Reed
Aalesund
🟨
54'
Sander Innvær
Tromso
57'
M. Christensen
Aalesund
🔄
66'
T. Nyhammer ↔ L. O. Larsen
Tromso
🔄
66'
H. Larsen ↔ D. Braut
Tromso
🔄
67'
M. Reed ↔ I. Djantou
Aalesund
🔄
67'
M. Andresen ↔ K. Nesso
Aalesund
🔄
75'
H. Melland ↔ H. Hammer
Aalesund
🟨
82'
Ulrik Syversen
Aalesund
🔄
85'
J. Hjerto-Dahl ↔ S. Prestmo
Tromso
🔄
90+3'
E. Osenbroch ↔ E. Engqvist
Aalesund

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 82.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
82.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tromso Win 82.4%
Draw 0%
Aalesund Win 17.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tromso1.58
Aalesund1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tromso Tromso
WWDLW
22 GF / 14 GA
Aalesund Aalesund
WLDWL
26 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.63
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1.88
4
BTTS Yes
11
5
Over 2.5
10
5.18
Shots on Goal
4.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tromso Tromso 16 matches
Aalesund Aalesund 16 matches
Tromso Statistic Aalesund
10 Wins 5
4 Draws 3
2 Losses 8
22 Goals For 26
14 Goals Against 30
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88
4 BTTS Yes 11
11 Over 1.5 14
5 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 8
10 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 3
5.18 Shots On Goal 4.67
13.18 Total Shots 14.33
5.82 Corners 3.67
47.5% Ball Possession 43.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Tromso's more proactive style and Aalesund's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Aalesund. Tromso arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 23 points compared to Aalesund in 15 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Tromso Analysis

Placed 2 with 23 points from 11 outings, Tromso continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 17:13 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Hjerto-Dahl (5 goals), H. Larsen (3 goals), A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd (2 goals), with creative support from R. Jenssen (5 assists), J. Hjerto-Dahl (1 assists), H. Larsen (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Aalesund Analysis

Aalesund approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 6 points from 8 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 10:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through K. Lonebu (5 goals), H. Melland (2 goals), Emil Engqvist (1 goals), with creative support from J. Orsahl (2 assists), H. Melland (1 assists), Endre Hjertager Osenbroch (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Tromso won 2 times, Aalesund won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:23 from Tromso's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.7 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Tromso 5-3-2 / Aalesund 5-3-2
Missing players: Tromso 3, Aalesund 6
H2H summary: Tromso wins 2, draws 3, Aalesund wins 5
Stats
Tromso Tromso
Aalesund Aalesund
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
8
6 Corner Kicks 9
9 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 0
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Goal 3
5 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 8
14 Shots insidebox 8
2 Shots outsidebox 7
2 Goalkeeper Saves 5
591 Total passes 342
505 Passes accurate 275
1.59 expected_goals 0.90
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Tromso
Formation
Aalesund
J. Haugaard
J. Haugaard
L. Cornic
L. Cornic
V. Skjaervik
V. Skjaervik
T. Guddal
T. Guddal
A. S. Kinteh
A. S. Kinteh
S. Innvaer
S. Innvaer
D. Edvardsson
D. Edvardsson
R. Jenssen
R. Jenssen
J. Hjerto-Dahl
🎯
J. Hjerto-Dahl
T. Nyhammer
T. Nyhammer
H. Larsen
H. Larsen
K. Klaesson
K. Klaesson
M. Andresen
M. Andresen
S. Haram
S. Haram
A. Kjelsen
A. Kjelsen
U. Syversen
U. Syversen
U. Charles
U. Charles
M. Christensen
M. Christensen
E. Hagen
E. Hagen
H. Melland
H. Melland
M. Reed
M. Reed
E. Osenbroch
E. Osenbroch
Tromso 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
J. Haugaard
G
2
L. Cornic
D
4
V. Skjaervik
D
21
T. Guddal
D
25
A. S. Kinteh
D
37
S. Innvaer
⚽ 2' 🟨 54'
D
5
D. Edvardsson
M
11
R. Jenssen
M
6
J. Hjerto-Dahl
🎯 2' ↓ 85'
M
10
T. Nyhammer
↓ 66'
F
22
H. Larsen
↓ 66'
F
Substitutes
12
O. Lauvli
G
7
L. O. Larsen
↑ 66'
F
9
D. Braut
↑ 66'
F
27
M. Mikkelsen
M
24
J. Husebo
D
30
I. Vadebu
D
3
M. Tonnessen
D
14
S. Prestmo
↑ 85'
19
A. L. Elvebu
M
Aalesund 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
K. Klaesson
G
2
M. Andresen
↓ 67'
D
4
S. Haram
D
5
A. Kjelsen
25
U. Syversen
14
U. Charles
D
21
M. Christensen
⚽ 57'
18
E. Hagen
M
8
H. Melland
↓ 75'
M
27
M. Reed
↓ 67' 🟨 28'
F
15
E. Osenbroch
↓ 90+3'
F
Substitutes
26
T. Larsen
G
22
E. Engqvist
↑ 90+3'
D
20
I. Djantou
↑ 67'
F
7
K. Nesso
↑ 67'
M
6
H. Hammer
↑ 75'
16
J. Orsahl
17
E. Myrlid
F
30
S. K. Knutsen
F
Last matches: Tromso
30.07.26
UEF
Tromso
Hradec Králové
1
3
L
23.07.26
UEF
Tromso
Hradec Králové
0
1
L
18.07.26
Eli
Tromso
Ham-Kam
4
1
W
11.07.26
Eli
Tromso
Valerenga
4
0
W
25.06.26
Fri
Tromso
Orgryte IS
4
1
W
29.05.26
Eli
Tromso
KFUM Oslo
0
0
D
16.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Bodo/Glimt
0
5
L
10.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Molde
2
0
W
03.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Start
1
1
D
29.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Brann
0
5
L
26.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Sandefjord
3
1
W
19.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1
0
W
15.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Lillestrom
0
0
D
11.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Kristiansund BK
2
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Rosenborg
2
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Tromso
Start
1
0
W
22.03.26
Eli
Tromso
Brann
2
1
W
15.03.26
Eli
Tromso
Fredrikstad
4
0
W
27.02.26
Fri
Tromso
Lillestrom
0
0
D
20.02.26
Fri
Tromso
Viking
1
1
D
Last matches: Aalesund
26.07.26
Eli
Aalesund
Viking
1
1
D
16.07.26
Eli
Aalesund
Valerenga
1
6
L
11.07.26
Eli
Aalesund
Molde
2
2
D
27.06.26
Fri
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
3
0
W
29.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Ham-Kam
2
2
D
20.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Brann
2
1
W
16.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Rosenborg
3
2
W
03.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Sandefjord
0
1
L
26.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
1
1
D
18.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
12.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
KFUM Oslo
2
2
D
07.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2
3
L
21.03.26
Eli
Aalesund
Start
1
1
D
15.03.26
Eli
Aalesund
Lillestrom
1
3
L
28.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Brattvåg
6
1
W
27.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Molde
1
4
L
22.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2
3
L
15.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Sirius
2
3
L
06.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
hodd
2
0
W
30.01.26
Fri
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
1
0
W
H2H: Tromso vs Aalesund
25.05.26
H2H
Tromso
Aalesund
1
1
D
08.03.25
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
1
0
L
08.10.23
H2H
Tromso
Aalesund
1
2
L
11.06.23
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
2
3
W
13.11.22
H2H
Tromso
Aalesund
2
2
D
18.04.22
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
2
2
D
20.08.17
H2H
Tromso
Aalesund
3
2
W
30.04.17
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
3
1
L
05.08.16
H2H
Tromso
Aalesund
1
2
L
24.04.16
H2H
Aalesund
Tromso
6
0
L
Last matches: Tromso
23.07.26
UEF
Tromso
Hradec Králové
0
1
L
11.07.26
Eli
Tromso
Valerenga
4
0
W
25.06.26
Fri
Tromso
Orgryte IS
4
1
W
10.05.26
Eli
Tromso
Molde
2
0
W
29.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Brann
0
5
L
26.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Sandefjord
3
1
W
15.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Lillestrom
0
0
D
11.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Kristiansund BK
2
0
W
06.04.26
Eli
Tromso
Rosenborg
2
0
W
27.03.26
Fri
Tromso
Start
1
0
W
15.03.26
Eli
Tromso
Fredrikstad
4
0
W
27.02.26
Fri
Tromso
Lillestrom
0
0
D
20.02.26
Fri
Tromso
Viking
1
1
D
13.02.26
Fri
Tromso
Bryne
1
0
W
H2H at home: Tromso
25.05.26
H2H
Tromso
Aalesund
1
1
D
08.10.23
H2H
Tromso
Aalesund
1
2
L
13.11.22
H2H
Tromso
Aalesund
2
2
D
20.08.17
H2H
Tromso
Aalesund
3
2
W
05.08.16
H2H
Tromso
Aalesund
1
2
L
Last matches: Aalesund
16.07.26
Eli
Aalesund
Valerenga
1
6
L
27.06.26
Fri
Aalesund
Kristiansund BK
3
0
W
16.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Rosenborg
3
2
W
03.05.26
Eli
Aalesund
Sandefjord
0
1
L
18.04.26
Eli
Aalesund
Bodo/Glimt
0
3
L
21.03.26
Eli
Aalesund
Start
1
1
D
27.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Molde
1
4
L
15.02.26
Fri
Aalesund
Sirius
2
3
L
H2H away: Aalesund
25.05.26
H2H
Tromso
Aalesund
1
1
D
08.10.23
H2H
Tromso
Aalesund
1
2
W
13.11.22
H2H
Tromso
Aalesund
2
2
D
20.08.17
H2H
Tromso
Aalesund
3
2
L
05.08.16
H2H
Tromso
Aalesund
1
2
W

Standings

Eliteserien
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 12 2 2 41:11 30 38
W W W W W
2 14 11 1 2 34:14 20 34
D W W L W
3 15 9 4 2 26:15 11 31
W W D D L
4 15 8 1 6 22:18 4 25
L L W W L
5 14 7 2 5 25:19 6 23
W L D W L
6 14 6 3 5 15:16 -1 21
W D W W W
7 15 6 3 6 23:26 -3 21
W L L L D
8 15 6 2 7 22:27 -5 20
L W W L W
9 15 6 1 8 30:25 5 19
L W W L L
10 14 5 3 6 19:18 1 18
W W W D L
11 14 4 3 7 13:20 -7 15
L L D L D
12 14 4 2 8 15:27 -12 14
L L L W D
13 14 2 7 5 19:29 -10 13
D L D D D
14 14 3 3 8 15:25 -10 12
L L L D W
15 14 3 3 8 12:23 -11 12
L D L L L
16 15 2 4 9 16:34 -18 10
W L L L W
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen

Missing Players

Tromso 3 missing
-
J. Grundt
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
V. Ekblom
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
Aalesund 6 missing
-
P. Ngongo
Missing Fixture Surgery
OUT
-
M. Kristensen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Seehusen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
U. Syversen
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
P. Aukland
Missing Fixture Knock
OUT
-
M. Andresen
Questionable Injury
OUT