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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
02.09.2026 10:00
Fukuda Denshi Arena
Referee: Yusuke Ohashi, Japan
JEF United Chiba
Match Timeline
Fagiano Okayama
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
31'
Leo Gaucho · Assist: H. Motoyama
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
36'
H. Kida ↔ T. Taguchi
JEF United Chiba
⚽
41'
K. Tanaka · Assist: T. Taguchi
JEF United Chiba
🟨
45'
Takumi Tsukui
JEF United Chiba
🔄
46'
Na Sang-Ho ↔ A. Esaka
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
64'
K. Kawano ↔ Kamiya Yuta
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
64'
Leo Gaucho ↔ Lucao
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
70'
K. Yamura ↔ K. Yonekura
JEF United Chiba
🔄
70'
T. Tsukui ↔ N. Tsubaki
JEF United Chiba
🔄
70'
Erison ↔ T. Matsumura
JEF United Chiba
🟨
77'
Koki Yonekura
JEF United Chiba
🔄
81'
H. Motoyama ↔ K. Shirai
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
84'
K. Tanaka ↔ T. Yasui
JEF United Chiba
🔄
87'
T. Yamane ↔ N. Browne
Fagiano Okayama
🟨
90+3'
Eiji Miyamoto
Fagiano Okayama
⚽
90'
Kamiya Yuta · Assist: Lucao
Fagiano Okayama

JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.4%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-3
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
JEF United Chiba Win 8.8%
Draw 29.8%
Fagiano Okayama Win 61.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
JEF United Chiba0.7
Fagiano Okayama1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba
WWDLW
2 GF / 13 GA
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
WLDWL
3 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
0.75
3.25
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
3.75
Shots on Goal
3.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 4 matches
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 4 matches
JEF United Chiba Statistic Fagiano Okayama
0 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
4 Losses 2
2 Goals For 3
13 Goals Against 4
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
3.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 1
3.75 Shots On Goal 3.25
10.25 Total Shots 17.75
1.75 Corners 7
48% Ball Possession 46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, JEF United Chiba won 8 times, Fagiano Okayama won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:13 from JEF United Chiba's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (91.2%)
Predicted formations: JEF United Chiba 3-4-2-1 / Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: JEF United Chiba wins 8, draws 5, Fagiano Okayama wins 2

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 0 2 21:14 7 21
W W W L L
2 9 6 2 1 22:6 16 20
W W W L W
3 9 6 2 1 22:10 12 20
W L D W W
4 9 6 2 1 17:8 9 20
W W W W D
5 9 6 1 2 14:9 5 19
L W W W W
6 9 5 1 3 19:16 3 16
W D L L L
7 9 4 3 2 13:9 4 15
D W D W D
8 9 3 4 2 17:14 3 13
L D W W L
9 9 4 1 4 12:12 0 13
L L W W W
10 9 4 1 4 8:9 -1 13
W W W L D
11 9 4 0 5 16:21 -5 12
L W L W W
12 9 3 3 3 7:12 -5 12
D D L D W
13 9 2 3 4 12:13 -1 9
L L L D W
14 9 2 3 4 11:16 -5 9
D D W L D
15 9 3 0 6 9:15 -6 9
W L L L L
16 9 2 2 5 11:16 -5 8
L W L L D
17 9 2 1 6 11:13 -2 7
W L L D L
18 9 1 3 5 8:16 -8 6
L L L L D
19 9 1 2 6 8:19 -11 5
D L D W L
20 9 0 4 5 4:14 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League