JAPAN J1 LEAGUE
02.09.2026 10:00
Fukuda Denshi Arena
Referee: Yusuke Ohashi, Japan
JEF United Chiba
Match Timeline
Fagiano Okayama
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
31'
Leo Gaucho · Assist: H. Motoyama
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
36'
H. Kida ↔ T. Taguchi
JEF United Chiba
41'
K. Tanaka · Assist: T. Taguchi
JEF United Chiba
🟨
45'
Takumi Tsukui
JEF United Chiba
🔄
46'
Na Sang-Ho ↔ A. Esaka
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
64'
K. Kawano ↔ Kamiya Yuta
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
64'
Leo Gaucho ↔ Lucao
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
70'
K. Yamura ↔ K. Yonekura
JEF United Chiba
🔄
70'
T. Tsukui ↔ N. Tsubaki
JEF United Chiba
🔄
70'
Erison ↔ T. Matsumura
JEF United Chiba
🟨
77'
Koki Yonekura
JEF United Chiba
🔄
81'
H. Motoyama ↔ K. Shirai
Fagiano Okayama
🔄
84'
K. Tanaka ↔ T. Yasui
JEF United Chiba
🔄
87'
T. Yamane ↔ N. Browne
Fagiano Okayama
🟨
90+3'
Eiji Miyamoto
Fagiano Okayama
90'
Kamiya Yuta · Assist: Lucao
Fagiano Okayama

JEF United Chiba vs Fagiano Okayama Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.4%
Odds 1.90
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds 1.87
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.4%
1.90
BTTS No
50.8%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
1.87
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
90.5%
1.80
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 0-3
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
JEF United Chiba Win 8.8%
Draw 29.8%
Fagiano Okayama Win 61.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
JEF United Chiba0.7
Fagiano Okayama1.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba
WWDLW
2 GF / 13 GA
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama
WLDWL
3 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
0.75
3.25
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
3.75
Shots on Goal
3.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

JEF United Chiba JEF United Chiba 4 matches
Fagiano Okayama Fagiano Okayama 4 matches
JEF United Chiba Statistic Fagiano Okayama
0 Wins 1
0 Draws 1
4 Losses 2
2 Goals For 3
13 Goals Against 4
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
3.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 2
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 2
3 Failed To Score 1
3.75 Shots On Goal 3.25
10.25 Total Shots 17.75
1.75 Corners 7
48% Ball Possession 46.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, JEF United Chiba won 8 times, Fagiano Okayama won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:13 from JEF United Chiba's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (91.2%)
Predicted formations: JEF United Chiba 3-4-2-1 / Fagiano Okayama 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: JEF United Chiba wins 8, draws 5, Fagiano Okayama wins 2

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 5 1 0 18:5 13 16
W W D W W
2 6 4 1 1 9:4 5 13
W W W L D
3 6 4 0 2 13:11 2 12
L L W W W
4 6 4 0 2 10:8 2 12
L L W W W
5 6 3 2 1 13:5 8 11
L W D D W
6 6 3 2 1 11:8 3 11
W D W W D
7 6 3 1 2 10:8 2 10
W D L W W
8 6 3 1 2 8:7 1 10
W W L D W
9 6 3 1 2 5:5 0 10
D W L W L
10 6 2 3 1 12:9 3 9
W L W D D
11 6 2 3 1 11:8 3 9
D W D W D
12 6 3 0 3 12:15 -3 9
W W W L L
13 6 1 3 2 8:11 -3 6
L D D L D
14 6 2 0 4 7:11 -4 6
L L W W L
15 6 1 2 3 7:11 -4 5
L D W L D
16 6 1 1 4 9:10 -1 4
D L L L W
17 6 1 1 4 3:7 -4 4
L D L L L
18 6 1 1 4 7:14 -7 4
L D L L L
19 6 0 3 3 2:8 -6 3
D L L D L
20 6 1 0 5 5:15 -10 3
W L L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League