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08.11.2026 15:15
Anoeta

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

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Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Real Sociedad Win 0%
Draw 0%
Rayo Vallecano Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Sociedad1.79
Rayo Vallecano1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Sociedad Real Sociedad
WWDLW
29 GF / 33 GA
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
WLDWL
17 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.74
Average Goals Conceded
2.17
14
BTTS Yes
11
13
Over 2.5
9
5
Shots on Goal
4.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 19 matches
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 12 matches
Real Sociedad Statistic Rayo Vallecano
7 Wins 3
3 Draws 3
9 Losses 6
29 Goals For 17
33 Goals Against 26
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.74 Avg Goals Conceded 2.17
14 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 12
13 Over 2.5 9
7 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 0
5 Failed To Score 1
5 Shots On Goal 4.63
13.55 Total Shots 14.38
6.82 Corners 5.63
49.9% Ball Possession 51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Real Sociedad won 5 times, Rayo Vallecano won 2 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:19 from Real Sociedad's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Real Sociedad 4-4-2 / Rayo Vallecano 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Real Sociedad wins 5, draws 8, Rayo Vallecano wins 2

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 9 0 0 39:9 30 27
W W W W W
2 9 7 1 1 19:8 11 22
W W W W W
3 9 7 0 2 23:9 14 21
W W L W W
4 9 6 1 2 16:14 2 19
L W D W W
5 9 5 1 3 17:17 0 16
W W W L W
6 9 4 2 3 14:16 -2 14
L D L W W
7 9 3 2 4 13:10 3 11
L L D L L
8 9 2 5 2 10:7 3 11
W D W D D
9 9 2 5 2 13:12 1 11
D L D L D
10 9 3 2 4 10:18 -8 11
W L D L L
11 7 2 3 2 7:6 1 9
D D D W
12 9 2 3 4 13:13 0 9
D L W W L
13 8 2 3 3 12:17 -5 9
D D W L
14 9 2 3 4 5:11 -6 9
D L W L D
15 9 2 2 5 11:12 -1 8
L D L L W
16 9 2 2 5 13:25 -12 8
L D L L W
17 8 1 4 3 12:16 -4 7
D D L L D
18 9 1 4 4 11:17 -6 7
D D W L D
19 9 1 3 5 6:15 -9 6
D D L W L
20 9 0 4 5 6:18 -12 4
L D L L D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2