Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Pachuca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca1.92
Pachuca1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca
WWDLW
68 GF / 35 GA
Pachuca
WLDWL
40 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
2.19
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
17
BTTS Yes
19
21
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toluca
31 matches
Pachuca
29 matches
| Toluca | Statistic | Pachuca |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 9 |
| 8 | Draws | 7 |
| 6 | Losses | 13 |
| 68 | Goals For | 40 |
| 35 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 2.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.52 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 5 times, Pachuca won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:31 from Toluca's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.6 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / Pachuca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 5, draws 3, Pachuca wins 7
Last matches: Toluca
22.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
Last matches: Pachuca
23.08.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
18.08.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Puebla
2
3
L
02.08.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Leon
0
1
L
27.07.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Queretaro
1
2
L
18.07.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
CF Pachuca
Puebla
3
1
W
18.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
15.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
0
W
10.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
2
L
23.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Tijuana
1
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Monterrey
3
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Santos Laguna
4
2
W
05.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
22.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Puebla
2
1
W
04.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Necaxa
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Mazatlán
0
1
L
H2H: Toluca vs Pachuca
10.05.26
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
0
L
04.05.26
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
22.03.26
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
1
D
27.10.25
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
29.03.25
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
3
2
W
18.09.24
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
2
D
31.03.24
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
3
W
03.09.23
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
5
0
W
20.02.23
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
2
W
31.10.22
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
3
1
L
28.10.22
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
5
L
28.08.22
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
4
L
13.03.22
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
3
L
14.09.21
H2H
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
2
W
14.03.21
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
Last matches: Toluca
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Tijuana
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
15.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
15.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
07.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
W
30.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Club America
2
0
W
27.10.25
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
H2H at home: Toluca
04.05.26
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
27.10.25
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
29.03.25
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
3
2
W
03.09.23
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
5
0
W
28.10.22
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
5
L
28.08.22
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
4
L
13.03.22
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
3
L
14.03.21
H2H
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
Last matches: Pachuca
23.08.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
02.08.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Leon
0
1
L
18.07.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
0
W
18.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
04.05.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Tijuana
1
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Monterrey
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Cruz Azul
2
1
W
14.03.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Mazatlán
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
01.02.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
10.01.26
Lig
CF Pachuca
Guadalajara Chivas
0
2
L
24.11.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
FC Juarez
1
2
L
09.11.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Santos Laguna
0
1
L
27.10.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Toluca
2
2
D
18.10.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
FC Juarez
2
2
D
04.10.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Necaxa
1
0
W
24.09.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Puebla
2
2
D
31.08.25
Lig
CF Pachuca
Club America
0
2
L
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39:12 | 27 | 42 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Toluca
Home
|
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 35 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 31 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 31 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 30 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:25 | -1 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 27 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 18 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22:36 | -14 | 17 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 15 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 14 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 14 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Pachuca
Away
|
17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13:31 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
Final Series
Final Series Play-offs