CZECH-REPUBLIC › CZECH LIGA
16.05.2026 15:00
AGC Arena Na Stinadlech
Referee: O. Berka
Teplice
Match Timeline
Dukla Praha
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
2'
Matouš Trmal
Teplice
🟨
32'
Josef Švanda
Teplice
🔄
46'
P. Kodes ↔ M. Naprstek
Teplice
🔄
46'
J. Svanda ↔ M. Riznic
Teplice
🔄
60'
D. Marecek ↔ J. Fortelny
Teplice
🔄
60'
R. Mikus ↔ D. Kreiker
Dukla Praha
🔄
61'
M. Kozak ↔ I. Hopi
Teplice
🟥
65'
Kevin-Prince Milla
Dukla Praha
🟨
70'
Daniel Kozma
Dukla Praha
⚽
74'
J. Fortelny
Teplice
🔄
83'
M. Traore ↔ T. Pekhart
Dukla Praha
🔄
83'
S. Tijani ↔ D. Hasek
Dukla Praha
🟨
86'
Matěj Náprstek
Teplice
🔄
87'
T. Zlatohlavek ↔ N. Audinis
Teplice
🟥
89'
Eric Hunal
Dukla Praha
VAR
89'
Eric Hunal
Dukla Praha
🔄
90'
D. Gilbert ↔ L. Penxa
Dukla Praha
⚽
90'
I. Hopi · Assist: M. Radosta
Teplice

Teplice vs Dukla Praha Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.8%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Teplice Win 43.2%
Draw 0%
Dukla Praha Win 56.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Teplice1.21
Dukla Praha0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Teplice Teplice
WWDLW
36 GF / 42 GA
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha
WLDWL
23 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
0.7
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.39
18
BTTS Yes
14
15
Over 2.5
10
3.33
Shots on Goal
2.97

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Teplice Teplice 33 matches
Dukla Praha Dukla Praha 33 matches
Teplice Statistic Dukla Praha
8 Wins 5
12 Draws 11
13 Losses 17
36 Goals For 23
42 Goals Against 46
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 0.7
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.39
18 BTTS Yes 14
21 Over 1.5 25
15 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 4
10 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 16
3.33 Shots On Goal 2.97
10.3 Total Shots 9.48
3.94 Corners 3.45
41.9% Ball Possession 42.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Dukla Praha.

Teplice Analysis

Teplice approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 29 points from 30 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 11 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 29:38 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Bilek (9 goals), J. Auta (5 goals), M. Pulkrab (4 goals), with creative support from M. Pulkrab (3 assists), Denis Halinský (2 assists), J. Auta (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dukla Praha Analysis

With 23 points from 30 games and a place of 14, Dukla Praha still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 11 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 20:42 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Cermak (4 goals), D. Kreiker (2 goals), M. Kroupa (2 goals), with creative support from M. Cermak (6 assists), J. Kadak (2 assists), Samuel Isife (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Teplice won 5 times, Dukla Praha won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:18 from Teplice's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Teplice 3-4-2-1 / Dukla Praha 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Teplice wins 5, draws 4, Dukla Praha wins 3

Standings

1. Liga , Relegation Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 10 12 13 40:42 -2 42
W W W W D
2 35 11 8 16 43:56 -13 41
W L L D W
3 35 9 13 13 49:57 -8 40
L W L D D
4 35 7 9 19 30:51 -21 30
W W L L W
5 35 7 8 20 32:49 -17 29
W W W W L
6 35 5 11 19 23:51 -28 26
L L W L L
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation