TURKEY SüPER LIG
--.--.---- --:--
Papara Park
Referee: A. Akarsu
Trabzonspor
Match Timeline
Başakşehir
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
66'
Jerome Opoku
Başakşehir
🔄
67'
I. Brnic ↔ A. Harit
Başakşehir
🔄
69'
A. Nwakaeme ↔ M. Lovik
Trabzonspor
73'
Felipe Augusto · Assist: M. Eskihellac
Trabzonspor
🔄
75'
B. Yildirim ↔ D. Selke
Başakşehir
🔄
75'
E. Shomurodov ↔ N. Da Costa
Başakşehir
🔄
75'
U. Gunes ↔ O. Ergun
Başakşehir
🔄
81'
Y. Sari ↔ A. Fayzullaev
Başakşehir
🔄
82'
O. Zubkov ↔ O. Yokuslu
Trabzonspor
🟨
87'
Abbosbek Fayzullaev
Başakşehir
🔄
89'
C. Inao Oulai ↔ B. Bouchouari
Trabzonspor
90'
D. Selke · Assist: K. Karatas
Başakşehir

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 57.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.4%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
57.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.9%
-
Probability Distribution
Trabzonspor Win 61.4%
Draw 7.8%
Başakşehir Win 30.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Trabzonspor1.56
Başakşehir1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
Trabzonspor Trabzonspor
WWDLW
57 GF / 35 GA
Başakşehir Başakşehir
WLDWL
58 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.9
Average Goals Scored
1.66
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
20
BTTS Yes
20
17
Over 2.5
21
5.43
Shots on Goal
4.49

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 30 matches
Başakşehir Başakşehir 35 matches
Trabzonspor Statistic Başakşehir
19 Wins 16
7 Draws 9
4 Losses 10
57 Goals For 58
35 Goals Against 37
1.9 Avg Goals Scored 1.66
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
20 BTTS Yes 20
23 Over 1.5 28
17 Over 2.5 21
10 Over 3.5 9
9 Clean Sheets 13
2 Failed To Score 6
5.43 Shots On Goal 4.49
15.13 Total Shots 12.51
4.63 Corners 4.66
54.1% Ball Possession 53.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Trabzonspor appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Başakşehir. Trabzonspor arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 64 points compared to Başakşehir in 5 on 47, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Trabzonspor come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Başakşehir. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Trabzonspor Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 64 points from 29 games, Trabzonspor bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 19 wins, 7 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 56:31, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through P. Onuachu (22 goals), Felipe Augusto (11 goals), Ernest Muçi (10 goals), with creative support from O. Zubkov (6 assists), Wagner Pina (6 assists), C. Inao Oulai (4 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, their record of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with A. Batagov, E. Visca, E. Muci, T. Jabol-Folcarelli unavailable.

Başakşehir Analysis

Başakşehir come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 5 with 47 points from 29 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, while the 47:30 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on E. Shomurodov (18 goals), D. Selke (7 goals), B. Yildirim (6 goals), with creative support from Miguel Crespo (5 assists), Yusuf Sarı (5 assists), E. Shomurodov (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with O. Sahiner unavailable.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Trabzonspor won 9 times, Başakşehir won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:14 from Trabzonspor's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.2%)
Predicted formations: Trabzonspor 4-2-3-1 / Başakşehir 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Trabzonspor 6, Başakşehir 1
H2H summary: Trabzonspor wins 9, draws 4, Başakşehir wins 2
Stats
Trabzonspor Trabzonspor
Başakşehir Başakşehir
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
11
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
4
5 Corner Kicks 8
10 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 0
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 11
5 Blocked Shots 4
9 Shots insidebox 10
2 Shots outsidebox 7
1 Goalkeeper Saves 1
424 Total passes 360
352 Passes accurate 292
1.26 expected_goals 0.79
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Trabzonspor
Formation
Başakşehir
A. Onana
A. Onana
W. Pina
W. Pina
C. Nwaiwu
C. Nwaiwu
S. Savic
S. Savic
M. Eskihellac
🎯
M. Eskihellac
C. Inao Oulai
C. Inao Oulai
O. Tufan
O. Tufan
O. Zubkov
O. Zubkov
Felipe Augusto
Felipe Augusto
A. Nwakaeme
A. Nwakaeme
P. Onuachu
P. Onuachu
M. Sengezer
M. Sengezer
O. Bulut
O. Bulut
L. Duarte
L. Duarte
J. Opoku
J. Opoku
K. Karatas
🎯
K. Karatas
O. Kemen
O. Kemen
U. Gunes
U. Gunes
Y. Sari
Y. Sari
E. Shomurodov
E. Shomurodov
I. Brnic
I. Brnic
B. Yildirim
B. Yildirim
Trabzonspor 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
24
A. Onana
G
20
W. Pina
D
27
C. Nwaiwu
D
15
S. Savic
D
19
M. Eskihellac
🎯 73'
D
42
C. Inao Oulai
↓ 89'
M
11
O. Tufan
M
22
O. Zubkov
↓ 82'
M
99
Felipe Augusto
⚽ 73'
M
9
A. Nwakaeme
↓ 69'
M
30
P. Onuachu
F
Substitutes
88
A. Yildirim
G
25
O. Cevikkan
G
5
O. Yokuslu
↑ 82'
M
18
U. Nayir
F
8
B. Bouchouari
↑ 89'
M
10
E. Muci
M
14
M. Lovik
↑ 69'
D
74
S. Malkocoglu
M
17
O. Cakiroglu
F
Başakşehir 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
M. Sengezer
G
6
O. Bulut
D
5
L. Duarte
D
3
J. Opoku
🟨 66'
D
88
K. Karatas
🎯 90'
D
8
O. Kemen
M
20
U. Gunes
↓ 75'
M
7
Y. Sari
↓ 81'
M
14
E. Shomurodov
↓ 75'
M
77
I. Brnic
↓ 67'
M
91
B. Yildirim
↓ 75'
F
Substitutes
80
D. Alemdar
G
9
D. Selke
⚽ 90' ↑ 75'
F
36
F. Ebosele
D
18
J. Kaluzinski
M
11
A. Fayzullaev
↑ 81' 🟨 87'
M
10
N. Da Costa
↑ 75'
F
25
A. Harit
↑ 67'
M
4
O. Ergun
↑ 75'
M
27
O. Ba
D
13
M. Crespo
M
Last matches: Trabzonspor
17.05.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0
3
L
09.05.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Beşiktaş
2
1
W
02.05.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Göztepe
1
1
D
27.04.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Konyaspor
1
2
L
11.04.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor
1
1
D
04.04.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Galatasaray
2
1
W
18.03.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Eyüpspor
1
0
W
14.03.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Rizespor
1
0
W
09.03.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Kayserispor
3
1
W
27.02.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Fatih Karagümrük
3
1
W
22.02.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Gaziantep FK
2
1
W
14.02.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Fenerbahçe
2
3
L
07.02.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Samsunspor
3
0
W
30.01.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Antalyaspor
1
1
D
23.01.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Kasımpaşa
2
1
W
18.01.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Kocaelispor
2
1
W
05.01.26
Sup
Trabzonspor
Galatasaray
1
4
L
22.12.25
Süp
Trabzonspor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
3
4
L
14.12.25
Süp
Trabzonspor
Beşiktaş
3
3
D
07.12.25
Süp
Trabzonspor
Göztepe
2
1
W
Last matches: Başakşehir
10.07.26
Fri
Başakşehir
Ried
1
1
D
06.07.26
Fri
Başakşehir
Cracovia Krakow
1
3
L
16.05.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Gaziantep FK
2
1
W
09.05.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Samsunspor
3
0
W
02.05.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
1
3
L
24.04.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Kasımpaşa
4
0
W
11.04.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
3
0
W
06.04.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Kocaelispor
0
0
D
18.03.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Antalyaspor
0
0
D
14.03.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Galatasaray
0
3
L
07.03.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Göztepe
2
1
W
27.02.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Konyaspor
2
0
W
21.02.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Alanyaspor
2
1
W
15.02.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Beşiktaş
2
3
L
08.02.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Eyüpspor
2
1
W
31.01.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Rizespor
2
2
D
24.01.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Kayserispor
3
0
W
17.01.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Fatih Karagümrük
2
1
W
09.01.26
Fri
Başakşehir
NK Osijek
1
1
D
09.01.26
Fri
Başakşehir
KVC Westerlo
1
1
D
H2H: Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir
19.04.26
H2H
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
1
1
D
03.03.26
H2H
Başakşehir
Trabzonspor
2
4
W
24.11.25
H2H
Başakşehir
Trabzonspor
3
4
W
15.03.25
H2H
Başakşehir
Trabzonspor
0
3
W
19.10.24
H2H
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
1
0
W
18.05.24
H2H
Başakşehir
Trabzonspor
0
1
W
28.02.24
H2H
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
1
0
W
23.12.23
H2H
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
1
1
D
06.06.23
H2H
Başakşehir
Trabzonspor
3
1
L
14.01.23
H2H
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
1
0
W
22.05.22
H2H
Başakşehir
Trabzonspor
3
1
L
25.12.21
H2H
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
0
0
D
24.07.21
H2H
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
0
0
D
19.02.21
H2H
Başakşehir
Trabzonspor
0
1
W
27.01.21
H2H
Başakşehir
Trabzonspor
1
2
W
Last matches: Trabzonspor
17.05.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0
3
L
02.05.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Göztepe
1
1
D
04.04.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Galatasaray
2
1
W
14.03.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Rizespor
1
0
W
27.02.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Fatih Karagümrük
3
1
W
14.02.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Fenerbahçe
2
3
L
23.01.26
Süp
Trabzonspor
Kasımpaşa
2
1
W
14.12.25
Süp
Trabzonspor
Beşiktaş
3
3
D
29.11.25
Süp
Trabzonspor
Konyaspor
3
1
W
08.11.25
Süp
Trabzonspor
Alanyaspor
1
1
D
25.10.25
Süp
Trabzonspor
Eyüpspor
2
0
W
03.10.25
Süp
Trabzonspor
Kayserispor
4
0
W
20.09.25
Süp
Trabzonspor
Gaziantep FK
1
1
D
31.08.25
Süp
Trabzonspor
Samsunspor
1
1
D
24.08.25
Süp
Trabzonspor
Antalyaspor
1
0
W
11.08.25
Süp
Trabzonspor
Kocaelispor
1
0
W
H2H at home: Trabzonspor
19.04.26
H2H
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
1
1
D
19.10.24
H2H
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
1
0
W
28.02.24
H2H
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
1
0
W
23.12.23
H2H
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
1
1
D
14.01.23
H2H
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
1
0
W
25.12.21
H2H
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
0
0
D
24.07.21
H2H
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
0
0
D
Last matches: Başakşehir
10.07.26
Fri
Başakşehir
Ried
1
1
D
06.07.26
Fri
Başakşehir
Cracovia Krakow
1
3
L
16.05.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Gaziantep FK
2
1
W
02.05.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Fenerbahçe
1
3
L
06.04.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Kocaelispor
0
0
D
14.03.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Galatasaray
0
3
L
21.02.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Alanyaspor
2
1
W
08.02.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Eyüpspor
2
1
W
24.01.26
Süp
Başakşehir
Kayserispor
3
0
W
14.12.25
Süp
Başakşehir
Samsunspor
2
0
W
29.11.25
Süp
Başakşehir
Kasımpaşa
3
1
W
07.11.25
Süp
Başakşehir
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1
2
L
26.10.25
Süp
Başakşehir
Antalyaspor
4
0
W
22.10.25
Süp
Başakşehir
Rizespor
0
0
D
05.10.25
Süp
Başakşehir
Göztepe
0
1
L
28.09.25
Süp
Başakşehir
Konyaspor
1
2
L
17.09.25
Süp
Başakşehir
Fatih Karagümrük
2
0
W
13.09.25
Süp
Başakşehir
Beşiktaş
1
2
L
28.08.25
UEF
Başakşehir
Universitatea Craiova
1
3
L
07.08.25
UEF
Başakşehir
Viking
3
1
W
H2H away: Başakşehir
19.04.26
H2H
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
1
1
D
19.10.24
H2H
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
1
0
L
28.02.24
H2H
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
1
0
L
23.12.23
H2H
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
1
1
D
14.01.23
H2H
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
1
0
L
25.12.21
H2H
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
0
0
D
24.07.21
H2H
Trabzonspor
Başakşehir
0
0
D

Standings

Super Lig
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 5 5 77:30 47 77
L W L W W
2 34 21 11 2 77:37 40 74
D W W L D
3 34 20 9 5 61:39 22 69
L W D L D
4 34 17 9 8 59:40 19 60
D L W D L
5 34 16 9 9 58:35 23 57
W W L W D
6 34 14 13 7 42:32 10 55
L W D W D
7 34 13 12 9 46:45 1 51
W L W W W
8 34 10 11 13 46:52 -6 41
D L W L D
9 34 10 10 14 43:50 -7 40
L L L W W
10 34 9 10 15 26:38 -12 37
L L D L D
11 34 7 16 11 41:41 0 37
L W D L L
12 34 9 10 15 43:58 -15 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 33:49 -16 35
W L D L W
14 34 9 7 18 36:47 -11 34
W W L W L
15 34 8 9 17 33:48 -15 33
D W D W W
16 34 8 8 18 33:55 -22 32
W L D L L
17 34 6 12 16 27:62 -35 30
W L D W L
18 34 8 6 20 31:54 -23 30
W W W D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Relegation

Missing Players

Trabzonspor 6 missing
-
A. Batagov
Questionable Knee Injury
OUT
-
E. Visca
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
E. Muci
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
P. Onuachu
Questionable Inactive
OUT
-
T. Jabol-Folcarelli
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
T. E. Ince
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
Başakşehir 1 missing
-
O. Sahiner
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT