Login Register
ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
17.10.2026 14:00
County Ground

Swindon Town vs Walsall Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.6%
Odds 2.77
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 1.69
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.6%
2.77 ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.53 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
1.69 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.07 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Swindon Town Win 57.6%
Draw 4.1%
Walsall Win 38.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Swindon Town1.15
Walsall1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Swindon Town Swindon Town
WWDLW
21 GF / 25 GA
Walsall Walsall
WLDWL
12 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
0.92
8
BTTS Yes
4
10
Over 2.5
4
2.9
Shots on Goal
3.78

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Swindon Town Swindon Town 16 matches
Walsall Walsall 13 matches
Swindon Town Statistic Walsall
6 Wins 3
2 Draws 8
8 Losses 2
21 Goals For 12
25 Goals Against 12
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.56 Avg Goals Conceded 0.92
8 BTTS Yes 4
11 Over 1.5 7
10 Over 2.5 4
7 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 7
2.9 Shots On Goal 3.78
9.3 Total Shots 13.89
4.4 Corners 5.89
46.1% Ball Possession 57.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Walsall's more proactive style and Swindon Town's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Walsall. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Swindon Town have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Swindon Town expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Walsall in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Walsall having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Swindon Town Analysis

With 11 points from 9 games and a place of 13, Swindon Town still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 9:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on A. Drinan (4 goals), O. Clarke (1 goals), J. Hungbo (1 goals), with creative support from S. Negru (1 assists), A. Munda (1 assists), J. Thomson (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Walsall Analysis

Walsall are currently 7 in the standings with 14 points from 8 matches. The record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 11:5 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through R. Smith (2 goals), A. Pressley (1 goals), J. Connolly (1 goals), with creative support from R. Smith (1 assists), M. Hancock (1 assists), E. Ahui (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Swindon Town won 7 times, Walsall won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:16 from Swindon Town's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Swindon Town 4-3-3 / Walsall 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Swindon Town wins 7, draws 1, Walsall wins 6

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 15:10 5 19
W W W W D
2 8 5 3 0 20:11 9 18
W W W D D
3 10 4 6 0 12:7 5 18
W W D D D
4 10 4 4 2 15:10 5 16
W D L W W
5 9 4 3 2 17:11 6 15
D W L W D
6 9 3 6 0 12:6 6 15
D D W D D
7 10 4 3 3 17:14 3 15
D W L W W
8 10 4 3 3 16:16 0 15
L L W D W
9 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L L W L L
10 10 4 2 4 11:12 -1 14
D W W W D
11 10 3 4 3 13:11 2 13
L L L W W
12 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
W D W D D
13 10 2 6 2 13:13 0 12
D L D D L
14 10 3 3 4 6:6 0 12
W W L D L
15 10 2 5 3 13:14 -1 11
D W D D L
16 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
D L L L D
17 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L L D L L
18 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
L W D D W
19 9 2 4 3 10:13 -3 10
L D D D L
20 10 2 4 4 12:16 -4 10
L L D W D
21 9 2 2 5 9:13 -4 8
D L L L L
22 8 2 2 4 4:9 -5 8
W L W L L
23 8 1 4 3 4:7 -3 7
D L L W D
24 8 1 2 5 8:15 -7 5
D L L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League