ECUADOR LIGA PRO
19.07.2026 16:45
Estadio Bellavista
Referee: Parra Leon Patricio Javier, Ecuador
Tecnico Universitario
Match Timeline
Aucas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Luis Estupiñan
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
26'
Bagner Delgado
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
35'
Agostino Spina
Aucas
🔄
45'
Piero Andrés Guzmán Arrobo ↔ Snayder Porozo
Aucas
🟨
53'
E. Mesa
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
64'
Luis Arroyo ↔ Maverick Vera
Aucas
🔄
67'
Yorlin Edwin Arce Mina ↔ Anthony Castilo
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
67'
Luis Estupiñan ↔ Cristopher Josué Arteaga Cheme
Tecnico Universitario
71'
Ayrton Preciado · Assist: Snayder Porozo
Aucas
🔄
74'
Ayrton Preciado ↔ Byron Yardel Carabalí Delgado
Aucas
🔄
78'
Jonathan Alexis Majao Aguayo ↔ Martín Cháves
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
81'
Andres Mena ↔ Diego Espinosa
Aucas
🔄
81'
E. Mesa ↔ Felipe José Castillo Mancheno
Tecnico Universitario
🔄
81'
Cesar Castano ↔ Carlos Ronny Estupiñán García
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
86'
Martín Cháves
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
90'
Felipe José Castillo Mancheno
Tecnico Universitario
🟨
90+3'
Santiago Morales
Aucas
🟨
90+9'
Hamilton Piedra
Aucas

Tecnico Universitario vs Aucas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.3%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tecnico Universitario Win 53.3%
Draw 5.4%
Aucas Win 41.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tecnico Universitario0.95
Aucas1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario
WWDLW
19 GF / 21 GA
Aucas Aucas
WLDWL
22 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
1.05
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
8
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
7
4.05
Shots on Goal
4.53

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 20 matches
Aucas Aucas 21 matches
Tecnico Universitario Statistic Aucas
7 Wins 10
2 Draws 5
11 Losses 6
19 Goals For 22
21 Goals Against 20
0.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.05
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
8 BTTS Yes 7
12 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 7
4.05 Shots On Goal 4.53
12.05 Total Shots 12.84
4.42 Corners 5.16
41.7% Ball Possession 51.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Aucas's more proactive style and Tecnico Universitario's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Aucas. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tecnico Universitario expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Aucas in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aucas having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Tecnico Universitario Analysis

So far, Tecnico Universitario have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 23 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 19:19 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Mateo Castano (3 goals), Julian Anaya (3 goals), Johan Bocanegra (2 goals), with creative support from Mateo Castano (2 assists), Johan Bocanegra (2 assists), Luis Estupiñan (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aucas Analysis

Aucas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 32 points after 18 outings. With 9 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Bruno Miranda (5 goals), Andres Mena (3 goals), Snayder Porozo (3 goals), with creative support from Andres Mena (2 assists), Piero Guzmán (2 assists), Santiago Morales (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tecnico Universitario won 4 times, Aucas won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:23 from Tecnico Universitario's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: Tecnico Universitario 4-2-3-1 / Aucas 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Tecnico Universitario wins 4, draws 3, Aucas wins 8

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 24 2 4 73:33 40 74
W W L D W
2 30 14 9 7 51:27 24 51
W W D D W
3 30 15 6 9 41:33 8 51
W L W W L
4
Aucas Away
30 14 8 8 33:28 5 50
D D D W W
5 30 13 7 10 31:24 7 46
D W D L W
6 30 11 11 8 32:25 7 44
D D W L W
7 30 11 8 11 33:34 -1 41
L W D L W
8 30 10 9 11 31:32 -1 39
L D W L L
9 30 10 9 11 33:36 -3 39
W L L W W
10 30 9 11 10 35:38 -3 38
L D D W D
11 30 10 9 11 25:34 -9 36
L W D W L
12 30 10 6 14 25:37 -12 36
D L W L D
13 30 9 6 15 36:47 -11 33
L W L L L
14 30 10 2 18 28:42 -14 32
W L L W L
15 30 7 7 16 19:31 -12 28
D L W L L
16 30 5 6 19 17:42 -25 21
D L L W L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs