Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Guadalajara Chivas Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca1.59
Guadalajara Chivas1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca
WWDLW
49 GF / 29 GA
Guadalajara Chivas
WLDWL
33 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.96
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.16
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
15
BTTS Yes
11
15
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toluca
25 matches
Guadalajara Chivas
24 matches
| Toluca | Statistic | Guadalajara Chivas |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 9 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 5 | Losses | 9 |
| 49 | Goals For | 33 |
| 29 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.96 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 1.16 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.04 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 5 times, Guadalajara Chivas won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:13 from Toluca's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / Guadalajara Chivas 3-1-4-2
H2H summary: Toluca wins 5, draws 7, Guadalajara Chivas wins 3
Last matches: Toluca
22.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
Last matches: Guadalajara Chivas
22.08.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Club Tijuana
5
2
W
17.08.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
01.08.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
1
1
D
25.07.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
FC Juarez
1
0
W
19.07.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Correcaminos Uat
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
14.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
2
2
D
10.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
2
0
W
03.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
1
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Club Tijuana
0
0
D
23.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Necaxa
0
0
D
19.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
5
0
W
11.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
1
4
L
06.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
2
D
30.03.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Monterrey
3
2
W
19.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Leon
5
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Santos Laguna
3
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
2
1
W
H2H: Toluca vs Guadalajara Chivas
19.07.26
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
2
W
28.02.26
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
21.09.25
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
3
W
16.02.25
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
1
W
07.07.24
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
0
D
12.05.24
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
09.05.24
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
1
0
L
31.01.24
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
3
2
L
02.10.23
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
26.03.23
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
2
2
D
22.01.23
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
1
2
W
04.09.22
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
10.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
17.10.21
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
2
0
L
16.01.21
H2H
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
1
1
D
Last matches: Toluca
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Tijuana
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
15.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
15.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
07.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
W
30.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Club America
2
0
W
27.10.25
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
H2H at home: Toluca
28.02.26
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
16.02.25
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
1
W
12.05.24
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
02.10.23
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
04.09.22
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
10.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
Last matches: Guadalajara Chivas
17.08.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Santos Laguna
1
0
W
01.08.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Puebla
1
1
D
04.07.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Correcaminos Uat
0
0
D
14.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
2
2
D
03.05.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
1
3
L
23.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Necaxa
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Tigres UANL
1
4
L
30.03.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
1
0
W
22.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Monterrey
3
2
W
08.03.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Toluca
0
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
1
2
L
07.02.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Mazatlán
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Atletico San Luis
3
2
W
14.01.26
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
FC Juarez
1
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
Guadalajara Chivas
Atlas
0
0
D
01.12.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
03.11.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
CF Pachuca
1
0
W
23.10.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
06.10.25
Lig
Guadalajara Chivas
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2
1
W
H2H away: Guadalajara Chivas
28.02.26
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
L
16.02.25
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
1
L
12.05.24
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
02.10.23
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
04.09.22
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
10.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
1
1
D
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39:12 | 27 | 42 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Toluca
Home
|
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 35 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 31 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 31 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 30 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:25 | -1 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 27 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 |
Guadalajara Chivas
Away
|
17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 18 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22:36 | -14 | 17 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 15 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 14 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 14 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13:31 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
Final Series
Final Series Play-offs