Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
57.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
86.7%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
87.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
81%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Toulouse
Lyon
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toulouse
37 matches
Lyon
46 matches
| Toulouse | Statistic | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 28 |
| 10 | Draws | 8 |
| 14 | Losses | 10 |
| 52 | Goals For | 80 |
| 53 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 1.41 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.74 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.98 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 32 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 22 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.38 | Shots On Goal | 5.02 |
| 13 | Total Shots | 12.91 |
| 4.51 | Corners | 5.37 |
| 43.1% | Ball Possession | 56.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Lyon's more proactive style and Toulouse's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Lyon carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 60 points while Toulouse sit 10 on 41, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Toulouse expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Lyon in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lyon having the stronger overall control. Lyon look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Lyon.
Toulouse approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 10 with 41 points from 32 matches. Across the season they have posted 11 wins, 8 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 45:45 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Y. Gboho (8 goals), Emersonn (6 goals), F. Magri (5 goals), with creative support from S. Hidalgo (5 assists), Aron Dønnum (4 assists), D. Sidibe (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 3 place with 60 points from 32 games, Lyon bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 18 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 52:34, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by P. Sulc (11 goals), C. Tolisso (10 goals), Endrick (5 goals), with creative support from Afonso Moreira (7 assists), Endrick (6 assists), C. Tolisso (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toulouse won 2 times, Lyon won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:34 from Toulouse's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
Toulouse
6
3
5
7
3
8
Lineups
Toulouse
Rodez
Toulouse
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Toulouse
Lens
Toulouse
Lens
Toulouse
Lille
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
Toulouse
Lorient
Toulouse
Metz
Toulouse
Marseille
Toulouse
Marseille
Toulouse
Rennes
Toulouse
Paris FC
Toulouse
Le Havre
Toulouse
Angers
Toulouse
Amiens
Toulouse
Auxerre
Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29
Toulouse
Nice
Toulouse
Angers
Lyon
VfL Wolfsburg
Lyon
Slavia Praha
Lyon
Servette FC
Lyon
FC ST. Gallen
Lyon
Mâcon
Lyon
Lens
Lyon
Rennes
Lyon
Auxerre
Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
Lorient
Lyon
Angers
Lyon
Monaco
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Lyon
Le Havre
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Lyon
Paris FC
Lyon
Lens
Lyon
Marseille
Lyon
Strasbourg
Lyon
Nice
Toulouse
Rodez
Toulouse
Monaco
Toulouse
Lille
Toulouse
Lorient
Toulouse
Marseille
Toulouse
Paris FC
Toulouse
Amiens
Toulouse
Auxerre
Toulouse
Nice
Toulouse
Lens
Toulouse
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Angers
Toulouse
Le Havre
Toulouse
Rennes
Toulouse
Metz
Toulouse
Nantes
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29
Toulouse
Lens
Toulouse
Rennes
Lyon
VfL Wolfsburg
Lyon
Slavia Praha
Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
Angers
Lyon
Le Havre
Lyon
Celta Vigo
Lyon
Marseille
Lyon
Strasbourg
Lyon
Nantes
Lyon
Metz
Lyon
BSC Young Boys
Lyon
Lille
Lyon
Monaco
Lyon
Lorient
Lyon
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Lyon
Auxerre
Lyon
Real Betis
Lyon
Stade Brestois 29
Lyon
Paris FC
Lyon
Nice
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 |
Lyon
Away
|
34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
Toulouse
Home
|
33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|