JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
02.09.2026 10:00
Fukuda Denshi Arena
Referee: Yusuke Ohashi, Japan
JEF United Chiba
Match Timeline
Fagiano Okayama
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
31'
Leo Gaucho · Assist: H. Motoyama
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
36'
H. Kida ↔ T. Taguchi
JEF United Chiba
41'
K. Tanaka · Assist: T. Taguchi
JEF United Chiba
🟨
45'
Takumi Tsukui
JEF United Chiba
🔄
46'
Na Sang-Ho ↔ A. Esaka
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
64'
K. Kawano ↔ Kamiya Yuta
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
64'
Leo Gaucho ↔ Lucao
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
70'
K. Yamura ↔ K. Yonekura
JEF United Chiba
🔄
70'
T. Tsukui ↔ N. Tsubaki
JEF United Chiba
🔄
70'
Erison ↔ T. Matsumura
JEF United Chiba
🟨
77'
Koki Yonekura
JEF United Chiba
🔄
81'
H. Motoyama ↔ K. Shirai
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
84'
K. Tanaka ↔ T. Yasui
JEF United Chiba
🔄
87'
T. Yamane ↔ N. Browne
Fagiano Okayama
🟨
90+3'
Eiji Miyamoto
Fagiano Okayama
90'
Kamiya Yuta · Assist: Lucao
Fagiano Okayama

JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds 1.90
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.87
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.4%
1.90
BTTS No
50.8%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
1.87
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.5%
1.80
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 0-3
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
JEF United Chiba Win 8.8%
Draw 29.8%
Fagiano Okayama Win 61.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
JEF United Chiba0.7
Fagiano Okayama1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba
WWDLW
2 GF / 13 GA
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
WLDWL
3 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
0.75
3.25
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
3.75
Shots on Goal
3.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 4 matches
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 4 matches
JEF United Chiba Statistic Fagiano Okayama
0 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
4 Losses 2
2 Goals For 3
13 Goals Against 4
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
3.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 1
3.75 Shots On Goal 3.25
10.25 Total Shots 17.75
1.75 Corners 7
48% Ball Possession 46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, JEF United Chiba won 8 times, Fagiano Okayama won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:13 from JEF United Chiba's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (91.2%)
Predicted formations: JEF United Chiba 3-4-2-1 / Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: JEF United Chiba wins 8, draws 5, Fagiano Okayama wins 2

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 2 0 19:6 13 17
D W W D W
2 7 5 1 1 11:5 6 16
W W W W L
3 7 5 0 2 13:10 3 15
W L L W W
4 7 4 2 1 19:6 13 14
W L W D D
5 7 4 2 1 13:8 5 14
W W D W W
6 7 4 1 2 10:8 2 13
W W W L D
7 7 3 3 1 13:9 4 12
W W L W D
8 7 4 0 3 14:13 1 12
L L L W W
9 7 3 2 2 11:9 2 11
D W D L W
10 7 3 1 3 6:11 -5 10
L D W L W
11 7 2 3 2 11:9 2 9
L D W D W
12 7 3 0 4 13:17 -4 9
L W W W L
13 7 2 1 4 4:7 -3 7
W L D L L
14 7 2 1 4 9:14 -5 7
W L D L L
15 7 1 3 3 8:13 -5 6
L L D D L
16 7 2 0 5 7:13 -6 6
L L L W W
17 7 1 2 4 9:14 -5 5
L L D W L
18 7 1 1 5 9:11 -2 4
L D L L L
19 7 0 4 3 3:9 -6 4
D D L L D
20 7 1 1 5 6:16 -10 4
D W L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League