LITHUANIA A LYGA
--.--.---- --:--
FK TransINVEST stadium
Referee: R. Smitas
TransINVEST Vilnius
Match Timeline
Panevėžys
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
M. van den Bos
Panevėžys
34'
M. Bacanin · Assist: E. Burdzilauskas
Panevėžys
46'
M. Bacanin · Assist: E. Burdzilauskas
Panevėžys
🔄
56'
D. Sluta ↔ R. Sveikauskas
TransINVEST Vilnius
🔄
56'
B. Tavares ↔ Y. Glushach
TransINVEST Vilnius
🔄
56'
Xabi Auzmendi ↔ C. Nwoga
TransINVEST Vilnius
🔄
64'
M. van den Bos ↔ J. Bopesu
Panevėžys
🔄
74'
S. Milosevic ↔ N. Akosah-Bempah
TransINVEST Vilnius
🔄
74'
N. Petkevicius ↔ O. Kurtsev
Panevėžys
🔄
74'
M. Bacanin ↔ K. Asamoah
Panevėžys
🔄
78'
D. Barauskas ↔ Koffi
TransINVEST Vilnius
🟨
82'
V. Cerniauskas
Panevėžys
🟨
90+1'
Koffi
TransINVEST Vilnius

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.9%
Odds -
2 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.9%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
TransINVEST Vilnius Win 86.9%
Draw 6.5%
Panevėžys Win 6.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
TransINVEST Vilnius1.7
Panevėžys1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius
WWDLW
59 GF / 42 GA
Panevėžys Panevėžys
WLDWL
35 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.84
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.48
19
BTTS Yes
19
23
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

TransINVEST Vilnius TransINVEST Vilnius 32 matches
Panevėžys Panevėžys 31 matches
TransINVEST Vilnius Statistic Panevėžys
15 Wins 11
6 Draws 8
11 Losses 12
59 Goals For 35
42 Goals Against 46
1.84 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.48
19 BTTS Yes 19
26 Over 1.5 24
23 Over 2.5 16
14 Over 3.5 7
11 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by TransINVEST Vilnius's more proactive style and Panevėžys's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Panevėžys arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. TransINVEST Vilnius arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 35 points compared to Panevėžys in 8 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Panevėžys. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with TransINVEST Vilnius expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Panevėžys in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Panevėžys having the stronger overall control.

TransINVEST Vilnius Analysis

TransINVEST Vilnius come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 35 points from 22 matches. The record of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 32:29 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Panevėžys Analysis

Panevėžys sit 8 with 19 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats with a 18:37 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, TransINVEST Vilnius won 3 times, Panevėžys won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:13 from TransINVEST Vilnius's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.5%)
Predicted formations: TransINVEST Vilnius 3-4-2-1 / Panevėžys 4-3-3
H2H summary: TransINVEST Vilnius wins 3, draws 3, Panevėžys wins 4

Lineups

TransINVEST Vilnius
Formation
Panevėžys
I. Mostovei
I. Mostovei
E. Kloniunas
E. Kloniunas
E. Girdvainis
E. Girdvainis
D. Barauskas
D. Barauskas
M. Musolitin
M. Musolitin
D. Bosnjak
D. Bosnjak
D. Sluta
D. Sluta
B. Tavares
B. Tavares
Xabi Auzmendi
Xabi Auzmendi
A. Traore
A. Traore
S. Milosevic
S. Milosevic
V. Cerniauskas
V. Cerniauskas
R. Rasimavicius
R. Rasimavicius
M. van den Bos
M. van den Bos
J. Janusevskis
J. Janusevskis
D. Balsys
D. Balsys
P. Bizoza
P. Bizoza
M. Ramanauskas
M. Ramanauskas
S. Kouadio
S. Kouadio
E. Burdzilauskas
🎯
E. Burdzilauskas
N. Petkevicius
N. Petkevicius
M. Bacanin
⚽ 2
M. Bacanin
TransINVEST Vilnius 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
25
I. Mostovei
80
E. Kloniunas
93
E. Girdvainis
33
D. Barauskas
↓ 78'
32
M. Musolitin
7
D. Bosnjak
88
D. Sluta
↓ 56'
49
B. Tavares
↓ 56'
23
Xabi Auzmendi
↓ 56'
70
A. Traore
9
S. Milosevic
↓ 74'
Substitutes
1
J. Virvilas
5
R. Sveikauskas
↑ 56'
6
I. Bilbao
8
Y. Glushach
↑ 56'
10
C. Nwoga
↑ 56'
11
N. Akosah-Bempah
↑ 74'
12
N. Petkus
15
Koffi
↑ 78' 🟨 90+1'
26
A. Tamasevicius
Panevėžys 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
V. Cerniauskas
🟨 82'
32
R. Rasimavicius
5
M. van den Bos
↓ 64' 🟨 12'
15
J. Janusevskis
66
D. Balsys
77
P. Bizoza
6
M. Ramanauskas
8
S. Kouadio
28
E. Burdzilauskas
🎯 34' 🎯 46'
24
N. Petkevicius
↓ 74'
16
M. Bacanin
⚽ 34' ⚽ 46' ↓ 74'
Substitutes
12
L. Valius
22
A. Brazinskas
4
R. Mzoughi
17
O. Kurtsev
↑ 74'
27
K. Asamoah
↑ 74'
50
L. Krasniqi
80
Elivelton
95
J. Bopesu
↑ 64'
Last matches: TransINVEST Vilnius
24.08.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Šiauliai
3
0
W
16.08.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
D
02.08.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Hegelmann Litauen
2
1
W
26.07.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
1
0
W
19.07.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
3
L
12.07.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Banga
1
3
L
06.07.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Suduva Marijampole
0
0
D
29.06.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Šiauliai
3
1
W
20.06.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Kauno Žalgiris
1
2
L
12.06.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Panevėžys
2
1
W
29.05.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Hegelmann Litauen
2
1
W
24.05.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
2
3
L
17.05.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
0
W
10.05.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Banga
2
2
D
06.05.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Suduva Marijampole
1
1
D
02.05.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
FK Trakai
5
0
W
26.04.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Šiauliai
4
0
W
18.04.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Kauno Žalgiris
2
1
W
12.04.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Panevėžys
1
2
L
04.04.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Hegelmann Litauen
1
3
L
Last matches: Panevėžys
23.08.26
A L
Panevėžys
Suduva Marijampole
0
2
L
17.08.26
A L
Panevėžys
Šiauliai
0
1
L
03.08.26
A L
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
1
1
D
30.07.26
UEF
Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay
1
1
D
23.07.26
UEF
Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay
1
1
D
11.07.26
A L
Panevėžys
Kauno Žalgiris
0
3
L
04.07.26
A L
Panevėžys
Hegelmann Litauen
1
1
D
29.06.26
A L
Panevėžys
Suduva Marijampole
1
2
L
20.06.26
A L
Panevėžys
Šiauliai
3
2
W
16.06.26
A L
Panevėžys
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0
3
L
12.06.26
A L
Panevėžys
TransINVEST Vilnius
1
2
L
30.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
4
L
24.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
Banga
1
0
W
10.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
Kauno Žalgiris
1
1
D
06.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
Hegelmann Litauen
2
3
L
03.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2
1
W
25.04.26
A L
Panevėžys
Suduva Marijampole
0
1
L
18.04.26
A L
Panevėžys
Šiauliai
1
3
L
12.04.26
A L
Panevėžys
TransINVEST Vilnius
2
1
W
05.04.26
A L
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
1
L
H2H: TransINVEST Vilnius vs Panevėžys
10.08.26
H2H
TransINVEST Vilnius
Panevėžys
0
2
L
12.06.26
H2H
Panevėžys
TransINVEST Vilnius
1
2
W
12.04.26
H2H
TransINVEST Vilnius
Panevėžys
1
2
L
11.02.26
H2H
Panevėžys
TransINVEST Vilnius
4
1
L
21.02.25
H2H
Panevėžys
TransINVEST Vilnius
1
3
W
09.11.24
H2H
TransINVEST Vilnius
Panevėžys
0
0
D
01.10.24
H2H
Panevėžys
TransINVEST Vilnius
2
1
L
19.06.24
H2H
TransINVEST Vilnius
Panevėžys
3
0
W
21.04.24
H2H
Panevėžys
TransINVEST Vilnius
1
1
D
25.02.24
H2H
Panevėžys
TransINVEST Vilnius
0
0
D
Last matches: TransINVEST Vilnius
24.08.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Šiauliai
3
0
W
26.07.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
1
0
W
12.07.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Banga
1
3
L
20.06.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Kauno Žalgiris
1
2
L
29.05.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Hegelmann Litauen
2
1
W
17.05.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
0
W
06.05.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Suduva Marijampole
1
1
D
12.04.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Panevėžys
1
2
L
22.03.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Džiugas Telšiai
0
0
D
11.03.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Banga
1
0
W
01.03.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
FK Trakai
3
0
W
22.02.26
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Šiauliai
2
2
D
15.02.26
Fri
TransINVEST Vilnius
Be1 NFA
4
0
W
07.02.26
Fri
TransINVEST Vilnius
FK Trakai
4
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
TransINVEST Vilnius
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
17.01.26
Fri
TransINVEST Vilnius
Tauras
1
1
D
09.11.24
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Panevėžys
0
0
D
26.10.24
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0
1
L
19.10.24
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Hegelmann Litauen
3
2
W
21.09.24
A L
TransINVEST Vilnius
Šiauliai
2
0
W
H2H at home: TransINVEST Vilnius
10.08.26
H2H
TransINVEST Vilnius
Panevėžys
0
2
L
12.04.26
H2H
TransINVEST Vilnius
Panevėžys
1
2
L
09.11.24
H2H
TransINVEST Vilnius
Panevėžys
0
0
D
19.06.24
H2H
TransINVEST Vilnius
Panevėžys
3
0
W
Last matches: Panevėžys
23.08.26
A L
Panevėžys
Suduva Marijampole
0
2
L
17.08.26
A L
Panevėžys
Šiauliai
0
1
L
30.07.26
UEF
Panevėžys
FK Tobol Kostanay
1
1
D
11.07.26
A L
Panevėžys
Kauno Žalgiris
0
3
L
16.06.26
A L
Panevėžys
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
0
3
L
30.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
0
4
L
06.05.26
A L
Panevėžys
Hegelmann Litauen
2
3
L
25.04.26
A L
Panevėžys
Suduva Marijampole
0
1
L
18.04.26
A L
Panevėžys
Šiauliai
1
3
L
12.04.26
A L
Panevėžys
TransINVEST Vilnius
2
1
W
21.03.26
A L
Panevėžys
Banga
1
0
W
10.03.26
A L
Panevėžys
Kauno Žalgiris
0
4
L
27.02.26
A L
Panevėžys
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
4
L
16.02.26
Sup
Panevėžys
Kauno Žalgiris
0
1
L
02.11.25
A L
Panevėžys
Kauno Žalgiris
2
3
L
26.10.25
A L
Panevėžys
Džiugas Telšiai
4
1
W
18.10.25
A L
Panevėžys
Banga
2
2
D
05.10.25
A L
Panevėžys
Šiauliai
3
3
D
12.09.25
A L
Panevėžys
Suduva Marijampole
1
1
D
31.08.25
A L
Panevėžys
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1
2
L
H2H away: Panevėžys
10.08.26
H2H
TransINVEST Vilnius
Panevėžys
0
2
W
12.04.26
H2H
TransINVEST Vilnius
Panevėžys
1
2
W
09.11.24
H2H
TransINVEST Vilnius
Panevėžys
0
0
D
19.06.24
H2H
TransINVEST Vilnius
Panevėžys
3
0
L

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 11 9 3 33:17 16 42
W W W W D
2 25 11 6 8 36:32 4 39
W D L W W
3 22 10 8 4 41:16 25 38
D W W W D
4 23 11 4 8 37:27 10 37
W L W W W
5 24 10 7 7 29:22 7 37
D W L W L
6 25 10 7 8 34:31 3 37
L L W D L
7 25 4 11 10 27:42 -15 23
D L L L W
8 24 6 5 13 21:41 -20 23
L L W D L
9 25 3 7 15 23:53 -30 16
L W L L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L