GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Stadion Ramaz Shengelia
Referee: A. Parjikia
Torpedo Kutaisi
Match Timeline
Gagra
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
I. Skrypnyk
Gagra
15'
K. Andric · Assist: M. Cherif
Torpedo Kutaisi
21'
D. Mujiri · Assist: Wanderson
Gagra
🟨
49'
K. Andric
Torpedo Kutaisi
🟨
59'
P. Borges
Gagra
🔄
60'
T. Nadaraia ↔ Warley
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
60'
S. Mane ↔ D. Bukia
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
65'
P. Borges ↔ G. Sadghobelashvili
Gagra
🔄
65'
D. Mujiri ↔ A. Andreychuk
Gagra
🟨
74'
G. Sadghobelashvili
Gagra
🔄
77'
Augusto ↔ O. Chochia
Gagra
🔄
80'
M. Cherif ↔ L. Kuprava
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
80'
M. Itrak ↔ K. Zita
Torpedo Kutaisi
🔄
87'
I. Skrypnyk ↔ A. Peikrishvili
Gagra
🟨
90+1'
Z. Tchavtchanidze
Gagra
🟥
90+5'
Felipe Pires
Torpedo Kutaisi

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Torpedo Kutaisi Win 85.5%
Draw 0%
Gagra Win 14.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Torpedo Kutaisi1.59
Gagra0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi
WWDLW
33 GF / 16 GA
Gagra Gagra
WLDWL
20 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
1
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
11
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi 20 matches
Gagra Gagra 20 matches
Torpedo Kutaisi Statistic Gagra
10 Wins 4
6 Draws 7
4 Losses 9
33 Goals For 20
16 Goals Against 30
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
11 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 16
9 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 2
6 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Torpedo Kutaisi's more proactive style and Gagra's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gagra having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Torpedo Kutaisi arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 23 points compared to Gagra in 9 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Gagra arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Gagra.

Torpedo Kutaisi Analysis

Torpedo Kutaisi arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 23 points after 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, while the 25:12 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Andric (6 goals), G. Arabidze (4 goals), D. Deisadze (3 goals), with creative support from G. Arabidze (7 assists), D. Deisadze (3 assists), V. Mamuchashvili (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Gagra Analysis

Gagra sit 9 with 11 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 11:21 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Andreychuk (2 goals), D. Mujiri (2 goals), I. Skrypnyk (2 goals), with creative support from Wanderson (4 assists), A. Andreychuk (2 assists), S. Zoidze (2 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Torpedo Kutaisi won 11 times, Gagra won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 28:12 from Torpedo Kutaisi's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: Torpedo Kutaisi wins 11, draws 2, Gagra wins 2

Lineups

Torpedo Kutaisi
Formation
Gagra
F. Kljajic
F. Kljajic
M. Cherif
🎯
M. Cherif
S. Mane
S. Mane
M. Simic
M. Simic
T. Nadaraia
T. Nadaraia
G. Arabidze
G. Arabidze
M. Itrak
M. Itrak
V. Mamuchashvili
V. Mamuchashvili
Felipe Pires
Felipe Pires
K. Andric
K. Andric
D. Deisadze
D. Deisadze
O. Vorobey
O. Vorobey
Claudinei
Claudinei
Z. Tchavtchanidze
Z. Tchavtchanidze
Augusto
Augusto
V. Arsic
V. Arsic
M. Tsintsadze
M. Tsintsadze
I. Skrypnyk
I. Skrypnyk
Wanderson
🎯
Wanderson
P. Borges
P. Borges
D. Mujiri
D. Mujiri
S. Zoidze
S. Zoidze
Torpedo Kutaisi 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
F. Kljajic
6
M. Cherif
🎯 15' ↓ 80'
16
S. Mane
↓ 60'
4
M. Simic
5
T. Nadaraia
↓ 60'
11
G. Arabidze
8
M. Itrak
↓ 80'
7
V. Mamuchashvili
14
Felipe Pires
🟥 90+5'
9
K. Andric
⚽ 15' 🟨 49'
35
D. Deisadze
Substitutes
1
O. Goshadze
2
Warley
↑ 60'
13
G. Katkov
15
L. Kuprava
↑ 80'
17
V. Bliznichenko
18
K. Zita
↑ 80'
19
D. Pertaia
22
D. Bukia
↑ 60'
Gagra 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
O. Vorobey
40
Claudinei
14
Z. Tchavtchanidze
🟨 90+1'
2
Augusto
↓ 77'
4
V. Arsic
6
M. Tsintsadze
8
I. Skrypnyk
⚽ 2' ↓ 87'
25
Wanderson
🎯 21'
7
P. Borges
↓ 65' 🟨 59'
9
D. Mujiri
⚽ 21' ↓ 65'
11
S. Zoidze
Substitutes
12
G. Barbakadze
3
O. Chochia
↑ 77'
13
L. Gobejishvili
17
G. Pipia
20
G. Darsania
21
A. Peikrishvili
↑ 87'
22
G. Sadghobelashvili
↑ 65' 🟨 74'
23
A. Andreychuk
↑ 65'
29
R. Adeyeye
Last matches: Torpedo Kutaisi
08.07.26
UEF
Torpedo Kutaisi
Zira
0
3
L
22.06.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Spaeri
0
0
D
17.06.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
3
L
13.06.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
20.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Meshakhte
4
1
W
15.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dila
2
1
W
10.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Saburtalo
1
1
D
05.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Rustavi
1
1
D
01.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Spaeri
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Batumi
3
0
W
21.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
6
1
W
17.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Meshakhte
3
0
W
16.03.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dila
0
1
L
11.03.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Saburtalo
1
0
W
07.03.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Rustavi
0
1
L
28.02.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Spaeri
1
2
L
18.02.26
Fri
Torpedo Kutaisi
Ayia Napa
3
1
W
Last matches: Gagra
24.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
0
D
18.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
2
1
W
24.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
2
0
W
20.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Saburtalo
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
1
1
D
11.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
L
06.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
2
L
27.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
21.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
17.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
2
D
07.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
1
1
D
03.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Saburtalo
1
2
L
15.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
2
1
W
11.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
L
07.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
02.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
1
L
17.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Bunyodkor
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Muras United
4
4
D
H2H: Torpedo Kutaisi vs Gagra
28.05.26
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
1
2
L
17.04.26
H2H
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
2
2
D
17.10.25
H2H
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
2
W
03.08.25
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
2
1
W
24.04.25
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
2
1
W
01.03.25
H2H
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
2
W
27.11.24
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
2
0
W
22.09.24
H2H
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
3
W
24.05.24
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
2
1
W
07.04.24
H2H
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
1
W
29.10.23
H2H
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
1
2
W
20.08.23
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
4
1
W
10.05.23
H2H
Gagra
Torpedo Kutaisi
0
0
D
12.03.23
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
3
1
W
11.11.22
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
0
1
L
Last matches: Torpedo Kutaisi
22.06.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Spaeri
0
0
D
17.06.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Batumi
2
3
L
15.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dila
2
1
W
05.05.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Rustavi
1
1
D
21.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
6
1
W
07.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Dinamo Tbilisi
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Meshakhte
3
0
W
11.03.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Saburtalo
1
0
W
28.02.26
Ero
Torpedo Kutaisi
Spaeri
1
2
L
12.02.26
Fri
Torpedo Kutaisi
Lyngby
1
1
D
29.01.26
Fri
Torpedo Kutaisi
Odishi 1919
0
1
L
24.01.26
Fri
Torpedo Kutaisi
Samgurali
2
1
W
31.07.25
UEF
Torpedo Kutaisi
Omonia Nicosia
0
4
L
10.07.25
UEF
Torpedo Kutaisi
Ordabasy
4
3
W
H2H at home: Torpedo Kutaisi
28.05.26
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
1
2
L
03.08.25
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
2
1
W
24.04.25
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
2
1
W
27.11.24
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
2
0
W
24.05.24
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
2
1
W
20.08.23
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
4
1
W
12.03.23
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
3
1
W
11.11.22
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
0
1
L
Last matches: Gagra
18.06.26
Ero
Gagra
Meshakhte
1
1
D
20.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Saburtalo
0
1
L
11.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Spaeri
0
3
L
02.05.26
Ero
Gagra
Samgurali
0
2
L
21.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Tbilisi
1
0
W
07.04.26
Ero
Gagra
Dila
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Rustavi
2
1
W
07.03.26
Ero
Gagra
Dinamo Batumi
1
1
D
17.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Bunyodkor
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Muras United
4
4
D
09.02.26
Fri
Gagra
Zorya Luhansk
0
2
L
31.01.26
Fri
Gagra
Shturmi
1
2
L
H2H away: Gagra
28.05.26
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
1
2
W
03.08.25
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
2
1
L
24.04.25
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
2
1
L
27.11.24
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
2
0
L
24.05.24
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
2
1
L
20.08.23
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
4
1
L
12.03.23
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
3
1
L
11.11.22
H2H
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
0
1
W

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 4 5 27:18 9 34
W L D W L
2 19 9 5 5 22:18 4 32
L W W W L
3 19 8 7 4 31:21 10 31
W W L W L
4 19 7 6 6 30:19 11 27
D L L L W
5 19 7 6 6 28:30 -2 27
L W W L W
6 19 8 2 9 21:19 2 26
W W L L L
7 19 7 4 8 25:32 -7 25
D L W W W
8 19 5 7 7 25:25 0 22
D L D L W
9
Gagra Away
19 5 7 7 18:24 -6 22
D D W W W
10 19 1 8 10 13:34 -21 11
L D L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2