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UGANDA › PREMIER LEAGUE
21.10.2026 13:00
FUFA Technical Centre

BUL vs NEC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 45.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
45.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
BUL Win 45.9%
Draw 17.1%
NEC Win 37%
Expected Goals (xG)
BUL1.43
NEC1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
BUL BUL
WWDLW
13 GF / 3 GA
NEC NEC
WLDWL
11 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
2.17
Average Goals Scored
1.83
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.33
3
BTTS Yes
2
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

BUL BUL 6 matches
NEC NEC 6 matches
BUL Statistic NEC
5 Wins 4
1 Draws 2
0 Losses 0
13 Goals For 11
3 Goals Against 2
2.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.83
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.33
3 BTTS Yes 2
4 Over 1.5 4
3 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors NEC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward NEC having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. BUL come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

BUL Analysis

BUL come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 13 points after 5 matches. The return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 11:3, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

NEC Analysis

NEC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 11 points after 5 matches. The return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 9:2, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.9%)

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
BUL Home
6 5 1 0 13:3 10 16
W D W W W
2 6 4 2 0 14:3 11 14
W D W W W
3
NEC Away
6 4 2 0 11:2 9 14
W D W D W
4 6 3 2 1 6:2 4 11
D W D L W
5 5 3 1 1 13:2 11 10
W D W W L
6 6 3 1 2 4:4 0 10
W W W D L
7 6 3 0 3 6:9 -3 9
L L L W W
8 4 2 2 0 5:3 2 8
W W D D
9 6 2 2 2 4:5 -1 8
L W W D L
10 6 2 1 3 9:7 2 7
D W L L W
11 6 2 1 3 4:9 -5 7
D L L W L
12 6 2 1 3 4:10 -6 7
L L W D L
13 5 1 2 2 2:3 -1 5
W L D D L
14 6 1 2 3 4:6 -2 5
L D D L W
15 5 1 1 3 3:7 -4 4
D L L L W
16 6 1 0 5 3:13 -10 3
L W L L L
17 6 0 2 4 3:13 -10 2
L L D L L
18 5 0 1 4 1:8 -7 1
L L L D L