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TURKEY › 1. LIG
19.10.2026 14:00
Manisa 19 Mayis
Referee: Ayberk Demirbas

Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 46.2%
Odds 2.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.85
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
46.2%
2.33 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.85 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.35 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Manisa F.K. Win 46.2%
Draw 17.1%
Muğlaspor Win 36.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Manisa F.K.1.34
Muğlaspor1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Manisa F.K. Manisa F.K.
WWDLW
15 GF / 16 GA
Muğlaspor Muğlaspor
WLDWL
9 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
0.9
1.6
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
8
BTTS Yes
4
6
Over 2.5
3
3.6
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Manisa F.K. Manisa F.K. 10 matches
Muğlaspor Muğlaspor 10 matches
Manisa F.K. Statistic Muğlaspor
2 Wins 2
4 Draws 6
4 Losses 2
15 Goals For 9
16 Goals Against 11
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 0.9
1.6 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
8 BTTS Yes 4
8 Over 1.5 7
6 Over 2.5 3
4 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 4
3.6 Shots On Goal 4
13.5 Total Shots 11.1
4.3 Corners 4.3
52% Ball Possession 48.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Muğlaspor's more proactive style and Manisa F.K.'s more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Manisa F.K. expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Muğlaspor in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Muğlaspor having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Muğlaspor. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Manisa F.K. have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Manisa F.K. Analysis

Manisa F.K. sit 14 with 9 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 14:15, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through J. Anziani (3 goals), C. Sylla (2 goals), A. Çankaya (1 goals), with creative support from C. Sylla (1 assists), A. Çankaya (1 assists), K. Yurdakul (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Muğlaspor Analysis

Muğlaspor sit 11 with 12 points after 9 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses, while the 9:8 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on Y. Uzunoglu (4 goals), L. Del Pino (1 goals), M. Diarra (1 goals), with creative support from P. Yıldırım (2 assists), D. Camaj (2 assists), Y. Uzunoglu (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Manisa F.K. won 0 times, Muğlaspor won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:2 from Manisa F.K.'s perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.9%)
Predicted formations: Manisa F.K. 4-1-4-1 / Muğlaspor 4-4-2
H2H summary: Manisa F.K. wins 0, draws 0, Muğlaspor wins 1

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 22:5 17 25
W W W W W
2 10 7 1 2 20:9 11 22
W L W D W
3 10 6 2 2 14:8 6 20
D W D W W
4 10 6 1 3 20:17 3 19
W L L L W
5 10 5 3 2 12:6 6 18
W W L L W
6 10 4 5 1 19:10 9 17
D W D D W
7 11 4 4 3 14:15 -1 16
D L D W D
8 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L W W W L
9 11 3 5 3 16:8 8 14
L D W L D
10 11 3 5 3 13:10 3 14
W W L D W
11 11 2 7 2 15:14 1 13
D D W D D
12 10 3 4 3 13:13 0 13
L D W D L
13 10 2 6 2 9:11 -2 12
L D D D D
14 10 2 4 4 15:16 -1 10
D L L D L
15 10 2 4 4 12:19 -7 10
L L D D W
16 10 1 6 3 6:11 -5 9
D W L D L
17 9 1 4 4 7:10 -3 7
D W L L
18 10 2 3 5 10:20 -10 7
W L L D D
19 10 1 2 7 9:24 -15 5
L L W L L
20 9 0 1 8 3:21 -18 1
L L D L
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