Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
57.7%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
74.1%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Nacional Asuncion
27 matches
Sportivo Luqueno
27 matches
| Nacional Asuncion | Statistic | Sportivo Luqueno |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 7 |
| 12 | Draws | 5 |
| 4 | Losses | 15 |
| 37 | Goals For | 30 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 1.37 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.11 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.59 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 11 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 3.7 | Shots On Goal | 3.7 |
| 11.33 | Total Shots | 10.3 |
| 4.44 | Corners | 3.22 |
| 48.2% | Ball Possession | 43.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Nacional Asuncion's more proactive style and Sportivo Luqueno's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sportivo Luqueno arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sportivo Luqueno. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Nacional Asuncion expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Sportivo Luqueno in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sportivo Luqueno having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Nacional Asuncion sit 8 with 6 points after 5 league matches. The record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 6:5 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Hugo Adrián Benítez (3 goals), Josué Colmán (1 goals), Roque Santa Cruz (1 goals), with creative support from Orlando Gaona Lugo (3 assists), Thomas Gutiérrez (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Sportivo Luqueno approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 6 points from 5 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats with a 6:10 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Aldo Maiz (1 goals), Marcelo Ojeda (1 goals), Lucas Morales (1 goals), with creative support from Aldo Maiz (1 assists), Marcelo Ojeda (1 assists), Jonathan Ramos (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Nacional Asuncion won 6 times, Sportivo Luqueno won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:16 from Nacional Asuncion's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
2 de Mayo
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
Olimpia
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
2 de Mayo
Sportivo Luqueno
Olimpia
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
Libertad Asuncion
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Trinidense
Nacional Asuncion
Deportivo Recoleta
Nacional Asuncion
Cerro Porteno
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
Rubio NU
Nacional Asuncion
Club Guarani
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Ameliano
Nacional Asuncion
Olimpia
Nacional Asuncion
2 de Mayo
Nacional Asuncion
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Sp. San Lorenzo
Sportivo Luqueno
Rubio NU
Sportivo Luqueno
Club Guarani
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Ameliano
Sportivo Luqueno
Nacional Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
Olimpia
Sportivo Luqueno
Libertad Asuncion
Sportivo Luqueno
Sportivo Trinidense
Sportivo Luqueno
Deportivo Recoleta
Sportivo Luqueno
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Luqueno
2 de Mayo