ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
02.05.2026 14:00
Prenton Park
Referee: M. Coy
Tranmere
Match Timeline
Grimsby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
43'
J. Amaluzor · Assist: K. Green
Grimsby
🔄
53'
K. Woolery ↔ J. Ironside
Tranmere
🔄
53'
N. Kenneh ↔ K. Dennis
Tranmere
64'
N. Smith · Assist: C. Whitaker
Tranmere
🔄
65'
K. Green ↔ C. Oduor
Grimsby
🔄
65'
A. Cook ↔ J. Soonsup-Bell
Grimsby
🔄
77'
G. D. Turi ↔ J. Kabia
Grimsby
🔄
84'
J. Sweeney ↔ R. Staunton
Grimsby
🔄
84'
J. Amaluzor ↔ D. Burns
Grimsby
🟨
90+2'
Jamie Walker
Grimsby
🔄
90+5'
S. Finley ↔ J. Plant
Tranmere

Tranmere vs Grimsby Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 12.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
100%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
12.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tranmere Win 0%
Draw 0%
Grimsby Win 100%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tranmere1.13
Grimsby1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tranmere Tranmere
WWDLW
54 GF / 81 GA
Grimsby Grimsby
WLDWL
83 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.69
1.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
27
BTTS Yes
24
26
Over 2.5
25
3.67
Shots on Goal
4.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tranmere Tranmere 46 matches
Grimsby Grimsby 49 matches
Tranmere Statistic Grimsby
10 Wins 25
10 Draws 11
26 Losses 13
54 Goals For 83
81 Goals Against 53
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.69
1.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
27 BTTS Yes 24
38 Over 1.5 34
26 Over 2.5 25
17 Over 3.5 18
8 Clean Sheets 18
13 Failed To Score 9
3.67 Shots On Goal 4.6
11.91 Total Shots 13.56
4.16 Corners 6.13
48.6% Ball Possession 54.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Grimsby's more proactive style and Tranmere's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Grimsby. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tranmere expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Grimsby in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Grimsby having the stronger overall control. Grimsby look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Grimsby carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 77 points while Tranmere sit 20 on 40, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Tranmere Analysis

Tranmere sit 20 with 40 points after 45 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 25 losses, together with goals at 53:78, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Whitaker (9 goals), O. Patrick (8 goals), J. Ironside (5 goals), with creative support from O. Patrick (5 assists), J. Davison (4 assists), C. Jennings (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 13 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Grimsby Analysis

Grimsby are currently 6 in the standings with 77 points from 45 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 22 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses, while the 73:49 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Kabia (17 goals), K. Green (13 goals), C. Vernam (10 goals), with creative support from C. Vernam (10 assists), R. Staunton (7 assists), K. Green (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Tranmere won 6 times, Grimsby won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:16 from Tranmere's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 2 (100%)
Predicted formations: Tranmere 3-4-2-1 / Grimsby 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Tranmere wins 6, draws 5, Grimsby wins 3

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 24 15 7 71:46 25 87
W L D L W
2 46 24 14 8 86:45 41 86
D W W W D
3 46 22 16 8 66:33 33 82
D W L D W
4 46 25 6 15 61:51 10 81
L D W D W
5 46 24 8 14 74:52 22 80
W D W D W
6 46 21 16 9 71:56 15 79
D L W W D
7 46 22 12 12 74:50 24 78
D L D W W
8 46 21 13 12 70:53 17 76
W W W W W
9 46 22 9 15 70:59 11 75
L L D L W
10 46 18 14 14 60:44 16 68
W L L L L
11 46 19 10 17 64:58 6 67
D L L L W
12 46 18 12 16 62:49 13 66
W L L W W
13 46 18 11 17 56:56 0 65
L L W L L
14 46 19 5 22 56:65 -9 62
D W W W W
15 46 15 16 15 57:58 -1 61
D D D W L
16 46 14 11 21 47:58 -11 53
L D D L L
17 46 13 14 19 53:72 -19 53
W L L L D
18 46 14 10 22 53:79 -26 52
L L L W W
19 46 13 10 23 42:69 -27 49
L D D W L
20 46 12 7 27 48:77 -29 43
W W L W L
21 46 10 11 25 54:79 -25 41
D L W L D
22 46 8 16 22 44:68 -24 40
D D D L L
23 46 10 9 27 39:68 -29 39
L W W L L
24 46 9 9 28 45:78 -33 36
L L L W L
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation