CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
CEPSUM Stadium
Referee: M. Alayass
Supra du Quebec
Match Timeline
Atlético Ottawa
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
36'
M. Chretien
Supra du Quebec
🟨
48'
S. Kozlovskiy
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
54'
K. Habibullah ↔ D. Aguilar
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
67'
C. Bayiha ↔ R. Bey
Supra du Quebec
🔄
73'
A. Biello ↔ O. Correa
Supra du Quebec
🔄
73'
J. Assi ↔ J. Coulanges
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
73'
S. Kozlovskiy ↔ T. Walker
Atlético Ottawa
🟨
78'
A. Sissoko
Supra du Quebec
🔄
82'
D. Choiniere ↔ A. Marcoux
Supra du Quebec
🔄
86'
S. Lopez ↔ E. Garcia
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
90+8'
Y. W. Wandje Djomze ↔ K. Ferdinand
Supra du Quebec
🔄
90+2'
B. Tabla ↔ M. Stojadinovic
Atlético Ottawa
🔄
90+2'
M. Aparicio ↔ J. Villal
Atlético Ottawa
90'
T. Walker · Assist: D. Aguilar
Atlético Ottawa

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 100%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 53.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
100%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
53.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.3%
-
Probability Distribution
Supra du Quebec Win 39.4%
Draw 60.6%
Atlético Ottawa Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Supra du Quebec3
Atlético Ottawa0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WWDLW
3 GF / 2 GA
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa
WLDWL
1 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
3
Average Goals Scored
0.25
2
Average Goals Conceded
3
1
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 1 matches
Atlético Ottawa Atlético Ottawa 4 matches
Supra du Quebec Statistic Atlético Ottawa
1 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 4
3 Goals For 1
2 Goals Against 12
3 Avg Goals Scored 0.25
2 Avg Goals Conceded 3
1 BTTS Yes 1
1 Over 1.5 4
1 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 2
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0.5
0 Total Shots 2.25
0 Corners 0.75
0% Ball Possession 43%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Supra du Quebec's more proactive style and Atlético Ottawa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atlético Ottawa having the stronger overall control. Supra du Quebec arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 3 points compared to Atlético Ottawa in 8 on 0, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Atlético Ottawa.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

Supra du Quebec arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 3 points after 1 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 3:2 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by A. Marcoux (1 goals), L. A. Kwemi (1 goals), S. Rea (1 goals), with creative support from C. Bayiha (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points toward an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Atlético Ottawa Analysis

So far, Atlético Ottawa have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 0 points from 2 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, while the 1:5 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. Habibullah (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Supra du Quebec won 1 times, Atlético Ottawa won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from Supra du Quebec's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (100%)
Predicted formations: Supra du Quebec - / Atlético Ottawa 3-4-3
H2H summary: Supra du Quebec wins 1, draws 0, Atlético Ottawa wins 2

Lineups

Atlético Ottawa
Formation
Supra du Quebec
G. Innocent
G. Innocent
L. Cloutier
L. Cloutier
A. S. Abatneh N.
A. S. Abatneh N.
S. Kozlovskiy
S. Kozlovskiy
J. Assi
J. Assi
M. Aparicio
M. Aparicio
J. Castro
J. Castro
W. Timoteo
W. Timoteo
K. Habibullah
K. Habibullah
S. Lopez
S. Lopez
B. Tabla
B. Tabla
J. Milli
J. Milli
C. Auguste
C. Auguste
I. Yeo
I. Yeo
M. Chretien
M. Chretien
Y. W. Wandje Djomze
Y. W. Wandje Djomze
A. Sissoko
A. Sissoko
A. Biello
A. Biello
C. Bayiha
C. Bayiha
S. Rea
S. Rea
D. Choiniere
D. Choiniere
L. A. Kwemi
L. A. Kwemi
Atlético Ottawa 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
75
G. Innocent
28
L. Cloutier
23
A. S. Abatneh N.
84
S. Kozlovskiy
↓ 73' 🟨 48'
14
J. Assi
↓ 73'
10
M. Aparicio
↓ 90+2'
2
J. Castro
27
W. Timoteo
30
K. Habibullah
↓ 54'
99
S. Lopez
↓ 86'
13
B. Tabla
↓ 90+2'
Substitutes
1
T. Crampton
7
E. Garcia
↑ 86'
6
M. Stojadinovic
↑ 90+2'
20
J. Coulanges
↑ 73'
8
J. Villal
↑ 90+2'
5
D. Aguilar
🎯 90' ↑ 54'
4
T. Walker
⚽ 90' ↑ 73'
Supra du Quebec 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
32
J. Milli
2
C. Auguste
29
I. Yeo
4
M. Chretien
🟨 36'
64
Y. W. Wandje Djomze
↓ 90+8'
33
A. Sissoko
🟨 78'
6
A. Biello
↓ 73'
12
C. Bayiha
↓ 67'
10
S. Rea
7
D. Choiniere
↓ 82'
9
L. A. Kwemi
Substitutes
28
M. Gerges
5
K. Ferdinand
↑ 90+8'
77
R. Bey
↑ 67'
17
C. Calaidjoglu
3
T. Lebeuf
21
O. Correa
↑ 73'
18
A. Marcoux
↑ 82'
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
05.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
09.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
5
L
06.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
Last matches: Atlético Ottawa
04.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
0
3
L
01.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
09.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
5
3
W
06.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
2
2
D
24.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
2
1
W
17.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
01.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
4
L
26.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
12.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
3
L
04.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
0
2
L
25.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
5
L
18.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
2
L
H2H: Supra du Quebec vs Atlético Ottawa
08.07.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
09.06.26
H2H
Atlético Ottawa
Supra du Quebec
5
3
L
19.04.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
05.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
06.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
H2H at home: Supra du Quebec
08.07.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
W
19.04.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
Last matches: Atlético Ottawa
01.07.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
06.06.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Vancouver FC
1
2
L
30.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Pacific FC
2
2
D
01.05.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
York United
1
4
L
12.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Cavalry FC
1
3
L
04.04.26
Can
Atlético Ottawa
Forge
0
2
L
25.02.26
CON
Atlético Ottawa
Nashville SC
0
5
L
H2H away: Atlético Ottawa
08.07.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
1
L
19.04.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
W

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 1 1 20:7 13 31
W W W W W
2 11 8 2 1 22:5 17 26
W W W L W
3 12 5 2 5 18:22 -4 17
L W W L D
4 13 4 3 6 17:20 -3 15
W L W L L
5 12 4 2 6 15:14 1 14
W L W W L
6 10 3 3 4 13:21 -8 12
L L L L D
7 10 3 2 5 14:16 -2 11
L L D W D
8 12 0 3 9 13:27 -14 3
L L L D D
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)