Login Register
JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
17.10.2026 06:00
Yanmar Hanasaka Stadium

Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.9%
Odds 2.81
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.55
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.9%
2.81 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.44 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.55 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.17 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Cerezo Osaka Win 59.9%
Draw 8.2%
Kawasaki Frontale Win 31.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerezo Osaka1.09
Kawasaki Frontale1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka
WWDLW
7 GF / 12 GA
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
WLDWL
17 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
0.78
Average Goals Scored
1.89
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
3
BTTS Yes
8
3
Over 2.5
6
3.22
Shots on Goal
6.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka 9 matches
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale 9 matches
Cerezo Osaka Statistic Kawasaki Frontale
3 Wins 3
3 Draws 4
3 Losses 2
7 Goals For 17
12 Goals Against 14
0.78 Avg Goals Scored 1.89
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
3 BTTS Yes 8
5 Over 1.5 8
3 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 0
3.22 Shots On Goal 6.22
11.89 Total Shots 17.56
5.89 Corners 4.67
56% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Kawasaki Frontale's more proactive style and Cerezo Osaka's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kawasaki Frontale. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cerezo Osaka expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Kawasaki Frontale in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kawasaki Frontale having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Cerezo Osaka Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Cerezo Osaka have collected 11 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 7:12 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through S. Sakuragawa (3 goals), Thiago Andrade (1 goals), Lucas Fernandes (1 goals), with creative support from S. Kagawa (2 assists), J. Irvine (1 assists), H. Okuda (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kawasaki Frontale Analysis

So far, Kawasaki Frontale have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 13 points from 8 matches. The record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 16:12 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Marcinho (5 goals), Lazar Romanić (2 goals), Y. Wakizaka (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Wakizaka (2 assists), Y. Yamamoto (1 assists), T. Ito (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cerezo Osaka won 6 times, Kawasaki Frontale won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:24 from Cerezo Osaka's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
Predicted formations: Cerezo Osaka 3-4-2-1 / Kawasaki Frontale 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cerezo Osaka wins 6, draws 4, Kawasaki Frontale wins 5

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 0 2 21:14 7 21
W W W L L
2 9 6 2 1 22:6 16 20
W W W L W
3 9 6 2 1 22:10 12 20
W L D W W
4 9 6 2 1 17:8 9 20
W W W W D
5 9 6 1 2 14:9 5 19
L W W W W
6 9 5 1 3 19:16 3 16
W D L L L
7 9 4 3 2 13:9 4 15
D W D W D
8 9 3 4 2 17:14 3 13
L D W W L
9 9 4 1 4 12:12 0 13
L L W W W
10 9 4 1 4 8:9 -1 13
W W W L D
11 9 4 0 5 16:21 -5 12
L W L W W
12 9 3 3 3 7:12 -5 12
D D L D W
13 9 2 3 4 12:13 -1 9
L L L D W
14 9 2 3 4 11:16 -5 9
D D W L D
15 9 3 0 6 9:15 -6 9
W L L L L
16 9 2 2 5 11:16 -5 8
L W L L D
17 9 2 1 6 11:13 -2 7
W L L D L
18 9 1 3 5 8:16 -8 6
L L L L D
19 9 1 2 6 8:19 -11 5
D L D W L
20 9 0 4 5 4:14 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League