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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
18.10.2026 10:00
Wuhan Sports Centre
Referee: Muhammad Taqi, Singapore
Wuhan Three Towns
Match Timeline
Shanghai Shenhua
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
L. Asue
Shanghai Shenhua
🟨
43'
L. Asue
Shanghai Shenhua
🟨
45+1'
Zhu Chenjie
Shanghai Shenhua
🔄
46'
Wang Jinxian ↔ A. Leautey
Wuhan Three Towns
🟨
60'
Li Shenyuan
Wuhan Three Towns
⚽
62'
J. Cadiz · Assist: A. Leautey
Wuhan Three Towns
⚽
67'
Rafael Ratao
Shanghai Shenhua
🔄
67'
Xie Pengfei ↔ Xu Haoyang
Shanghai Shenhua
🔄
67'
Yang Zexiang ↔ Chan Shinichi
Shanghai Shenhua
🔄
70'
Li Shenyuan ↔ J. Xiong
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
76'
Gao Tianyi ↔ Wang Haijian
Shanghai Shenhua
🔄
76'
Gustavo Sauer ↔ Liu Binbin
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
86'
J. Teixeira ↔ Jiang Shenglong
Shanghai Shenhua
🔄
86'
Zhang Xiaobin ↔ Zheng Haoqian
Wuhan Three Towns
🔄
87'
L. Asue ↔ Han Jiawen
Shanghai Shenhua
🟨
88'
Xu Haofeng
Wuhan Three Towns
⚽
90+1'
Han Jiawen · Assist: Wu Xi
Shanghai Shenhua

Wuhan Three Towns vs Shanghai Shenhua Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.6%
Odds 2.29
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.35
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.6%
2.29 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.33 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.35 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.13 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Wuhan Three Towns Win 31.7%
Draw 4.7%
Shanghai Shenhua Win 63.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wuhan Three Towns1.54
Shanghai Shenhua1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns
WWDLW
40 GF / 47 GA
Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua
WLDWL
63 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.97
1.74
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
19
BTTS Yes
22
14
Over 2.5
21
4.44
Shots on Goal
6.22

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 27 matches
Shanghai Shenhua Shanghai Shenhua 32 matches
Wuhan Three Towns Statistic Shanghai Shenhua
5 Wins 13
12 Draws 9
10 Losses 10
40 Goals For 63
47 Goals Against 52
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.97
1.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
19 BTTS Yes 22
23 Over 1.5 27
14 Over 2.5 21
13 Over 3.5 17
4 Clean Sheets 6
5 Failed To Score 6
4.44 Shots On Goal 6.22
13.63 Total Shots 16.26
4.74 Corners 5.96
47% Ball Possession 49.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Shanghai Shenhua's more proactive style and Wuhan Three Towns's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Shanghai Shenhua. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Wuhan Three Towns expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Shanghai Shenhua in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Shanghai Shenhua having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Wuhan Three Towns Analysis

With 21 points from 26 games and a place of 15, Wuhan Three Towns still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 11 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 39:46, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jhonder Cádiz (14 goals), Gustavo Sauer (5 goals), Kilian Bevis (5 goals), with creative support from Jhonder Cádiz (4 assists), Gustavo Sauer (4 assists), Kilian Bevis (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Shanghai Shenhua Analysis

So far, Shanghai Shenhua have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 34 points from 27 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, while the 59:47 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Rafael Ratão (16 goals), Luís Asué (6 goals), Makhtar Gueye (5 goals), with creative support from Tianyi Gao (9 assists), João Carlos Teixeira (6 assists), Xie Pengfei (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Wuhan Three Towns won 2 times, Shanghai Shenhua won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:16 from Wuhan Three Towns's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Wuhan Three Towns 4-1-3-2 / Shanghai Shenhua 4-4-2
H2H summary: Wuhan Three Towns wins 2, draws 3, Shanghai Shenhua wins 4

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 15 7 6 51:34 17 52
L L D W L
2 28 14 4 10 45:43 2 46
W W W D W
3 28 13 10 5 53:33 20 44
W W D D D
4 28 14 5 9 52:44 8 41
W D D W L
5 28 12 8 8 47:35 12 39
W W D W W
6 28 11 6 11 56:59 -3 39
D L W L D
7 28 8 14 6 31:37 -6 38
L L D D W
8 28 14 5 9 62:48 14 37
W W W L W
9 28 7 12 9 29:34 -5 33
D D L D L
10 28 11 8 9 38:32 6 31
W W W W D
11 28 10 6 12 47:52 -5 31
L L W L W
12 28 8 5 15 37:50 -13 29
L D D L D
13 28 8 5 15 39:48 -9 29
W D L L L
14 28 8 10 10 35:38 -3 28
L D D D D
15 28 5 12 11 41:50 -9 22
L D L D D
16 28 6 3 19 34:60 -26 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation