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JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE
17.10.2026 07:00
K's Denki Stadium Mito
Referee: Takafumi Mikuriya
Mito Hollyhock
Match Timeline
Urawa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
9'
Taishi Semba
Mito Hollyhock
🟥
10'
Taishi Semba
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
45'
Kaito Taniguchi ↔ Malick Fofana
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
58'
Kotaro Hayashi ↔ Yoichi Naganuma
Urawa
🔄
70'
Hayata Yamamoto ↔ Kiichi Yamazaki
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
73'
Miki Yamane ↔ Jumpei Hayakawa
Urawa
🔄
73'
Hiiro Komori ↔ Renji Hidano
Urawa
🟨
76'
Jakub Słowik
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
77'
Ryo Nemoto ↔ Keisuke Tada
Mito Hollyhock
🟨
80'
Kaito Yasui
Urawa
🔄
83'
Kaito Yasui ↔ Ado Onaiwu
Urawa
🔄
83'
Matheus Sávio ↔ Shuta Sasa
Urawa
🔄
90'
Takumi Mase ↔ Yuri Tamura
Mito Hollyhock
🔄
90+1'
Chihiro Kato ↔ Yuto Yamashita
Mito Hollyhock
⚽
90+4'
Shuta Sasa · Assist: Takuro Kaneko
Urawa

Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66.3%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.01
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66.3%
1.33 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.01 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
80.1%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Mito Hollyhock Win 33.7%
Draw 19%
Urawa Win 47.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Mito Hollyhock1.73
Urawa1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock
WWDLW
12 GF / 13 GA
Urawa Urawa
WLDWL
16 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.78
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
2.33
7
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
8
3.44
Shots on Goal
3.89

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Mito Hollyhock Mito Hollyhock 9 matches
Urawa Urawa 9 matches
Mito Hollyhock Statistic Urawa
2 Wins 4
3 Draws 0
4 Losses 5
12 Goals For 16
13 Goals Against 21
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 2.33
7 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 6
0 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 1
3.44 Shots On Goal 3.89
11.33 Total Shots 14.33
4.67 Corners 4.22
45.1% Ball Possession 50.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Urawa. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Urawa look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mito Hollyhock expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Urawa in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Urawa having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Mito Hollyhock Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Mito Hollyhock have collected 9 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, while the 11:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Watanabe (4 goals), Y. Kimoto (2 goals), Y. Torikai (1 goals), with creative support from Y. Torikai (2 assists), T. Semba (2 assists), Y. Funabashi (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Urawa Analysis

Urawa sit 10 with 12 points after 8 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, while the 16:18 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on Matheus Sávio (3 goals), H. Minamino (3 goals), T. Kaneko (1 goals), with creative support from T. Kaneko (5 assists), R. Watanabe (2 assists), H. Ueki (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Mito Hollyhock won 0 times, Urawa won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:8 from Mito Hollyhock's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81%)
Predicted formations: Mito Hollyhock 4-4-2 / Urawa 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Mito Hollyhock wins 0, draws 0, Urawa wins 3

Standings

J-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 25:6 19 23
W W W W L
2 10 7 2 1 21:8 13 23
W W W W W
3 10 7 0 3 22:17 5 21
L W W W L
4 9 6 2 1 22:10 12 20
W L D W W
5 10 6 1 3 21:16 5 19
W W D L L
6 9 6 1 2 14:9 5 19
L W W W W
7 10 4 4 2 21:16 5 16
W L D W W
8 10 4 4 2 13:9 4 16
D D W D W
9
Urawa Away
10 5 0 5 17:21 -4 15
W L W L W
10 10 4 2 4 10:11 -1 14
D W W W L
11 9 4 1 4 12:12 0 13
L L W W W
12 10 4 0 6 12:16 -4 12
W W L L L
13 10 3 3 4 9:16 -7 12
L D D L D
14 10 2 3 5 12:14 -2 9
L L L L D
15 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D D W L
16 10 2 2 6 11:19 -8 8
L L W L L
17 9 2 1 6 11:13 -2 7
W L L D L
18 10 1 4 5 10:18 -8 7
D L L L L
19 10 1 3 6 8:19 -11 6
D D L D W
20 10 0 4 6 4:18 -14 4
L L L D D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League