Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Away Win
BTTS
No
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
79.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
82.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Lusitânia Lourosa Win 10.1%
Draw 10.1%
Arouca Win 79.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lusitânia Lourosa0.98
Arouca0.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lusitânia Lourosa
WWDLW
4 GF / 6 GA
Arouca
WLDWL
1 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
0.25
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Lusitânia Lourosa
5 matches
Arouca
4 matches
| Lusitânia Lourosa | Statistic | Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 0 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 4 | Goals For | 1 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.25 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 2 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Lusitânia Lourosa won 2 times, Arouca won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:4 from Lusitânia Lourosa's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.
1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (89.9%)
H2H summary: Lusitânia Lourosa wins 2, draws 0, Arouca wins 1
Last matches: Lusitânia Lourosa
01.08.26
Fri
Lusitânia Lourosa
Paredes
2
4
L
29.07.26
Fri
Lusitânia Lourosa
Leça
0
0
D
29.07.26
Fri
Lusitânia Lourosa
FC Porto B
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Lusitânia Lourosa
Academico Viseu
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Lusitânia Lourosa
SC Braga B
0
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Lusitânia Lourosa
Famalicao
0
1
L
Last matches: Arouca
25.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Feirense
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Rio Ave
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
1
2
L
06.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Nacional
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Casa Pia
2
3
L
07.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Guimaraes
3
2
W
31.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Rio Ave
3
0
W
24.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Sporting CP
1
2
L
H2H: Lusitânia Lourosa vs Arouca
23.07.25
H2H
Arouca
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
3
W
02.02.20
H2H
Arouca
Lusitânia Lourosa
1
0
L
01.09.19
H2H
Lusitânia Lourosa
Arouca
4
1
W
Last matches: Lusitânia Lourosa
29.07.26
Fri
Lusitânia Lourosa
FC Porto B
3
3
D
25.07.26
Fri
Lusitânia Lourosa
Academico Viseu
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Lusitânia Lourosa
SC Braga B
0
2
L
H2H at home: Lusitânia Lourosa
01.09.19
H2H
Lusitânia Lourosa
Arouca
4
1
W
Last matches: Arouca
25.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Feirense
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Rio Ave
1
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Casa Pia
2
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Rio Ave
3
0
W
17.01.26
Pri
Arouca
AVS
1
0
W
03.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
1
3
L
21.12.25
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pri
Arouca
Estrela
1
3
L
07.11.25
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
4
L
25.10.25
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
0
5
L
20.09.25
Pri
Arouca
Nacional
2
1
W
30.08.25
Pri
Arouca
Guimaraes
1
1
D
H2H away: Arouca
01.09.19
H2H
Lusitânia Lourosa
Arouca
4
1
L