FINLAND YKKöNEN
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Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 56.4%
Odds 2.27
BTTS
Yes
Probability 88%
Odds 1.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.33
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
56.4%
2.27
BTTS Yes
88%
1.33
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.33
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.04
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
TPV Win 56.4%
Draw 9.9%
KuPS Akatemia Win 33.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
TPV1.75
KuPS Akatemia1.68
Recent Form (Last 5)
TPV TPV
WWDLW
26 GF / 34 GA
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia
WLDWL
24 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.37
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.79
Average Goals Conceded
2.33
12
BTTS Yes
9
13
Over 2.5
12
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

TPV TPV 19 matches
KuPS Akatemia KuPS Akatemia 15 matches
TPV Statistic KuPS Akatemia
5 Wins 2
5 Draws 3
9 Losses 10
26 Goals For 24
34 Goals Against 35
1.37 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.79 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33
12 BTTS Yes 9
15 Over 1.5 12
13 Over 2.5 12
9 Over 3.5 8
2 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors KuPS Akatemia. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward KuPS Akatemia having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

TPV Analysis

TPV sit 10 with 13 points after 14 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 16:24 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

KuPS Akatemia Analysis

KuPS Akatemia are currently 11 in the standings with 9 points from 14 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 24:34 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, TPV won 0 times, KuPS Akatemia won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:3 from TPV's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.1%)
H2H summary: TPV wins 0, draws 0, KuPS Akatemia wins 1
Last matches: TPV
11.07.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
3
1
W
05.07.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
0
W
29.06.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
1
2
L
14.06.26
Ykk
TPV
PKKU
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ykk
TPV
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Tampere United
0
3
L
23.05.26
Ykk
TPV
SalPa
2
4
L
16.05.26
Ykk
TPV
OLS
2
2
D
09.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Rops
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ykk
TPV
FC jazz
0
2
L
24.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KuPS Akatemia
0
3
L
18.04.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
3
1
W
28.03.26
Fri
TPV
JäPS
0
1
L
22.03.26
Fri
TPV
Haka
1
3
L
22.02.26
Fri
TPV
Tampere United
4
2
W
25.01.26
Fri
TPV
Atlantis
3
2
W
18.01.26
Fri
TPV
JJK
2
2
D
Last matches: KuPS Akatemia
11.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
4
4
D
04.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
2
3
L
28.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
SalPa
3
4
L
05.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
KPV-j
4
1
W
29.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
0
3
L
24.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Rops
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Inter Turku II
2
4
L
09.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
FC jazz
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
VJS
0
0
D
24.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
3
0
W
18.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
0
4
L
10.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
4
L
10.01.26
Fri
KuPS Akatemia
JIPPO
0
1
L
H2H: TPV vs KuPS Akatemia
24.04.26
H2H
KuPS Akatemia
TPV
3
0
L
Last matches: TPV
05.07.26
Ykk
TPV
JJK
1
0
W
06.06.26
Ykk
TPV
Inter Turku II
1
1
D
29.05.26
Ykk
TPV
Tampere United
0
3
L
16.05.26
Ykk
TPV
OLS
2
2
D
02.05.26
Ykk
TPV
FC jazz
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ykk
TPV
KPV-j
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ykk
TPV
VJS
3
1
W
25.01.26
Fri
TPV
Atlantis
3
2
W
18.01.26
Fri
TPV
JJK
2
2
D
Last matches: KuPS Akatemia
11.07.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
JJK
4
4
D
28.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
OLS
2
2
D
12.06.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
SalPa
3
4
L
29.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
PKKU
0
3
L
17.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Inter Turku II
2
4
L
02.05.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
VJS
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ykk
KuPS Akatemia
Tampere United
0
4
L
10.01.26
Fri
KuPS Akatemia
JIPPO
0
1
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.74
Draw 3.86
Home 2.27
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.05
Draw 2.66
Home 2.67
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 2.75 1.42
Over 3.0 1.51
Over 3.25 1.70
Over 3.5 1.90
Over 3.75 2.09
Over 4.0 2.39
Over 4.25 2.64
Under 2.75 2.79
Under 3.0 2.51
Under 3.25 2.15
Under 3.5 1.93
Under 3.75 1.75
Under 4.0 1.56
Under 4.25 1.47
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.62
Draw 3.70
Home 2.20
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 2.62
Home 2.62
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.88
Home 2.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 2.5 1.33
Over 3.5 1.83
Over 4.5 3.00
Over 5.5 5.00
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 19.00
Over 8.5 34.00
Under 0.5 23.00
Under 1.5 7.00
Under 2.5 3.40
Under 3.5 1.83
Under 4.5 1.36
Under 5.5 1.17
Under 6.5 1.06
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.68
Draw 3.62
Home 2.22
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.22
Draw 2.36
Home 2.70
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.77
Draw 2.91
Home 2.42
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 1.0 1.02
Over 1.5 1.04
Over 1.75 1.06
Over 2.0 1.07
Over 2.25 1.19
Over 2.5 1.30
Over 2.75 1.37
Over 3.0 1.44
Over 3.25 1.63
Over 3.5 1.83
Over 3.75 2.02
Over 4.0 2.28
Over 4.25 2.55
Over 4.5 2.78
Over 4.75 3.30
Over 5.0 4.20
Over 5.25 4.56
Over 5.5 4.85
Over 6.0 8.30
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 19.00
Over 8.5 34.00
Under 0.5 18.00
Under 1.0 13.00
Under 1.5 6.75
Under 1.75 6.25
Under 2.0 5.75
Under 2.25 3.85
Under 2.5 2.97
Under 2.75 2.72
Under 3.0 2.43
Under 3.25 2.09
Under 3.5 1.87
Under 3.75 1.70
Under 4.0 1.50
Under 4.25 1.43
Under 4.5 1.34
Under 4.75 1.26
Under 5.0 1.15
Under 5.25 1.13
Under 5.5 1.11
Under 6.0 1.01
Under 6.5 1.06
Under 7.5 1.02
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.70
Draw 3.70
Home 2.12
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.05
Draw 2.60
Home 2.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.80
Draw 2.95
Home 2.40
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.08
Over 2.5 1.33
Over 3.5 1.83
Over 4.5 2.85
Over 5.5 4.60
Under 1.5 5.80
Under 2.5 2.88
Under 3.5 1.81
Under 4.5 1.34
Under 5.5 1.13

Standings

Ykkonen
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 1 3 28:9 19 31
L W W W W
2 14 8 4 2 30:15 15 28
W W D W L
3 15 7 4 4 39:26 13 25
D L W W L
4 14 6 5 3 29:24 5 23
W D D W L
5 15 6 4 5 29:22 7 22
L L D L W
6 13 6 3 4 26:18 8 21
W L W D W
7 13 5 5 3 25:18 7 20
W D W L D
8 14 4 3 7 25:39 -14 15
L W L D D
9 14 5 2 7 15:22 -7 14
L L L D D
10
TPV Home
14 3 4 7 16:24 -8 13
W W L D D
11 14 2 3 9 24:34 -10 9
D L D L W
12 14 2 2 10 12:47 -35 8
L W L L L
Promotion - Ykkonen (Championship Group)
Ykkonen (Relegation Group)