AUSTRALIA VICTORIA PREMIER LEAGUE 2
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 42.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
42.9%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Malvern Win 42.9%
Draw 16.4%
Goulburn Valley Suns Win 40.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Malvern1.99
Goulburn Valley Suns1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Malvern Malvern
WWDLW
51 GF / 24 GA
Goulburn Valley Suns Goulburn Valley Suns
WLDWL
47 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
2.43
Average Goals Scored
2.24
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
13
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Malvern Malvern 21 matches
Goulburn Valley Suns Goulburn Valley Suns 21 matches
Malvern Statistic Goulburn Valley Suns
15 Wins 14
1 Draws 4
5 Losses 3
51 Goals For 47
24 Goals Against 28
2.43 Avg Goals Scored 2.24
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
13 BTTS Yes 16
17 Over 1.5 18
15 Over 2.5 15
9 Over 3.5 10
6 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Goulburn Valley Suns. Goulburn Valley Suns look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Goulburn Valley Suns having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Malvern Analysis

Malvern approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 46 points after 21 outings. The return of 15 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, together with goals at 51:24, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Goulburn Valley Suns Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 46 points from 21 games, Goulburn Valley Suns bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 14 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a 47:28 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Malvern won 1 times, Goulburn Valley Suns won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Malvern's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)
H2H summary: Malvern wins 1, draws 1, Goulburn Valley Suns wins 0
Last matches: Malvern
14.08.26
Vic
Malvern
Springvale
5
2
W
08.08.26
Vic
Malvern
Eastern Lions
2
2
D
24.07.26
Vic
Malvern
Nunawading
4
1
W
18.07.26
Vic
Malvern
Moreland City
5
0
W
11.07.26
Vic
Malvern
Keilor Park
0
1
L
20.06.26
Vic
Malvern
Altona City
2
0
W
13.06.26
Vic
Malvern
Essendon Royals SC
2
4
L
05.06.26
Vic
Malvern
Whittlesea United
0
1
L
29.05.26
Vic
Malvern
Box Hill
1
2
L
23.05.26
Vic
Malvern
Bayside Argonauts
2
1
W
15.05.26
Vic
Malvern
Werribee City
1
0
W
09.05.26
Vic
Malvern
Kingston City
5
0
W
02.05.26
Vic
Malvern
Springvale
4
1
W
25.04.26
Vic
Malvern
Goulburn Valley Suns
2
2
D
18.04.26
Vic
Malvern
Nunawading
2
1
W
11.04.26
Vic
Malvern
Moreland City
4
1
W
28.03.26
Vic
Malvern
Keilor Park
1
0
W
20.03.26
Vic
Malvern
Eastern Lions
4
2
W
14.03.26
Vic
Malvern
Altona City
1
2
L
06.03.26
Vic
Malvern
Essendon Royals SC
2
1
W
Last matches: Goulburn Valley Suns
15.08.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Werribee City
2
0
W
08.08.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Keilor Park
4
0
W
25.07.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Springvale
2
1
W
18.07.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Kingston City
3
2
W
11.07.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Nunawading
1
0
W
04.07.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Moreland City
5
2
W
13.06.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Eastern Lions
2
1
W
06.06.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Altona City
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Essendon Royals SC
1
0
W
23.05.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Whittlesea United
0
0
D
16.05.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Box Hill
2
1
W
09.05.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Bayside Argonauts
3
1
W
02.05.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Werribee City
2
2
D
25.04.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Malvern
2
2
D
18.04.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Springvale
2
1
W
11.04.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Kingston City
2
0
W
28.03.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Nunawading
2
0
W
21.03.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Moreland City
5
2
W
14.03.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Keilor Park
2
4
L
07.03.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Eastern Lions
1
3
L
H2H: Malvern vs Goulburn Valley Suns
01.08.26
H2H
Malvern
Goulburn Valley Suns
3
1
W
25.04.26
H2H
Goulburn Valley Suns
Malvern
2
2
D
Last matches: Malvern
08.08.26
Vic
Malvern
Eastern Lions
2
2
D
18.07.26
Vic
Malvern
Moreland City
5
0
W
13.06.26
Vic
Malvern
Essendon Royals SC
2
4
L
29.05.26
Vic
Malvern
Box Hill
1
2
L
02.05.26
Vic
Malvern
Springvale
4
1
W
18.04.26
Vic
Malvern
Nunawading
2
1
W
28.03.26
Vic
Malvern
Keilor Park
1
0
W
14.03.26
Vic
Malvern
Altona City
1
2
L
28.02.26
Vic
Malvern
Whittlesea United
2
1
W
14.02.26
Vic
Malvern
Bayside Argonauts
5
3
W
H2H at home: Malvern
01.08.26
H2H
Malvern
Goulburn Valley Suns
3
1
W
Last matches: Goulburn Valley Suns
08.08.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Keilor Park
4
0
W
18.07.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Kingston City
3
2
W
11.07.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Nunawading
1
0
W
06.06.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Altona City
1
1
D
23.05.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Whittlesea United
0
0
D
16.05.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Box Hill
2
1
W
02.05.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Werribee City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Springvale
2
1
W
21.03.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Moreland City
5
2
W
07.03.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Eastern Lions
1
3
L
21.02.26
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Essendon Royals SC
3
2
W
13.08.22
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Kingston City
1
1
D
30.07.22
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Langwarrin
1
3
L
16.07.22
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Northcote City
0
4
L
02.07.22
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Bulleen Lions
1
1
D
18.06.22
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Pascoe Vale
0
3
L
04.06.22
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Manningham United Blues
1
4
L
28.05.22
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Brunswick City
1
1
D
07.05.22
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Moreland Zebras
2
3
L
23.04.22
Vic
Goulburn Valley Suns
Moreland City
2
3
L
H2H away: Goulburn Valley Suns
01.08.26
H2H
Malvern
Goulburn Valley Suns
3
1
L

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 17 2 5 61:29 32 53
W D W W W
2 24 16 4 4 54:31 23 52
W W L W W
3 24 15 2 7 60:36 24 47
W W W D W
4 24 13 5 6 42:30 12 44
W L W W D
5 24 12 2 10 33:35 -2 38
D L W L W
6 24 10 7 7 36:29 7 37
D W L D W
7 24 8 10 6 40:28 12 34
D W D D D
8 24 8 5 11 29:44 -15 29
L W L L W
9 24 6 8 10 37:38 -1 26
L D L D D
10 24 8 2 14 32:52 -20 26
W W L L L
11 23 7 4 12 21:39 -18 25
L L L W L
12 24 6 6 12 35:43 -8 24
L W D L L
13 24 3 8 13 21:38 -17 17
L L D L L
14 23 2 7 14 29:58 -29 13
D L L D L