Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Tigres UANL Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca1.54
Tigres UANL1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca
WWDLW
45 GF / 26 GA
Tigres UANL
WLDWL
35 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.96
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.91
14
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toluca
23 matches
Tigres UANL
23 matches
| Toluca | Statistic | Tigres UANL |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 13 |
| 7 | Draws | 6 |
| 5 | Losses | 4 |
| 45 | Goals For | 35 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.96 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.52 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.91 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 6 times, Tigres UANL won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:23 from Toluca's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / Tigres UANL 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 6, draws 4, Tigres UANL wins 5
Last matches: Toluca
22.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
Last matches: Tigres UANL
22.08.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atlante FC
2
0
W
16.08.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atlas
1
2
L
01.08.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Queretaro
2
3
L
26.07.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atletico San Luis
2
2
D
17.07.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
1
3
L
31.05.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
06.05.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
1
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
3
1
W
29.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Mazatlán
5
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atlas
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Necaxa
1
1
D
16.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
1
3
L
11.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
4
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
2
0
W
04.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
Tigres UANL
Club America
1
1
D
23.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
FC Juarez
1
2
L
20.03.26
CON
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
5
1
W
H2H: Toluca vs Tigres UANL
31.05.26
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
18.01.26
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
0
0
D
15.12.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
12.12.25
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
0
L
27.07.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
4
L
18.05.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
0
W
15.05.25
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
1
D
02.02.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
0
W
07.11.24
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
2
1
L
02.03.24
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
05.10.23
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
2
2
D
14.05.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
12.05.23
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
4
1
L
02.04.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
2
W
08.09.22
H2H
Tigres UANL
Toluca
3
1
L
Last matches: Toluca
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Tijuana
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
15.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
15.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
07.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
W
30.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Club America
2
0
W
27.10.25
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
H2H at home: Toluca
31.05.26
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
15.12.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
27.07.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
4
L
18.05.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
0
W
02.02.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
0
W
02.03.24
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
14.05.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
02.04.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
2
W
Last matches: Tigres UANL
16.08.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atlas
1
2
L
01.08.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Queretaro
2
3
L
17.07.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
1
3
L
31.05.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
29.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Nashville SC
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atlas
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Necaxa
1
1
D
16.04.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Seattle Sounders
1
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club Tijuana
0
1
L
28.03.26
Fri
Tigres UANL
Club America
1
1
D
23.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
FC Juarez
1
2
L
13.03.26
CON
Tigres UANL
FC Cincinnati
0
3
L
05.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Puebla
1
3
L
01.03.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Club America
4
1
W
15.02.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
04.02.26
CON
Tigres UANL
Forge
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Leon
2
1
W
12.01.26
Lig
Tigres UANL
Atletico San Luis
2
1
W
15.12.25
Lig
Tigres UANL
Toluca
1
2
L
H2H away: Tigres UANL
31.05.26
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
15.12.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
L
27.07.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
4
W
18.05.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
0
L
02.02.25
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
0
L
02.03.24
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
L
14.05.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
1
L
02.04.23
H2H
Toluca
Tigres UANL
3
2
L
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39:12 | 27 | 42 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Toluca
Home
|
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 35 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 3 |
Tigres UANL
Away
|
17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 31 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 31 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 30 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:25 | -1 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 27 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 18 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22:36 | -14 | 17 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 15 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 14 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 14 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13:31 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
Final Series
Final Series Play-offs