Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
53.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
62.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Tecnico Universitario
20 matches
Aucas
21 matches
| Tecnico Universitario | Statistic | Aucas |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 10 |
| 2 | Draws | 5 |
| 11 | Losses | 6 |
| 19 | Goals For | 22 |
| 21 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 0.95 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.05 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.95 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.05 | Shots On Goal | 4.53 |
| 12.05 | Total Shots | 12.84 |
| 4.42 | Corners | 5.16 |
| 41.7% | Ball Possession | 51.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Aucas's more proactive style and Tecnico Universitario's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Aucas. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Tecnico Universitario expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Aucas in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aucas having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
So far, Tecnico Universitario have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 23 points from 18 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 19:19 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Mateo Castano (3 goals), Julian Anaya (3 goals), Johan Bocanegra (2 goals), with creative support from Mateo Castano (2 assists), Johan Bocanegra (2 assists), Luis Estupiñan (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Aucas approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 32 points after 18 outings. With 9 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:16, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Bruno Miranda (5 goals), Andres Mena (3 goals), Snayder Porozo (3 goals), with creative support from Andres Mena (2 assists), Piero Guzmán (2 assists), Santiago Morales (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tecnico Universitario won 4 times, Aucas won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:23 from Tecnico Universitario's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Tecnico Universitario
3
3
6
1
2
3
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
LDU de Quito
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
Tecnico Universitario
Deportivo Cuenca
Tecnico Universitario
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Mushuc Runa SC
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
Aucas
Macara
Aucas
Orense SC
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Manta FC
Aucas
Barcelona SC
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
Aucas
Libertad
Aucas
Delfin SC
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Emelec
Aucas
Macara
Aucas
Orense SC
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Tecnico Universitario
Manta FC
Tecnico Universitario
Macara
Tecnico Universitario
Barcelona SC
Tecnico Universitario
Leones del Norte
Tecnico Universitario
Delfin SC
Tecnico Universitario
Emelec
Tecnico Universitario
Universidad Catolica
Tecnico Universitario
Independiente del Valle
Tecnico Universitario
Libertad
Tecnico Universitario
Orense SC
Aucas
Orense SC
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
Aucas
Barcelona SC
Aucas
Libertad
Aucas
LDU de Quito
Aucas
Leones del Norte
Aucas
Macara
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
Aucas
Barcelona SC
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 55:22 | 33 | 55 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33:19 | 14 | 36 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 28:22 | 6 | 35 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Aucas
Away
|
22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 24:25 | -1 | 35 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 5 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 23:17 | 6 | 34 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 21:17 | 4 | 32 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 23:21 | 2 | 31 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 21:27 | -6 | 31 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 28 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 27 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 20:24 | -4 | 26 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 26 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 27:33 | -6 | 25 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 19:26 | -7 | 25 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 13:21 | -8 | 23 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 8:27 | -19 | 14 |
L
D
L
L
D
|