ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
24.08.2026 19:00
Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda
Club Atlético Güemes
Match Timeline
Atletico DE Rafaela
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
M. Morello
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
18'
L. Albertengo ↔ A. Rodriguez
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
24'
I. Ortigoza ↔ G. Pugliese
Club Atlético Güemes
🔄
46'
M. Gerez ↔ A. Pinto
Club Atlético Güemes
🔄
46'
R. Ramirez ↔ L. Moscoloni
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
63'
J. Cavallaro ↔ N. Cainelli
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
64'
S. G. Sala ↔ C. Leineker
Club Atlético Güemes
🔄
74'
M. Morello ↔ M. Pardo
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
74'
↔ M. Quiroga
Atletico DE Rafaela
🔄
77'
J. Sanchez ↔ S. Farrera
Club Atlético Güemes
🟨
80'
J. Capurro
Atletico DE Rafaela
🟨
90+4'
L. Flores
Atletico DE Rafaela

Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.7%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Club Atlético Güemes Win 38.7%
Draw 6.7%
Atletico DE Rafaela Win 54.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Club Atlético Güemes0.84
Atletico DE Rafaela1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes
WWDLW
21 GF / 43 GA
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
WLDWL
18 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.84
Average Goals Scored
0.69
1.72
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
15
BTTS Yes
7
12
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes 25 matches
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 26 matches
Club Atlético Güemes Statistic Atletico DE Rafaela
5 Wins 9
6 Draws 8
14 Losses 9
21 Goals For 18
43 Goals Against 22
0.84 Avg Goals Scored 0.69
1.72 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
15 BTTS Yes 7
21 Over 1.5 11
12 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 14
8 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atletico DE Rafaela having the stronger overall control. Atletico DE Rafaela carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 34 points while Club Atlético Güemes sit 18 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Atletico DE Rafaela. Club Atlético Güemes have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Club Atlético Güemes Analysis

With 19 points from 23 games and a place of 18, Club Atlético Güemes still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 14 defeats with a 20:42 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico DE Rafaela Analysis

So far, Atletico DE Rafaela have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 34 points from 24 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 18:19 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Club Atlético Güemes won 1 times, Atletico DE Rafaela won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:5 from Club Atlético Güemes's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
Predicted formations: Club Atlético Güemes - / Atletico DE Rafaela 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Club Atlético Güemes wins 1, draws 3, Atletico DE Rafaela wins 1

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 9 4 29:15 14 48
L W W W W
2 27 12 10 5 30:22 8 46
W W W L L
3 27 13 7 7 40:33 7 46
D D W L L
4 27 13 3 11 31:28 3 42
L L W L W
5 26 11 8 7 29:19 10 41
W L D W D
6 27 11 8 8 28:25 3 41
W L D W W
7 27 10 9 8 20:20 0 39
W D D W D
8 27 11 5 11 34:28 6 38
L W W L W
9 26 10 8 8 28:24 4 38
W W W D D
10 27 8 12 7 27:24 3 36
D W D D L
11 26 9 7 10 24:25 -1 34
W D L D W
12 27 9 7 11 22:29 -7 34
W D L D L
13 27 8 8 11 27:23 4 32
L L W D W
14 27 7 9 11 23:31 -8 30
D L W W L
15 27 7 8 12 20:27 -7 29
L L L L L
16 27 5 13 9 23:30 -7 28
L W D L D
17 27 7 6 14 19:29 -10 27
L L D L L
18 27 5 8 14 22:44 -22 23
D D D D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation