Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
13.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
12.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Tranmere
Grimsby
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Tranmere
46 matches
Grimsby
49 matches
| Tranmere | Statistic | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 25 |
| 10 | Draws | 11 |
| 26 | Losses | 13 |
| 54 | Goals For | 83 |
| 81 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.69 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.08 |
| 27 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 38 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 26 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 17 | Over 3.5 | 18 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 18 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.67 | Shots On Goal | 4.6 |
| 11.91 | Total Shots | 13.56 |
| 4.16 | Corners | 6.13 |
| 48.6% | Ball Possession | 54.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Grimsby's more proactive style and Tranmere's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Grimsby. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tranmere expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Grimsby in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Grimsby having the stronger overall control. Grimsby look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Grimsby carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 77 points while Tranmere sit 20 on 40, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Tranmere sit 20 with 40 points after 45 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 10 wins, 10 draws, and 25 losses, together with goals at 53:78, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through C. Whitaker (9 goals), O. Patrick (8 goals), J. Ironside (5 goals), with creative support from O. Patrick (5 assists), J. Davison (4 assists), C. Jennings (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 13 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Grimsby are currently 6 in the standings with 77 points from 45 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 22 wins, 11 draws, and 12 losses, while the 73:49 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Kabia (17 goals), K. Green (13 goals), C. Vernam (10 goals), with creative support from C. Vernam (10 assists), R. Staunton (7 assists), K. Green (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Tranmere won 6 times, Grimsby won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:16 from Tranmere's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.
Tranmere
2
3
4
5
2
5
Lineups
Tranmere
Milton Keynes Dons
Tranmere
Cheltenham
Tranmere
Bristol Rovers
Tranmere
Chesterfield
Tranmere
Colchester
Tranmere
Shrewsbury
Tranmere
Swindon Town
Tranmere
Harrogate Town
Tranmere
Fleetwood Town
Tranmere
Oldham
Tranmere
Newport County
Tranmere
Crewe
Tranmere
Notts County
Tranmere
Accrington ST
Tranmere
Crawley Town
Tranmere
Gillingham
Tranmere
Salford City
Tranmere
Barnet
Tranmere
Cambridge United
Tranmere
Walsall
Grimsby
Salford City
Grimsby
Salford City
Grimsby
Swindon Town
Grimsby
Cambridge United
Grimsby
Gillingham
Grimsby
Chesterfield
Grimsby
Crewe
Grimsby
Crawley Town
Grimsby
Harrogate Town
Grimsby
Barrow
Grimsby
Fleetwood Town
Grimsby
Oldham
Grimsby
Bromley
Grimsby
Salford City
Grimsby
Notts County
Grimsby
Bristol Rovers
Grimsby
Walsall
Grimsby
Wolves
Grimsby
Accrington ST
Grimsby
Newport County
Tranmere
Bristol Rovers
Tranmere
Colchester
Tranmere
Swindon Town
Tranmere
Harrogate Town
Tranmere
Oldham
Tranmere
Accrington ST
Tranmere
Crawley Town
Tranmere
Salford City
Tranmere
Walsall
Tranmere
Bromley
Tranmere
Barrow
Tranmere
Fleetwood Town
Tranmere
Crewe
Tranmere
Milton Keynes Dons
Tranmere
Cheltenham
Tranmere
Stockport County
Tranmere
Chesterfield
Tranmere
Barnet
Tranmere
Cambridge United
Tranmere
Newport County
Grimsby
Salford City
Grimsby
Cambridge United
Grimsby
Gillingham
Grimsby
Chesterfield
Grimsby
Crawley Town
Grimsby
Oldham
Grimsby
Notts County
Grimsby
Bristol Rovers
Grimsby
Newport County
Grimsby
Colchester
Grimsby
Cheltenham
Grimsby
Fleetwood Town
Grimsby
Bromley
Grimsby
Shrewsbury
Grimsby
Swindon Town
Grimsby
Barrow
Grimsby
Crewe
Grimsby
Salford City
Grimsby
Barnet
Grimsby
Milton Keynes Dons
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 25 | 87 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 41 | 86 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 33 | 82 |
D
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 10 | 81 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 22 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 15 | 79 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 |
Grimsby
Away
|
46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 24 | 78 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 8 | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 17 | 76 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 11 | 75 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 16 | 68 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 6 | 67 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 13 | 66 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 0 | 65 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | -9 | 62 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | -1 | 61 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | -11 | 53 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | -19 | 53 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | -26 | 52 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | -27 | 49 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | -29 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 21 |
Tranmere
Home
|
46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | -25 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
| 22 | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | -24 | 40 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | -29 | 39 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | -33 | 36 |
L
L
L
W
L
|